---
title: "Madness case on DatDrop: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Madness ($376.00) on DatDrop, a CS2 case site: no published odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/madness
rendered: 2026-11-11T12:47Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) / [Madness](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/madness)

# [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) · Madness

A case on DatDrop, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is DatDrop's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/madness?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/madness?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/madness) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/madness?window=all)

Price · $376.00

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · — · top-only feed: not summed

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · advertised only

**DatDrop publishes its notable drops only.** Wins without losses cannot be summed, so this case shows what its odds advertise and no observed RTP. Drops listed below are the notable ones the feed showed.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/madness?window=24h) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/madness?window=7d) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/madness) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/madness?window=all) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** DatDrop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are DatDrop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AWP | Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) [Abou-Khashbe](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Abou-Khashbe) $376 $6,135 16.32x 2026-11-06 16:44 UTC

[AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) [Gus](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Gus) $376 $5,491 14.60x 2026-11-10 17:01 UTC

[M4A4 | Howl (Well-Worn) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-well-worn) [Gus](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Gus) $376 $4,754 12.64x 2026-11-10 16:53 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-minimal-wear) [monk](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/monk) $376 $4,390 11.68x 2026-11-11 06:48 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Night (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-night-factory-new) [YERR](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/YERR) $376 $3,266 8.69x 2026-11-09 23:48 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Night (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-night-factory-new) [Abou-Khashbe](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Abou-Khashbe) $376 $2,454 6.53x 2026-11-06 16:37 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) [Gus](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Gus) $376 $2,044 5.44x 2026-11-10 16:56 UTC

[AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) [Gus](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Gus) $376 $1,768 4.70x 2026-11-10 17:04 UTC

[★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-minimal-wear) [Gus](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Gus) $376 $1,116 2.97x 2026-11-10 13:38 UTC

[AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-well-worn) [Abou-Khashbe](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Abou-Khashbe) $376 $956 2.54x 2026-11-06 16:38 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=datdrop&case=madness)

[★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-minimal-wear) [monk](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/monk) $376 $4,390 11.68x 2026-11-11 06:48 UTC

[AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) [Gus](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Gus) $376 $1,768 4.70x 2026-11-10 17:04 UTC

[MP9 | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hot-rod-factory-new) [Gus](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Gus) $376 $480 1.28x 2026-11-10 17:04 UTC

[AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) [Gus](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Gus) $376 $5,491 14.60x 2026-11-10 17:01 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-battle-scarred) [Gus](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Gus) $376 $509 1.35x 2026-11-10 16:59 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-well-worn) [Gus](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Gus) $376 $669 1.78x 2026-11-10 16:58 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-battle-scarred) [Gus](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Gus) $376 $587 1.56x 2026-11-10 16:58 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-field-tested) [Gus](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Gus) $376 $551 1.46x 2026-11-10 16:57 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) [Gus](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Gus) $376 $2,044 5.44x 2026-11-10 16:56 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Night (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-night-factory-new) [Gus](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Gus) $376 $772 2.05x 2026-11-10 16:54 UTC

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

Not summed for a top-only feed

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** Every case pays out less than it costs on average; the rare items carry most of the advertised value and most openings return a fraction of the price. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
