--- title: "Origin16 case on DatDrop: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Origin16 ($50.00) on DatDrop, a CS2 case site: no published odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/origin16 rendered: 2026-11-13T03:41Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) / [Origin16](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/origin16) # [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) · Origin16 A case on DatDrop, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is DatDrop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/origin16?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/origin16?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/origin16) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/origin16?window=all) Price · $50.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · — · top-only feed: not summed Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · advertised only **DatDrop publishes its notable drops only.** Wins without losses cannot be summed, so this case shows what its odds advertise and no observed RTP. Drops listed below are the notable ones the feed showed. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/origin16?window=24h) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/origin16?window=7d) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/origin16) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/origin16?window=all) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** DatDrop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are DatDrop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=datdrop&case=origin16) [FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-factory-new) [Mocha](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Mocha) $50.00 $93.31 1.87x 2026-11-11 01:56 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) [Prodigy](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Prodigy) $50.00 $260 5.19x 2026-11-10 18:00 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-freehand-factory-new) [ExodiaRewards 15k leaderboard](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/ExodiaRewards%2015k%20leaderboard) $50.00 $495 9.91x 2026-11-09 15:53 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [Mocha](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Mocha) $50.00 $214 4.27x 2026-11-09 10:45 UTC [Sticker | MLG (Foil) | MLG Columbus 2016 (Factory New) sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mlg-foil-mlg-columbus-2016-factory-new) [Clueless](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Clueless) $50.00 $152 3.03x 2026-11-08 23:22 UTC [M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) [Clueless](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Clueless) $50.00 $379 7.59x 2026-11-08 23:11 UTC [Sticker | Team Liquid (Holo) | Cologne 2016 (Factory New) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-liquid-holo-cologne-2016-factory-new) [Mocha](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Mocha) $50.00 $55.14 1.10x 2026-11-08 09:02 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) [kuba502a](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/kuba502a) $50.00 $138 2.76x 2026-11-08 08:38 UTC [Sticker | FaZe Clan (Foil) | MLG Columbus 2016 (Factory New) sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-faze-clan-foil-mlg-columbus-2016-factory-new) [miller lite man](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/miller%20lite%20man) $50.00 $64.01 1.28x 2026-11-07 06:19 UTC [Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-factory-new) [carlie78](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/carlie78) $50.00 $83.89 1.68x 2026-11-06 22:23 UTC ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days Not summed for a top-only feed ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** Every case pays out less than it costs on average; the rare items carry most of the advertised value and most openings return a fraction of the price. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt