--- title: "Operation Wildfire case on DatDrop: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Operation Wildfire ($8.25) on DatDrop, a CS2 case site: no published odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/operation-wildfire rendered: 2026-11-12T09:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) / [Operation Wildfire](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/operation-wildfire) # [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) · Operation Wildfire A case on DatDrop, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is DatDrop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/operation-wildfire?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/operation-wildfire?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/operation-wildfire) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/operation-wildfire?window=all) Price · $8.25 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · — · top-only feed: not summed Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · advertised only **DatDrop publishes its notable drops only.** Wins without losses cannot be summed, so this case shows what its odds advertise and no observed RTP. Drops listed below are the notable ones the feed showed. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/operation-wildfire?window=24h) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/operation-wildfire?window=7d) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/operation-wildfire) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/operation-wildfire?window=all) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** DatDrop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are DatDrop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=datdrop&case=operation-wildfire) [Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-minimal-wear) [EasyEasy](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/EasyEasy) $8.25 $40.09 4.86x 2026-11-12 07:51 UTC [Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-well-worn) [EasyEasy](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/EasyEasy) $8.25 $30.54 3.70x 2026-11-12 07:49 UTC [Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-triumvirate-factory-new) [EasyEasy](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/EasyEasy) $8.25 $16.51 2.00x 2026-11-12 07:48 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Valence (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-valence-well-worn) [EasyEasy](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/EasyEasy) $8.25 $8.63 1.05x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-scorched-battle-scarred) [EasyEasy](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/EasyEasy) $8.25 $106 12.84x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Valence (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-valence-field-tested) [Karma](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Karma) $8.25 $8.57 1.04x 2026-11-11 05:25 UTC [MP7 | Impire (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-impire-factory-new) [Muuau](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Muuau) $8.25 $13.16 1.60x 2026-11-10 23:33 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-scorched-field-tested) [The Story Circle](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/The%20Story%20Circle) $8.25 $82.61 10.01x 2026-11-10 22:56 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-the-battlestar-field-tested) [Teal](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Teal) $8.25 $44.75 5.42x 2026-11-10 20:23 UTC [Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-minimal-wear) [tiruriru](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/tiruriru) $8.25 $13.45 1.63x 2026-11-10 16:17 UTC ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days Not summed for a top-only feed ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** Every case pays out less than it costs on average; the rare items carry most of the advertised value and most openings return a fraction of the price. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt