--- title: "M4 case on DatDrop: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "M4 ($6.00) on DatDrop, a CS2 case site: no published odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/m4 rendered: 2026-11-12T08:01Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) / [M4](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/m4) # [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) · M4 A case on DatDrop, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is DatDrop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/m4?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/m4?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/m4) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/m4?window=all) Price · $6.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · — · top-only feed: not summed Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · advertised only **DatDrop publishes its notable drops only.** Wins without losses cannot be summed, so this case shows what its odds advertise and no observed RTP. Drops listed below are the notable ones the feed showed. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/m4?window=24h) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/m4?window=7d) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/m4) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/m4?window=all) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** DatDrop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are DatDrop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=datdrop&case=m4) [M4A1-S | Flashback (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-flashback-field-tested) [USE CODE Mr7](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/USE%20CODE%20Mr7) $6.00 $6.10 1.02x 2026-11-12 03:25 UTC [M4A4 | Magnesium (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-magnesium-factory-new) [USE CODE Mr7](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/USE%20CODE%20Mr7) $6.00 $6.01 1.00x 2026-11-12 03:25 UTC [M4A4 | Magnesium (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-magnesium-factory-new) [Mr.Monopoly](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Mr.Monopoly) $6.00 $6.01 1.00x 2026-11-12 03:23 UTC [M4A1-S | Flashback (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-flashback-minimal-wear) [USE CODE Mr7](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/USE%20CODE%20Mr7) $6.00 $7.70 1.28x 2026-11-12 03:23 UTC [M4A1-S | Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blood-tiger-minimal-wear) [USE CODE Mr7](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/USE%20CODE%20Mr7) $6.00 $6.34 1.06x 2026-11-12 03:22 UTC [M4A4 | Magnesium (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-magnesium-factory-new) [Mr.Monopoly](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Mr.Monopoly) $6.00 $6.01 1.00x 2026-11-12 03:20 UTC [M4A1-S | Flashback (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-flashback-field-tested) [Zygotanes](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Zygotanes) $6.00 $6.10 1.02x 2026-11-12 03:20 UTC [M4A4 | Turbine (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-turbine-minimal-wear) [JacobFuture](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/JacobFuture) $6.00 $6.25 1.04x 2026-11-12 02:40 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Turbine (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-turbine-well-worn) [Ja Kalia](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Ja%20Kalia) $6.00 $6.06 1.01x 2026-11-12 01:41 UTC [M4A4 | Turbine (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-turbine-minimal-wear) [Ja Kalia](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Ja%20Kalia) $6.00 $6.25 1.04x 2026-11-12 00:50 UTC ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days Not summed for a top-only feed ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** Every case pays out less than it costs on average; the rare items carry most of the advertised value and most openings return a fraction of the price. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt