---
title: "Team Vitality case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Team Vitality ($46.20) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.33% from 29 items with odds, observed 79.27% over 735 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/511
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:37Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Team Vitality](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/511)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Team Vitality

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/511?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/511?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/511) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/511?window=all)

Price · $46.20

Advertised RTP · 83.33% · EV $38.50 from 29 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 79.27% · 735 openings, odds method

Variance · 15.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 49 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 88.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 12 openings · below min

7 days · 82.11% ±29.85 681 openings

30 days · 79.27% ±28.73 735 openings

since tracking started · 79.27% ±28.73 735 openings

-0.5% 118.0% 236.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/511?window=24h) | 12 | 10.98% ±224.8 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/511?window=7d) | 681 | 82.11% ±29.8 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/511) | 735 | 79.27% ±28.7 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/511?window=all) | 735 | 79.27% ±28.7 | −0.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 29 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 735 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $9,000 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $4,900 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,600 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,412 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,300 | 6.0% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,000 | 5.2% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,500 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,500 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,403 | 3.6% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,100 | 2.9% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $950 | 2.5% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $787 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $749 | 1.9% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Daybreak (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-daybreak-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $600 | 3.1% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.68× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 400 | $551 | 3.6% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.09× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $540 | 3.5% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.63× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 250 | $379 | 3.9% | 1 | 2.9 | 0.34× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $280 | 3.6% | 4 | 3.7 | 1.09× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $250 | 3.2% | 4 | 3.7 | 1.09× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Orion (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-orion-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $167 | 2.2% | 2 | 3.7 | 0.54× |
| [SG 553 \| Colony IV (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-factory-new) | 1 in 182 | $128 | 1.8% | 4 | 4.0 | 0.99× |
| [USP-S \| Orion (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $95.00 | 4.9% | 16 | 14.7 | 1.09× |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $72.81 | 9.5% | 40 | 36.8 | 1.09× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $43.00 | 8.5% | 60 | 55.9 | 1.07× |
| [SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-field-tested) | 15.0% | $15.17 | 5.9% | 115 | 110.3 | 1.04× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $14.80 | 5.8% | 98 | 110.3 | 0.89× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-well-worn) | 15.0% | $6.24 | 2.4% | 96 | 110.3 | 0.87× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-ticket-to-hell-field-tested) | 16.0% | $1.50 | 0.6% | 131 | 117.6 | 1.11× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-field-tested) | 20.3% | $1.00 | 0.5% | 151 | 149.2 | 1.01× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: team-vitality)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Alonzo Harris](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Alonzo%20Harris) $46.20 $2,300 49.78x 2026-11-08 01:29 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Dr. Evil](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Dr.%20Evil) $46.20 $2,300 49.78x 2026-11-08 01:14 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-minimal-wear) [jurassicpeek](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/jurassicpeek) $46.20 $1,100 23.81x 2026-11-10 01:25 UTC

[M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) [SneakPeak](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/SneakPeak) $46.20 $950 20.56x 2026-11-08 15:43 UTC

[M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) [\[BOT\] King Joffrey](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20King%20Joffrey) $46.20 $950 20.56x 2026-11-08 01:32 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Anton Chigurh](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Anton%20Chigurh) $46.20 $749 16.22x 2026-11-08 01:29 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] The Joker](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20The%20Joker) $46.20 $749 16.22x 2026-11-07 00:07 UTC

[M4A4 | Daybreak (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-daybreak-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Hans Landa](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Hans%20Landa) $46.20 $600 12.99x 2026-11-07 16:40 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Dr. Evil](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Dr.%20Evil) $46.20 $551 11.92x 2026-11-08 01:50 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Max Cady](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Max%20Cady) $46.20 $551 11.92x 2026-11-08 01:29 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=511)

[SSG 08 | Big Iron (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Frederick Charles Krueger](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Frederick%20Charles%20Krueger) $46.20 $15.17 0.33x 2026-11-11 06:51 UTC

[M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] John Doe](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20John%20Doe) $46.20 $14.80 0.32x 2026-11-11 06:51 UTC

[AK-47 | Slate (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-well-worn) [\[BOT\] Patrick Bateman](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Patrick%20Bateman) $46.20 $6.24 0.14x 2026-11-11 06:51 UTC

[M4A1-S | Night Terror (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-field-tested) [\[BOT\] HAL 9000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20HAL%209000) $46.20 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 06:51 UTC

[M4A1-S | Night Terror (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Sauron](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Sauron) $46.20 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 06:51 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-ticket-to-hell-field-tested) [Dave](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Dave) $46.20 $1.50 0.03x 2026-11-11 06:51 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-ticket-to-hell-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Agent Smith](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Agent%20Smith) $46.20 $1.50 0.03x 2026-11-11 06:39 UTC

[M4A1-S | Night Terror (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Patrick Bateman](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Patrick%20Bateman) $46.20 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 06:39 UTC

[M4A1-S | Night Terror (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Frederick Charles Krueger](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Frederick%20Charles%20Krueger) $46.20 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 06:39 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-ticket-to-hell-field-tested) [\[BOT\] The Joker](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20The%20Joker) $46.20 $1.50 0.03x 2026-11-11 06:39 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $46.20 | 83.33% | 29 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 6.6% legendary 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% restricted 31.3% gold 0.1% #eb4b4b 0.1% Covert 0.1% #ffd700 0.1% classified 2.2% epic 0.5% #d32ee6 16.1% Ancient 7.6% Classified 15.0% Mythical 20.3% best hit $2,300 (49.78x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.33 on average: an expected loss of $16.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt