--- title: "Team Spirit case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Team Spirit ($45.37) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.31% from 20 items with odds, observed 65.17% over 336 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/517 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:44Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Team Spirit](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/517) # [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Team Spirit A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/517?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/517?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/517) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/517?window=all) Price · $45.37 Advertised RTP · 83.31% · EV $37.80 from 20 items Observed RTP, 30d · 65.17% · 336 openings, odds method Variance · 26.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 84.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 21 openings · below min 7 days · 63.89% ±59.08 293 openings 30 days · 65.17% ±55.17 336 openings since tracking started · 65.17% ±55.17 336 openings -0.5% 139.0% 278.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/517?window=24h) | 21 | 57.20% ±220.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/517?window=7d) | 293 | 63.89% ±59.1 | −0.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/517) | 336 | 65.17% ±55.2 | −0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/517?window=all) | 336 | 65.17% ±55.2 | −0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 336 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $12.3K | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $11.5K | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $7,800 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $7,300 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $2,350 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $800 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $690 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $650 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $600 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $520 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $325 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $275 | 1.5% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $275 | 1.5% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Inheritance (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-inheritance-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $275 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $250 | 6.6% | 2 | 3.4 | 0.60× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $210 | 11.1% | 5 | 6.7 | 0.74× | | [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $85.00 | 11.2% | 15 | 16.8 | 0.89× | | [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $70.00 | 13.0% | 19 | 23.5 | 0.81× | | [MP9 \| Latte Rush (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-latte-rush-minimal-wear) | 28.5% | $30.00 | 22.6% | 112 | 95.8 | 1.17× | | [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-field-tested) | 55.5% | $7.50 | 11.0% | 180 | 186.5 | 0.97× | Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: team-spirit)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) [\[BOT\] King Joffrey](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20King%20Joffrey) $45.37 $520 11.46x 2026-11-07 13:54 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=517) [MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-latte-rush-minimal-wear) [1876120](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1876120) $45.37 $30.00 0.66x 2026-11-11 09:29 UTC [MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-latte-rush-minimal-wear) [1876120](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1876120) $45.37 $30.00 0.66x 2026-11-11 09:29 UTC [MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-field-tested) [1876120](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1876120) $45.37 $7.50 0.17x 2026-11-11 09:29 UTC [MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-field-tested) [1876120](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1876120) $45.37 $7.50 0.17x 2026-11-11 09:29 UTC [MP9 | Starlight Protector (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-field-tested) [1876120](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/1876120) $45.37 $70.00 1.54x 2026-11-11 09:29 UTC [MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-latte-rush-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Frederick Charles Krueger](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Frederick%20Charles%20Krueger) $45.37 $30.00 0.66x 2026-11-11 06:51 UTC [MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-field-tested) [\[BOT\] John Doe](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20John%20Doe) $45.37 $7.50 0.17x 2026-11-11 06:51 UTC [MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Patrick Bateman](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Patrick%20Bateman) $45.37 $7.50 0.17x 2026-11-11 06:51 UTC [MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-latte-rush-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] HAL 9000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20HAL%209000) $45.37 $30.00 0.66x 2026-11-11 06:51 UTC [MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-latte-rush-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Sauron](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Sauron) $45.37 $30.00 0.66x 2026-11-11 06:51 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $45.37 | 83.31% | 20 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 8.6% extraordinary 0.1% contraband 0.0% #eb4b4b 0.2% Ancient 7.0% pink 28.5% Legendary 55.5% best hit $520 (11.46x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.31 on average: an expected loss of $16.69 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt