--- title: "Furia esports case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Furia esports ($44.04) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.33% from 26 items with odds, observed 73.73% over 279 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/525 rendered: 2026-11-11T17:08Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Furia esports](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/525) # [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Furia esports A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/525?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/525?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/525) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/525?window=all) Price · $44.04 Advertised RTP · 83.33% · EV $36.70 from 26 items Observed RTP, 30d · 73.73% · 279 openings, odds method Variance · 20.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 42 openings · below min 7 days · 73.09% ±63.04 198 openings 30 days · 73.73% ±53.11 279 openings since tracking started · 73.73% ±53.11 279 openings -0.5% 95.8% 192.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/525?window=24h) | 42 | 54.38% ±136.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/525?window=7d) | 198 | 73.09% ±63.0 | −0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/525) | 279 | 73.73% ±53.1 | −0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/525?window=all) | 279 | 73.73% ±53.1 | −0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 26 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 279 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $12K | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $11K | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $6,350 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $4,500 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $4,300 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,850 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Autotronic (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,760 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,650 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,550 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,200 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-field-tested) | 1 in 667 | $650 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Stained (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-stained-battle-scarred) | 1 in 667 | $640 | 2.6% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $620 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $520 | 2.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [AUG \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $425 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Cool Mint (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-cool-mint-well-worn) | 1 in 400 | $400 | 2.7% | 2 | 0.7 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $300 | 4.1% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.72× | | [MP9 \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 182 | $235 | 3.5% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.30× | | [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) | 1 in 143 | $175 | 3.3% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.02× | | [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $150 | 4.1% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.08× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Redline (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $145 | 4.0% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.08× | | [FAMAS \| Roll Cage (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-roll-cage-field-tested) | 1 in 49 | $125 | 7.0% | 5 | 5.7 | 0.87× | | [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $75.00 | 6.2% | 9 | 8.5 | 1.06× | | [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 25.0% | $42.00 | 28.6% | 62 | 69.8 | 0.89× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 30.0% | $10.78 | 8.8% | 81 | 83.7 | 0.97× | | [P250 \| Franklin (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-minimal-wear) | 35.0% | $2.96 | 2.8% | 107 | 97.7 | 1.10× | Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: furia-esports)`, 11 Nov, 15:00 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Stained (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-stained-battle-scarred) [\[BOT\] Voldemort](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Voldemort) $44.04 $640 14.53x 2026-11-08 14:43 UTC [AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Hans Landa](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Hans%20Landa) $44.04 $520 11.81x 2026-11-08 14:43 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=525) [P250 | Franklin (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Patrick Bateman](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Patrick%20Bateman) $44.04 $2.96 0.07x 2026-11-11 14:08 UTC [P250 | Franklin (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Alonzo Harris](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Alonzo%20Harris) $44.04 $2.96 0.07x 2026-11-11 14:08 UTC [P250 | Franklin (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Voldemort](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Voldemort) $44.04 $2.96 0.07x 2026-11-11 14:08 UTC [P250 | Franklin (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Mr. Blonde](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Mr.%20Blonde) $44.04 $2.96 0.07x 2026-11-11 14:08 UTC [P250 | Franklin (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Magneto](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Magneto) $44.04 $2.96 0.07x 2026-11-11 14:08 UTC [USP-S | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) [kevinlowroller](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/kevinlowroller) $44.04 $42.00 0.95x 2026-11-11 14:08 UTC [P250 | Franklin (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Voldemort](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Voldemort) $44.04 $2.96 0.07x 2026-11-11 07:06 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Bane](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Bane) $44.04 $10.78 0.24x 2026-11-11 07:06 UTC [P250 | Franklin (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Hans Landa](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Hans%20Landa) $44.04 $2.96 0.07x 2026-11-11 07:06 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] T-1000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20T-1000) $44.04 $10.78 0.24x 2026-11-11 07:06 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $44.04 | 83.33% | 26 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 31.9% extraordinary 0.4% contraband 0.0% classified 35.3% covert knife 0.1% mil spec 0.8% sunny 0.5% Legendary 1.0% restricted 30.0% best hit $640 (14.53x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.33 on average: an expected loss of $16.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt