--- title: "Zlashy case on DaddySkins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Zlashy ($5.00) on DaddySkins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.33% from 17 items with odds, observed 97.36% over 1,648 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/535 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:32Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) / [Zlashy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/535) # [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) · Zlashy A case on DaddySkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DaddySkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/535?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/535?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/535) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/535?window=all) Price · $5.00 Advertised RTP · 83.33% · EV $4.17 from 17 items Observed RTP, 30d · 97.36% · 1,648 openings, odds method Variance · 29.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 11.7% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 88.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 93.62% ±71.10 226 openings 7 days · 87.10% ±28.23 1,434 openings 30 days · 97.36% ±26.33 1,648 openings since tracking started · 97.36% ±26.33 1,648 openings 22.0% 93.8% 165.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/535?window=24h) | 226 | 93.62% ±71.1 | +0.3σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/535?window=7d) | 1,434 | 87.10% ±28.2 | +0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/535) | 1,648 | 97.36% ±26.3 | +1.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/535?window=all) | 1,648 | 97.36% ±26.3 | +1.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,648 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,525 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $850 | 2.0% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Lime Polycam (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-lime-polycam-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $600 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Cloud Chaser (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-cloud-chaser-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $500 | 6.0% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Brocade Flowers (Minimal Wear) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-brocade-flowers-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $450 | 5.4% | 4 | 0.8 | — | | [SSG 08 \| Sea Calico (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sea-calico-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $395 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $280 | 3.4% | 2 | 0.8 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $215 | 5.2% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.61× | | [Tec-9 \| Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-field-tested) | 1 in 400 | $57.00 | 3.4% | 3 | 4.1 | 0.73× | | [USP-S \| Spiral Glitch (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-spiral-glitch-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $47.00 | 3.4% | 7 | 4.9 | 1.42× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-desert-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $45.00 | 3.2% | 3 | 4.9 | 0.61× | | [Galil AR \| Dusk Ruins (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-dusk-ruins-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $11.00 | 6.7% | 43 | 41.5 | 1.04× | | [P250 \| Kintsugi (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-kintsugi-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $5.00 | 9.6% | 121 | 131.8 | 0.92× | | [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $4.50 | 10.7% | 169 | 163.2 | 1.04× | | [AK-47 \| Breakthrough (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-breakthrough-field-tested) | 13.0% | $3.03 | 9.5% | 209 | 214.2 | 0.98× | | [Desert Eagle \| Firebreathing (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-firebreathing-minimal-wear) | 24.0% | $2.00 | 11.5% | 385 | 395.5 | 0.97× | | [Five-SeveN \| Dark Polymer (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-dark-polymer-factory-new) | 41.4% | $1.03 | 10.2% | 700 | 682.3 | 1.03× | Values are DaddySkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `daddyskins:graphql case(slug: zlashy)`, 11 Nov, 08:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-minimal-wear) [User1925929](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/User1925929) $5.00 $850 170.0x 2026-11-09 13:18 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers (Minimal Wear) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-brocade-flowers-minimal-wear) [nabbi](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/nabbi) $5.00 $450 90.00x 2026-11-10 21:04 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers (Minimal Wear) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-brocade-flowers-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Patrick Bateman](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Patrick%20Bateman) $5.00 $450 90.00x 2026-11-04 14:08 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers (Minimal Wear) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-brocade-flowers-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Agent Smith](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Agent%20Smith) $5.00 $450 90.00x 2026-11-03 22:29 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers (Minimal Wear) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-brocade-flowers-minimal-wear) [drey](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/drey) $5.00 $450 90.00x 2026-11-03 18:12 UTC [AK-47 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Darth Vader](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Darth%20Vader) $5.00 $280 56.00x 2026-11-09 13:39 UTC [AK-47 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) [GGG.kz.ast](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/GGG.kz.ast) $5.00 $280 56.00x 2026-11-04 20:06 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=daddyskins&case=535) [P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-kintsugi-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Thanos](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Thanos) $5.00 $5.00 1.00x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC [Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-dark-polymer-factory-new) [\[BOT\] Mr. Blonde](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Mr.%20Blonde) $5.00 $1.03 0.21x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC [AK-47 | Breakthrough (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-breakthrough-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Bane](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Bane) $5.00 $3.03 0.61x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC [AK-47 | Breakthrough (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-breakthrough-field-tested) [so lucky](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/so%20lucky) $5.00 $3.03 0.61x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC [AK-47 | Breakthrough (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-breakthrough-field-tested) [\[BOT\] Darth Vader](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Darth%20Vader) $5.00 $3.03 0.61x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC [Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-firebreathing-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Dr. Evil](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Dr.%20Evil) $5.00 $2.00 0.40x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC [Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-firebreathing-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] The Joker](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20The%20Joker) $5.00 $2.00 0.40x 2026-11-11 13:27 UTC [Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-firebreathing-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Mr. Blonde](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Mr.%20Blonde) $5.00 $2.00 0.40x 2026-11-11 13:27 UTC [Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-firebreathing-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Darth Vader](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Darth%20Vader) $5.00 $2.00 0.40x 2026-11-11 13:27 UTC [Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-firebreathing-minimal-wear) [\[BOT\] Patrick Bateman](https://gambatracker.com/players/daddyskins/%5BBOT%5D%20Patrick%20Bateman) $5.00 $2.00 0.40x 2026-11-11 13:27 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $5.00 | 83.33% | 17 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.3% legendary 0.1% Immortal 0.1% restricted 0.1% classified 0.1% epic 0.1% #8847ff 37.3% pink 8.3% blue 2.5% Legendary 9.9% milspec 41.4% best hit $850 (170.0x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.33 on average: an expected loss of $16.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt