--- title: "Nightmare case on DatDrop: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Nightmare ($66.00) on DatDrop, a CS2 case site: no published odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/nightmare rendered: 2026-11-11T13:16Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) / [Nightmare](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/nightmare) # [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) · Nightmare A case on DatDrop, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is DatDrop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/nightmare?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/nightmare?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/nightmare) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/nightmare?window=all) Price · $66.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · — · top-only feed: not summed Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · advertised only **DatDrop publishes its notable drops only.** Wins without losses cannot be summed, so this case shows what its odds advertise and no observed RTP. Drops listed below are the notable ones the feed showed. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/nightmare?window=24h) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/nightmare?window=7d) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/nightmare) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/nightmare?window=all) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** DatDrop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are DatDrop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave (Factory New) gloves · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-lunar-weave-factory-new) [iNeedHealing ツ](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/iNeedHealing%20%E3%83%84) $66.00 $2,704 40.97x 2026-11-04 15:55 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) [FlaxEE](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/FlaxEE) $66.00 $2,186 33.12x 2026-11-08 22:51 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) [Mocha](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Mocha) $66.00 $1,788 27.09x 2026-11-10 12:49 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) [UwU](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/UwU) $66.00 $1,103 16.71x 2026-11-06 01:22 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-lunar-weave-field-tested) [sidney.labadie](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/sidney.labadie) $66.00 $1,008 15.27x 2026-11-07 05:25 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-eclipse-minimal-wear) [✪ Crunex](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/%E2%9C%AA%20Crunex) $66.00 $964 14.60x 2026-11-08 13:04 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) [stag](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/stag) $66.00 $703 10.65x 2026-11-07 13:14 UTC [★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-battle-scarred) [Mocha](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Mocha) $66.00 $605 9.17x 2026-11-09 06:34 UTC [★ Bayonet | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-ultraviolet-factory-new) [Muttifin](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Muttifin) $66.00 $587 8.89x 2026-11-08 16:33 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) [FlaxEE](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/FlaxEE) $66.00 $575 8.71x 2026-11-08 22:04 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=datdrop&case=nightmare) [★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) [♿ ЖУЖИК ♿](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/%E2%99%BF%20%D0%96%D0%A3%D0%96%D0%98%D0%9A%20%E2%99%BF) $66.00 $280 4.24x 2026-11-10 17:43 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) [Mocha](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Mocha) $66.00 $1,788 27.09x 2026-11-10 12:49 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) [Mocha](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Mocha) $66.00 $71.40 1.08x 2026-11-10 07:51 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) [fletcher.gorczany](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/fletcher.gorczany) $66.00 $72.09 1.09x 2026-11-10 07:15 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) [SterClash](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/SterClash) $66.00 $346 5.24x 2026-11-09 11:28 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) [Mocha](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Mocha) $66.00 $98.61 1.49x 2026-11-09 07:02 UTC [★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-battle-scarred) [Mocha](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Mocha) $66.00 $605 9.17x 2026-11-09 06:34 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-eclipse-well-worn) [Mocha](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Mocha) $66.00 $246 3.73x 2026-11-09 05:36 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) [Mocha](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Mocha) $66.00 $98.61 1.49x 2026-11-09 03:44 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Ultraviolet (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-ultraviolet-factory-new) [Mocha](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Mocha) $66.00 $521 7.89x 2026-11-09 03:06 UTC ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days Not summed for a top-only feed ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** Every case pays out less than it costs on average; the rare items carry most of the advertised value and most openings return a fraction of the price. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt