--- title: "Oktoberfest case on DatDrop: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Oktoberfest ($14.50) on DatDrop, a CS2 case site: no published odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/oktoberfest rendered: 2026-11-11T14:30Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) / [Oktoberfest](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/oktoberfest) # [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) · Oktoberfest A case on DatDrop, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is DatDrop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/oktoberfest?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/oktoberfest?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/oktoberfest) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/oktoberfest?window=all) Price · $14.50 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · — · top-only feed: not summed Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · advertised only **DatDrop publishes its notable drops only.** Wins without losses cannot be summed, so this case shows what its odds advertise and no observed RTP. Drops listed below are the notable ones the feed showed. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/oktoberfest?window=24h) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/oktoberfest?window=7d) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/oktoberfest) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/oktoberfest?window=all) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** DatDrop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are DatDrop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | Team Dignitas (Holo) | DreamHack 2014 (Factory New) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-dreamhack-2014-factory-new) [ExodiaRewards 15k leaderboard](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/ExodiaRewards%2015k%20leaderboard) $14.50 $628 43.32x 2026-11-09 18:01 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Nitro (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-nitro-minimal-wear) [cornell.dicki](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/cornell.dicki) $14.50 $564 38.88x 2026-11-04 09:27 UTC [AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) [therealevilmonkey](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/therealevilmonkey) $14.50 $528 36.38x 2026-11-07 16:22 UTC [AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) [Mr.Monopoly](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Mr.Monopoly) $14.50 $528 36.38x 2026-11-07 01:30 UTC [AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) [SealTeamThiccc](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/SealTeamThiccc) $14.50 $528 36.38x 2026-11-03 18:27 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=datdrop&case=oktoberfest) [Souvenir AK-47 | Safety Net (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-safety-net-field-tested) [thesamungar](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/thesamungar) $14.50 $22.28 1.54x 2026-11-11 14:27 UTC [Nova | Blaze Orange (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-blaze-orange-battle-scarred) [thesamungar](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/thesamungar) $14.50 $17.33 1.20x 2026-11-11 14:25 UTC [Nova | Blaze Orange (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-blaze-orange-battle-scarred) [Suche](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Suche) $14.50 $17.33 1.20x 2026-11-11 14:17 UTC [AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-battle-scarred) [Mr.Monopoly](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Mr.Monopoly) $14.50 $122 8.39x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC [AWP | BOOM (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-field-tested) [Mr.Monopoly](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Mr.Monopoly) $14.50 $150 10.33x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Nitro (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-nitro-well-worn) [puffer](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/puffer) $14.50 $61.20 4.22x 2026-11-11 11:42 UTC [UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) [redovsky](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/redovsky) $14.50 $49.89 3.44x 2026-11-11 10:34 UTC [StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-dragonfire-battle-scarred) [Erinko\_Duratny69](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Erinko_Duratny69) $14.50 $109 7.49x 2026-11-11 10:32 UTC [Souvenir M4A4 | Hellish (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-hellish-well-worn) [Erinko\_Duratny69](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Erinko_Duratny69) $14.50 $59.97 4.14x 2026-11-11 10:31 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Nitro (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-nitro-well-worn) [Erinko\_Duratny69](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Erinko_Duratny69) $14.50 $61.20 4.22x 2026-11-11 10:31 UTC ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days Not summed for a top-only feed ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** Every case pays out less than it costs on average; the rare items carry most of the advertised value and most openings return a fraction of the price. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt