--- title: "Black box case on DatDrop: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Black box ($31.00) on DatDrop, a CS2 case site: no published odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/black-box rendered: 2026-11-12T03:33Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) / [Black box](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/black-box) # [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) · Black box A case on DatDrop, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is DatDrop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/black-box?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/black-box?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/black-box) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/black-box?window=all) Price · $31.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · — · top-only feed: not summed Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · advertised only **DatDrop publishes its notable drops only.** Wins without losses cannot be summed, so this case shows what its odds advertise and no observed RTP. Drops listed below are the notable ones the feed showed. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/black-box?window=24h) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/black-box?window=7d) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/black-box) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/black-box?window=all) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** DatDrop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are DatDrop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · Immortal · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-black-pearl) [Layne Staley](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Layne%20Staley) $31.00 $1,211 39.08x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · Immortal · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-black-pearl) [SnapUP](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/SnapUP) $31.00 $1,211 39.08x 2026-11-03 21:53 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-field-tested) [1231231233](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/1231231233) $31.00 $849 27.38x 2026-11-11 18:30 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · Immortal · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-black-pearl) [Gus](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Gus) $31.00 $799 25.78x 2026-11-10 17:12 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · Immortal · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-black-pearl) [kendra15](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/kendra15) $31.00 $775 24.99x 2026-11-04 02:42 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · Covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-minimal-wear-minimal-wear-black-pearl) [Layne Staley](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Layne%20Staley) $31.00 $741 23.90x 2026-11-09 22:20 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · Covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-minimal-wear-minimal-wear-black-pearl) [burgir](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/burgir) $31.00 $741 23.90x 2026-11-07 12:19 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · Covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-minimal-wear-minimal-wear-black-pearl) [SquareBatu18](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/SquareBatu18) $31.00 $741 23.90x 2026-11-07 12:16 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-battle-scarred) [PIMPSTAH](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/PIMPSTAH) $31.00 $642 20.70x 2026-11-11 16:45 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-battle-scarred) [puffer](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/puffer) $31.00 $642 20.70x 2026-11-11 11:36 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=datdrop&case=black-box) [AWP | Black Box (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-box-factory-new) [drkzero564](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/drkzero564) $31.00 $62.08 2.00x 2026-11-12 02:10 UTC [AWP | Black Nile (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-nile-factory-new) [PIMPSTAH](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/PIMPSTAH) $31.00 $31.80 1.03x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC [AWP | Black Box (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-box-factory-new) [PIMPSTAH](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/PIMPSTAH) $31.00 $62.08 2.00x 2026-11-11 19:50 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-field-tested) [1231231233](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/1231231233) $31.00 $849 27.38x 2026-11-11 18:30 UTC [AK-47 | Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-minimal-wear) [shadow](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/shadow) $31.00 $92.05 2.97x 2026-11-11 18:30 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-battle-scarred) [PIMPSTAH](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/PIMPSTAH) $31.00 $642 20.70x 2026-11-11 16:45 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-battle-scarred) [puffer](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/puffer) $31.00 $642 20.70x 2026-11-11 11:36 UTC [M4A4 | Dark Blossom (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dark-blossom-minimal-wear) [PIMPSTAH](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/PIMPSTAH) $31.00 $35.41 1.14x 2026-11-11 06:44 UTC [M4A1-S | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) [PIMPSTAH](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/PIMPSTAH) $31.00 $145 4.67x 2026-11-11 05:26 UTC [M4A4 | Dark Blossom (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dark-blossom-minimal-wear) [Leboje](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Leboje) $31.00 $35.41 1.14x 2026-11-11 04:32 UTC ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days Not summed for a top-only feed ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** Every case pays out less than it costs on average; the rare items carry most of the advertised value and most openings return a fraction of the price. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt