---
title: "Esports World Cup 2026 case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Esports World Cup 2026 ($30.00) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.25% from 27 items with odds, observed 91.32% over 3,110 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/532
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:03Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Esports World Cup 2026](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/532)

# [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Esports World Cup 2026

A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/532?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/532?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/532) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/532?window=all)

Price · $30.00

Advertised RTP · 83.25% · EV $24.97 from 27 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 91.32% · 3,110 openings, odds method

Variance · 23.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 67 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 89.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 72.50% ±32.24 879 openings

7 days · 91.68% ±20.07 2,268 openings

30 days · 91.32% ±17.14 3,110 openings

since tracking started · 91.32% ±17.14 3,110 openings

39.5% 76.0% 112.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/532?window=24h) | 879 | 72.50% ±32.2 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/532?window=7d) | 2,268 | 91.68% ±20.1 | +0.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/532) | 3,110 | 91.32% ±17.1 | +0.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/532?window=all) | 3,110 | 91.32% ±17.1 | +0.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 27 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,125 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $2,790 | 5.6% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.92× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Ultra Violent (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-ultra-violent-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,400 | 9.6% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.96× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,300 | 9.2% | 4 | 3.1 | 1.28× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,900 | 7.6% | 5 | 3.1 | 1.60× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,060 | 4.2% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.96× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $740 | 3.0% | 5 | 3.1 | 1.60× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $590 | 2.4% | 2 | 3.1 | 0.64× |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $485 | 3.9% | 4 | 6.3 | 0.64× |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $305 | 2.4% | 4 | 6.3 | 0.64× |
| [P90 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $200 | 1.6% | 7 | 6.3 | 1.12× |
| [Glock-18 \| Fully Tuned (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fully-tuned-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $195 | 2.0% | 8 | 7.8 | 1.02× |
| [MAC-10 \| Red Filigree (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-red-filigree-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $148 | 3.0% | 20 | 15.6 | 1.28× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $148 | 3.0% | 14 | 15.6 | 0.90× |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $96.00 | 3.8% | 28 | 31.3 | 0.90× |
| [AUG \| Lil' Pig (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-lil-pig-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $82.00 | 3.3% | 43 | 31.3 | 1.38× |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $69.00 | 4.1% | 39 | 46.9 | 0.83× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $55.00 | 4.4% | 57 | 62.5 | 0.91× |
| [MAG-7 \| Prism Terrace (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-prism-terrace-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $40.00 | 4.8% | 76 | 93.8 | 0.81× |
| [AWP \| The End (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $23.00 | 3.7% | 116 | 125.0 | 0.93× |
| [M4A1-S \| Party Animal (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $19.00 | 3.8% | 148 | 156.3 | 0.95× |
| [P250 \| Kintsugi (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-kintsugi-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $12.00 | 2.9% | 160 | 187.5 | 0.85× |
| [MP7 \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $9.00 | 2.5% | 218 | 218.8 | 1.00× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Urban Sovereign (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-urban-sovereign-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $8.10 | 2.9% | 289 | 281.3 | 1.03× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Firebreathing (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-firebreathing-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $4.90 | 2.0% | 313 | 312.5 | 1.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-minimal-wear) | 11.0% | $3.30 | 1.5% | 330 | 343.8 | 0.96× |
| [Glock-18 \| Umbral Rabbit (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-umbral-rabbit-factory-new) | 12.0% | $2.50 | 1.2% | 420 | 375.0 | 1.12× |
| [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Caged (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-caged-factory-new) | 25.0% | $1.70 | 1.7% | 806 | 781.3 | 1.03× |

Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: ewc-2026)`, 11 Nov, 15:00 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Thanos](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Thanos) $30.00 $2,790 93.00x 2026-11-11 11:21 UTC

[M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Voldemort](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Voldemort) $30.00 $2,790 93.00x 2026-11-05 00:09 UTC

[M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) [su8g](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/su8g) $30.00 $2,790 93.00x 2026-11-04 09:17 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-ultra-violent-minimal-wear) [Brandmann](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Brandmann) $30.00 $2,400 80.00x 2026-11-09 18:16 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-ultra-violent-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] King Joffrey](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20King%20Joffrey) $30.00 $2,400 80.00x 2026-11-09 06:59 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-ultra-violent-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Agent Smith](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Agent%20Smith) $30.00 $2,400 80.00x 2026-11-08 01:46 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-field-tested) [帮充提加群833686713](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E5%B8%AE%E5%85%85%E6%8F%90%E5%8A%A0%E7%BE%A4833686713) $30.00 $2,300 76.67x 2026-11-11 08:33 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-field-tested) [m⁧⁧arths](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/m%E2%81%A7%E2%81%A7arths) $30.00 $2,300 76.67x 2026-11-05 14:34 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-field-tested) [花椒火锅](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%E8%8A%B1%E6%A4%92%E7%81%AB%E9%94%85) $30.00 $2,300 76.67x 2026-11-04 07:47 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-field-tested) [\[BOT\] T-1000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20T-1000) $30.00 $2,300 76.67x 2026-11-04 07:43 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=532)

[StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-caged-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Anton Chigurh](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Anton%20Chigurh) $30.00 $1.70 0.06x 2026-11-11 16:08 UTC

[StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-caged-factory-new) [\[BOT\] King Joffrey](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20King%20Joffrey) $30.00 $1.70 0.06x 2026-11-11 16:08 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Darth Vader](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Darth%20Vader) $30.00 $3.30 0.11x 2026-11-11 16:08 UTC

[StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-caged-factory-new) [\[BOT\] HAL 9000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20HAL%209000) $30.00 $1.70 0.06x 2026-11-11 16:08 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Thanos](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Thanos) $30.00 $3.30 0.11x 2026-11-11 16:08 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-firebreathing-minimal-wear) [LamaKicker](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/LamaKicker) $30.00 $4.90 0.16x 2026-11-11 16:08 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-urban-sovereign-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Sauron](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Sauron) $30.00 $8.10 0.27x 2026-11-11 15:50 UTC

[StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-caged-factory-new) [\[BOT\] The Joker](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20The%20Joker) $30.00 $1.70 0.06x 2026-11-11 15:50 UTC

[MP7 | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] HAL 9000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20HAL%209000) $30.00 $9.00 0.30x 2026-11-11 15:50 UTC

[Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-umbral-rabbit-factory-new) [\[BOT\] John Doe](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20John%20Doe) $30.00 $2.50 0.08x 2026-11-11 15:50 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $30.00 | 83.25% | 27 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 0.3% legendary 0.1% extraordinary 0.3% covert 1.5% sunny 0.1% #eb4b4b 0.8% restricted 21.5% rare 1.0% red 1.5% pink 21.0% #d32ce6 5.0% uncommon 10.0% Mythical 12.0% milspec 25.0% best hit $2,790 (93.00x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.25 on average: an expected loss of $16.75 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt