--- title: "G2 Case case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "G2 Case ($46.66) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.32% from 21 items with odds, observed 91.02% over 198 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/529 rendered: 2026-11-11T19:22Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [G2 Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/529) # [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · G2 Case A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/529?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/529?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/529) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/529?window=all) Price · $46.66 Advertised RTP · 83.32% · EV $38.88 from 21 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.02% · 198 openings, odds method Variance · 1.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 14.4% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 24 openings · below min 7 days · 90.58% ±22.96 133 openings 30 days · 91.02% ±18.82 198 openings since tracking started · 91.02% ±18.82 198 openings 22.0% 76.8% 131.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/529?window=24h) | 24 | 76.80% ±54.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/529?window=7d) | 133 | 90.58% ±23.0 | +0.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/529) | 198 | 91.02% ±18.8 | +0.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/529?window=all) | 198 | 91.02% ±18.8 | +0.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 198 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,356 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $770 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $525 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [P250 \| Nuclear Threat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $510 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [StatTrak™ P90 \| Death by Kitty (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-death-by-kitty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $320 | 4.1% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [Dual Berettas \| Duelist (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-duelist-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $290 | 3.7% | 3 | 1.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $285 | 3.7% | 2 | 1.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $250 | 3.2% | 1 | 1.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $230 | 3.0% | 6 | 1.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $185 | 2.4% | 2 | 1.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Empress (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $175 | 2.3% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $172 | 2.2% | 1 | 1.0 | — | | [MP9 \| Stained Glass (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-stained-glass-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $155 | 2.0% | 1 | 1.0 | — | | [P2000 \| Scorpion (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-scorpion-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $120 | 3.1% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.51× | | [FAMAS \| Roll Cage (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-roll-cage-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $115 | 3.0% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.01× | | [AK-47 \| The Empress (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $110 | 2.8% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.01× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| The Traitor (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-the-traitor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $100 | 3.9% | 1 | 3.0 | 0.34× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $75.00 | 9.8% | 6 | 10.1 | 0.60× | | [★ Survival Knife \| Night Stripe (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $60.00 | 8.6% | 11 | 11.1 | 0.99× | | [MAC-10 \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-fade-minimal-wear) | 40.0% | $18.00 | 18.5% | 82 | 79.2 | 1.04× | | [StatTrak™ P250 \| Muertos (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-muertos-field-tested) | 40.0% | $18.00 | 18.5% | 77 | 79.2 | 0.97× | Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: g2)`, 11 Nov, 15:00 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=529) [StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-muertos-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Thanos](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Thanos) $46.66 $18.00 0.39x 2026-11-11 18:44 UTC [MAC-10 | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-fade-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] John Doe](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20John%20Doe) $46.66 $18.00 0.39x 2026-11-11 18:44 UTC [MAC-10 | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-fade-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Frederick Charles Krueger](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Frederick%20Charles%20Krueger) $46.66 $18.00 0.39x 2026-11-11 18:44 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Agent Smith](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Agent%20Smith) $46.66 $75.00 1.61x 2026-11-11 18:44 UTC [MAC-10 | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-fade-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Patrick Bateman](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Patrick%20Bateman) $46.66 $18.00 0.39x 2026-11-11 18:44 UTC [StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-muertos-field-tested) [LamaKicker](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/LamaKicker) $46.66 $18.00 0.39x 2026-11-11 18:44 UTC [StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-muertos-field-tested) [\[BOT\] John Doe](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20John%20Doe) $46.66 $18.00 0.39x 2026-11-11 18:44 UTC [★ Survival Knife | Night Stripe (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Mr. Blonde](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Mr.%20Blonde) $46.66 $60.00 1.29x 2026-11-11 18:44 UTC [MAC-10 | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-fade-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] T-1000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20T-1000) $46.66 $18.00 0.39x 2026-11-11 18:44 UTC [MAC-10 | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-fade-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] King Joffrey](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20King%20Joffrey) $46.66 $18.00 0.39x 2026-11-11 18:44 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $46.66 | 83.32% | 21 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.0% covert 9.8% restricted 2.1% Covert 1.0% red 0.5% #eb4b4b 1.5% classified 45.1% Mil Spec Grade 40.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.32 on average: an expected loss of $16.68 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt