--- title: "AlphaVault case on DatDrop: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "AlphaVault ($250.00) on DatDrop, a CS2 case site: no published odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/alpha-vault rendered: 2026-11-12T06:51Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) / [AlphaVault](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/alpha-vault) # [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) · AlphaVault A case on DatDrop, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DatDrop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/alpha-vault?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/alpha-vault?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/alpha-vault) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/alpha-vault?window=all) Price · $250.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · — · top-only feed: not summed Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · advertised only **DatDrop publishes its notable drops only.** Wins without losses cannot be summed, so this case shows what its odds advertise and no observed RTP. Drops listed below are the notable ones the feed showed. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/alpha-vault?window=24h) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/alpha-vault?window=7d) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/alpha-vault) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/alpha-vault?window=all) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** DatDrop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are DatDrop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) [♿ ЖУЖИК ♿](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/%E2%99%BF%20%D0%96%D0%A3%D0%96%D0%98%D0%9A%20%E2%99%BF) $250 $4,282 17.13x 2026-11-10 17:57 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-minimal-wear) [Blasii](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Blasii) $250 $2,293 9.17x 2026-11-10 17:56 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-minimal-wear) [Abou-Khashbe](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Abou-Khashbe) $250 $2,293 9.17x 2026-11-06 19:37 UTC [Glock-18 | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-minimal-wear) [Blasii](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Blasii) $250 $2,173 8.69x 2026-11-10 17:56 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) [Blasii](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Blasii) $250 $1,615 6.46x 2026-11-10 15:59 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) [Blasii](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Blasii) $250 $1,016 4.06x 2026-11-10 17:55 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) [Blasii](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Blasii) $250 $1,016 4.06x 2026-11-04 09:44 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) [Blasii](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Blasii) $250 $985 3.94x 2026-11-10 18:01 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) [Gus](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Gus) $250 $985 3.94x 2026-11-10 16:58 UTC [★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-field-tested) [Blasii](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Blasii) $250 $777 3.11x 2026-11-10 17:55 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=datdrop&case=alpha-vault) [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-well-worn) [Blasii](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Blasii) $250 $313 1.25x 2026-11-10 18:02 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-well-worn) [Blasii](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Blasii) $250 $313 1.25x 2026-11-10 18:02 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-battle-scarred) [Blasii](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Blasii) $250 $298 1.19x 2026-11-10 18:01 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-battle-scarred) [Blasii](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Blasii) $250 $298 1.19x 2026-11-10 18:01 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-battle-scarred) [Blasii](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Blasii) $250 $298 1.19x 2026-11-10 18:01 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) [Blasii](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Blasii) $250 $985 3.94x 2026-11-10 18:01 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) [Blasii](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Blasii) $250 $405 1.62x 2026-11-10 17:59 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) [Blasii](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Blasii) $250 $734 2.94x 2026-11-10 17:58 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) [Blasii](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Blasii) $250 $405 1.62x 2026-11-10 17:58 UTC [M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) [♿ ЖУЖИК ♿](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/%E2%99%BF%20%D0%96%D0%A3%D0%96%D0%98%D0%9A%20%E2%99%BF) $250 $4,282 17.13x 2026-11-10 17:57 UTC ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days Not summed for a top-only feed ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** Every case pays out less than it costs on average; the rare items carry most of the advertised value and most openings return a fraction of the price. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt