--- title: "10% rifle case on DatDrop: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "10% rifle ($11.50) on DatDrop, a CS2 case site: no published odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/10-rifle rendered: 2026-11-12T09:00Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) / [10% rifle](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/10-rifle) # [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) · 10% rifle A case on DatDrop, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is DatDrop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/10-rifle?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/10-rifle?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/10-rifle) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/10-rifle?window=all) Price · $11.50 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · — · top-only feed: not summed Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · advertised only **DatDrop publishes its notable drops only.** Wins without losses cannot be summed, so this case shows what its odds advertise and no observed RTP. Drops listed below are the notable ones the feed showed. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/10-rifle?window=24h) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/10-rifle?window=7d) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/10-rifle) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/10-rifle?window=all) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** DatDrop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are DatDrop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) [ChaosHunter](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/ChaosHunter) $11.50 $1,768 153.7x 2026-11-08 14:16 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) [perikonababa71](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/perikonababa71) $11.50 $1,149 99.92x 2026-11-03 23:12 UTC [M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) [snake keeper615](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/snake%20keeper615) $11.50 $1,032 89.76x 2026-11-08 14:50 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=datdrop&case=10-rifle) [M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-field-tested) [Ja Kalia](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Ja%20Kalia) $11.50 $99.88 8.69x 2026-11-12 06:54 UTC [AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-field-tested) [Sully-汚い](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Sully-%E6%B1%9A%E3%81%84) $11.50 $36.26 3.15x 2026-11-12 05:29 UTC [M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-field-tested) [Sully-汚い](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Sully-%E6%B1%9A%E3%81%84) $11.50 $99.88 8.69x 2026-11-12 05:26 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-well-worn) [Sully-汚い](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Sully-%E6%B1%9A%E3%81%84) $11.50 $132 11.44x 2026-11-12 05:23 UTC [AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-field-tested) [Mr.Monopoly](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Mr.Monopoly) $11.50 $36.26 3.15x 2026-11-12 03:24 UTC [AK-47 | Redline (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-well-worn) [Undead World](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Undead%20World) $11.50 $38.68 3.36x 2026-11-12 03:24 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-well-worn) [audreanne.heaney](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/audreanne.heaney) $11.50 $132 11.44x 2026-11-12 02:47 UTC [AK-47 | Inheritance (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-field-tested) [audreanne.heaney](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/audreanne.heaney) $11.50 $76.98 6.69x 2026-11-12 02:43 UTC [AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-battle-scarred) [Ninja-777](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Ninja-777) $11.50 $155 13.52x 2026-11-11 23:39 UTC [AK-47 | The Oligarch (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-battle-scarred) [Sir\_Shadow](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Sir_Shadow) $11.50 $65.80 5.72x 2026-11-11 22:45 UTC ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days Not summed for a top-only feed ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** Every case pays out less than it costs on average; the rare items carry most of the advertised value and most openings return a fraction of the price. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt