---
title: "Incognito case on DatDrop: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Incognito ($103.00) on DatDrop, a CS2 case site: no published odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/incognito
rendered: 2026-11-11T22:56Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) / [Incognito](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/incognito)

# [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) · Incognito

A case on DatDrop, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is DatDrop's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/incognito?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/incognito?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/incognito) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/incognito?window=all)

Price · $103.00

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · — · top-only feed: not summed

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · advertised only

**DatDrop publishes its notable drops only.** Wins without losses cannot be summed, so this case shows what its odds advertise and no observed RTP. Drops listed below are the notable ones the feed showed.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/incognito?window=24h) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/incognito?window=7d) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/incognito) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/incognito?window=all) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** DatDrop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are DatDrop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) [twitch.tv/MrBarnee](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/twitch.tv%2FMrBarnee) $103 $1,406 13.65x 2026-11-07 23:08 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) [Abou-Khashbe](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Abou-Khashbe) $103 $583 5.66x 2026-11-10 19:25 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) [Prodigy](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Prodigy) $103 $583 5.66x 2026-11-05 22:14 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=datdrop&case=incognito)

[★ Bayonet | Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-black-laminate-minimal-wear) [PIMPSTAH](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/PIMPSTAH) $103 $222 2.16x 2026-11-11 05:35 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-stained-battle-scarred) [Abou-Khashbe](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Abou-Khashbe) $103 $250 2.42x 2026-11-10 19:33 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) [Abou-Khashbe](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Abou-Khashbe) $103 $583 5.66x 2026-11-10 19:25 UTC

[★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [Mocha](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Mocha) $103 $253 2.46x 2026-11-10 08:06 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-night-minimal-wear) [eBeetle Boke-a-Bola](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/eBeetle%20Boke-a-Bola) $103 $208 2.02x 2026-11-09 18:51 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Stained (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-stained-field-tested) [Mocha](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Mocha) $103 $274 2.66x 2026-11-09 16:18 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Stained (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-stained-field-tested) [Mocha](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Mocha) $103 $274 2.66x 2026-11-09 10:10 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-stained-battle-scarred) [Mocha](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Mocha) $103 $250 2.42x 2026-11-09 10:06 UTC

[★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [Mocha](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Mocha) $103 $253 2.46x 2026-11-09 06:45 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-night-minimal-wear) [twitch.tv/MrBarnee](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/twitch.tv%2FMrBarnee) $103 $208 2.02x 2026-11-08 19:24 UTC

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

Not summed for a top-only feed

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** Every case pays out less than it costs on average; the rare items carry most of the advertised value and most openings return a fraction of the price. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
