--- title: "67case case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "67case ($22.11) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.33% from 23 items with odds, observed 85.57% over 864 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/533 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:39Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [67case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/533) # [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · 67case A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/533?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/533?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/533) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/533?window=all) Price · $22.11 Advertised RTP · 83.33% · EV $18.43 from 23 items Observed RTP, 30d · 85.57% · 864 openings, odds method Variance · 11.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 87.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 149.21% ±65.40 100 openings 7 days · 98.56% ±26.86 593 openings 30 days · 85.57% ±22.25 864 openings since tracking started · 85.57% ±22.25 864 openings 62.5% 139.0% 215.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/533?window=24h) | 100 | 149.21% ±65.4 | +2.0σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/533?window=7d) | 593 | 98.56% ±26.9 | +1.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/533) | 864 | 85.57% ±22.3 | +0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/533?window=all) | 864 | 85.57% ±22.3 | +0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 864 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $2,805 | 4.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,600 | 4.3% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,128 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [USP-S \| Whiteout (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $606 | 3.3% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $478 | 2.6% | 2 | 0.9 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Queen's Gambit (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-queens-gambit-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $400 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $311 | 3.4% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× | | [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $206 | 3.4% | 4 | 2.6 | 1.54× | | [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $121 | 3.3% | 9 | 4.3 | 2.08× | | [Desert Eagle \| Starcade (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-starcade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 143 | $96.00 | 3.6% | 6 | 6.0 | 0.99× | | [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $64.00 | 3.5% | 8 | 8.6 | 0.93× | | [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Bad Trip (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-bad-trip-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $52.00 | 5.6% | 22 | 17.3 | 1.27× | | [MP9 \| Latte Rush (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-latte-rush-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $45.00 | 4.9% | 13 | 17.3 | 0.75× | | [R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-llama-cannon-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $33.00 | 3.6% | 22 | 17.3 | 1.27× | | [AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crane-flight-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $27.00 | 4.4% | 24 | 25.9 | 0.93× | | [M4A4 \| Hellish (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellish-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $22.00 | 4.8% | 36 | 34.6 | 1.04× | | [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-melondrama-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $21.00 | 4.6% | 32 | 34.6 | 0.93× | | [SCAR-20 \| Splash Jam (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-splash-jam-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $17.00 | 4.6% | 48 | 43.2 | 1.11× | | [MAC-10 \| Derailment (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-derailment-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $16.00 | 6.1% | 59 | 60.5 | 0.98× | | [MP9 \| Latte Rush (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-latte-rush-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $16.00 | 5.2% | 53 | 51.8 | 1.02× | | [StatTrak™ P250 \| Kintsugi (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-kintsugi-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $14.00 | 7.6% | 89 | 86.4 | 1.03× | | [Galil AR \| Galigator (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-galigator-factory-new) | 21.9% | $4.75 | 5.6% | 171 | 189.0 | 0.90× | | [Tec-9 \| Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-whiteout-field-tested) | 30.0% | $3.60 | 5.9% | 264 | 259.2 | 1.02× | Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: 67case)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Frederick Charles Krueger](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Frederick%20Charles%20Krueger) $22.11 $1,600 72.37x 2026-11-06 05:17 UTC [USP-S | Whiteout (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-factory-new) [\[BOT\] HAL 9000](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20HAL%209000) $22.11 $606 27.41x 2026-11-11 00:07 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=533) [Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-galigator-factory-new) [jmL](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/jmL) $22.11 $4.75 0.21x 2026-11-11 11:57 UTC [SCAR-20 | Splash Jam (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-splash-jam-field-tested) [jmL](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/jmL) $22.11 $17.00 0.77x 2026-11-11 11:57 UTC [Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-whiteout-field-tested) [jmL](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/jmL) $22.11 $3.60 0.16x 2026-11-11 11:57 UTC [Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-galigator-factory-new) [jmL](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/jmL) $22.11 $4.75 0.21x 2026-11-11 11:57 UTC [Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-galigator-factory-new) [jmL](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/jmL) $22.11 $4.75 0.21x 2026-11-11 11:57 UTC [MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-latte-rush-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Thanos](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Thanos) $22.11 $16.00 0.72x 2026-11-11 01:23 UTC [Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-whiteout-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Voldemort](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Voldemort) $22.11 $3.60 0.16x 2026-11-11 01:23 UTC [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-melondrama-factory-new) [Q群124210043](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/Q%E7%BE%A4124210043) $22.11 $21.00 0.95x 2026-11-11 01:23 UTC [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-melondrama-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Darth Vader](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Darth%20Vader) $22.11 $21.00 0.95x 2026-11-11 00:18 UTC [Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-whiteout-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Mr. Blonde](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Mr.%20Blonde) $22.11 $3.60 0.16x 2026-11-11 00:18 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $22.11 | 83.33% | 23 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.0% covert 1.0% classified 17.1% gold 0.1% red 1.2% rare 4.7% uncommon 9.0% pink 5.0% Classified 4.0% Legendary 6.0% Mythical 51.9% best hit $1,600 (72.37x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.33 on average: an expected loss of $16.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt