--- title: "ColdLuck case on DatDrop: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "ColdLuck ($6.25) on DatDrop, a CS2 case site: no published odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/cold-luck rendered: 2026-11-11T21:01Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) / [ColdLuck](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/cold-luck) # [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) · ColdLuck A case on DatDrop, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is DatDrop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/cold-luck?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/cold-luck?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/cold-luck) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/cold-luck?window=all) Price · $6.25 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · — · top-only feed: not summed Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · advertised only **DatDrop publishes its notable drops only.** Wins without losses cannot be summed, so this case shows what its odds advertise and no observed RTP. Drops listed below are the notable ones the feed showed. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/cold-luck?window=24h) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/cold-luck?window=7d) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/cold-luck) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/cold-luck?window=all) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** DatDrop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are DatDrop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Vulcan (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) [CorteZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/CorteZ) $6.25 $469 75.05x 2026-11-09 13:14 UTC [AK-47 | Vulcan (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) [Blizz](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Blizz) $6.25 $469 75.05x 2026-11-08 09:54 UTC [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-well-worn) [Mr.Monopoly](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Mr.Monopoly) $6.25 $426 68.09x 2026-11-07 00:53 UTC [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-well-worn) [wossy](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/wossy) $6.25 $426 68.09x 2026-11-06 10:35 UTC [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-well-worn) [Emilio Gaviria](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Emilio%20Gaviria) $6.25 $426 68.09x 2026-11-02 23:27 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=datdrop&case=cold-luck) [M4A4 | Temukau (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-well-worn) [Clam Chowder](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Clam%20Chowder) $6.25 $42.14 6.74x 2026-11-11 17:10 UTC [AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-well-worn) [Would You Rather: This or That](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Would%20You%20Rather%3A%20This%20or%20That) $6.25 $24.72 3.96x 2026-11-11 17:09 UTC [M4A1-S | Solitude (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-solitude-minimal-wear) [Would You Rather: This or That](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Would%20You%20Rather%3A%20This%20or%20That) $6.25 $8.43 1.35x 2026-11-11 17:09 UTC [AK-47 | Inheritance (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-battle-scarred) [Would You Rather: This or That](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Would%20You%20Rather%3A%20This%20or%20That) $6.25 $61.90 9.90x 2026-11-11 17:09 UTC [Sticker | KOI (Holo) | Copenhagen 2024 (Factory New) sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-koi-holo-copenhagen-2024-factory-new) [PennyWiseTheClown](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/PennyWiseTheClown) $6.25 $30.36 4.86x 2026-11-11 14:44 UTC [AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-well-worn) [tazro](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/tazro) $6.25 $24.72 3.96x 2026-11-11 13:10 UTC [Sticker | KOI (Holo) | Copenhagen 2024 (Factory New) sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-koi-holo-copenhagen-2024-factory-new) [ilinca sorin](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/ilinca%20sorin) $6.25 $30.36 4.86x 2026-11-11 06:55 UTC [AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-minimal-wear) [op](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/op) $6.25 $54.55 8.73x 2026-11-10 17:20 UTC [AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-minimal-wear) [Mr.Monopoly](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Mr.Monopoly) $6.25 $54.55 8.73x 2026-11-10 14:16 UTC [Sticker | Akihabara Accept Surf Ava (Foil) (Factory New) sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-akihabara-accept-surf-ava-foil-factory-new) [ItsOneShot](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/ItsOneShot) $6.25 $12.83 2.05x 2026-11-09 23:43 UTC ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days Not summed for a top-only feed ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** Every case pays out less than it costs on average; the rare items carry most of the advertised value and most openings return a fraction of the price. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt