--- title: "Orangehot case on DatDrop: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Orangehot ($7.25) on DatDrop, a CS2 case site: no published odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/orangehot rendered: 2026-11-11T14:38Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) / [Orangehot](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/orangehot) # [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) · Orangehot A case on DatDrop, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DatDrop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/orangehot?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/orangehot?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/orangehot) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/orangehot?window=all) Price · $7.25 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · — · top-only feed: not summed Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · advertised only **DatDrop publishes its notable drops only.** Wins without losses cannot be summed, so this case shows what its odds advertise and no observed RTP. Drops listed below are the notable ones the feed showed. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/orangehot?window=24h) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/orangehot?window=7d) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/orangehot) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/orangehot?window=all) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** DatDrop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are DatDrop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=datdrop&case=orangehot) [Sticker | Natus Vincere (Foil) | MLG Columbus 2016 (Factory New) sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-foil-mlg-columbus-2016-factory-new) [tazro](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/tazro) $7.25 $35.43 4.89x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC [AK-47 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) [redovsky](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/redovsky) $7.25 $59.12 8.15x 2026-11-11 10:05 UTC [Nova | Blaze Orange (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-blaze-orange-battle-scarred) [redovsky](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/redovsky) $7.25 $17.33 2.39x 2026-11-11 09:50 UTC [AK-47 | Searing Rage (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-factory-new) [redovsky](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/redovsky) $7.25 $63.15 8.71x 2026-11-11 09:48 UTC [MP7 | Orange Peel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-orange-peel-battle-scarred) [redovsky](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/redovsky) $7.25 $32.57 4.49x 2026-11-11 09:39 UTC [Sticker | Natus Vincere (Foil) | MLG Columbus 2016 (Factory New) sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-foil-mlg-columbus-2016-factory-new) [redovsky](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/redovsky) $7.25 $35.43 4.89x 2026-11-11 09:38 UTC [Nova | Blaze Orange (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-blaze-orange-field-tested) [Leboje](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Leboje) $7.25 $21.20 2.92x 2026-11-11 04:26 UTC [MP9 | Setting Sun (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-setting-sun-battle-scarred) [OneCloudPlays](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/OneCloudPlays) $7.25 $17.68 2.44x 2026-11-11 04:26 UTC [MP7 | Orange Peel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-orange-peel-battle-scarred) [OneCloudPlays](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/OneCloudPlays) $7.25 $32.57 4.49x 2026-11-11 04:19 UTC [MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-battle-scarred) [Leboje](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Leboje) $7.25 $9.05 1.25x 2026-11-11 04:17 UTC ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days Not summed for a top-only feed ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** Every case pays out less than it costs on average; the rare items carry most of the advertised value and most openings return a fraction of the price. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt