--- title: "Pain case on DatDrop: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Pain ($4.00) on DatDrop, a CS2 case site: no published odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/pain-case rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) / [Pain](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/pain-case) # [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) · Pain A case on DatDrop, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is DatDrop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/pain-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/pain-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/pain-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/pain-case?window=all) Price · $4.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · — · top-only feed: not summed Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · advertised only **DatDrop publishes its notable drops only.** Wins without losses cannot be summed, so this case shows what its odds advertise and no observed RTP. Drops listed below are the notable ones the feed showed. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/pain-case?window=24h) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/pain-case?window=7d) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/pain-case) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/pain-case?window=all) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** DatDrop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are DatDrop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=datdrop&case=pain-case) [MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-field-tested) [VoidSeeker](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/VoidSeeker) $4.00 $6.11 1.53x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC [AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) [Harry Dotter](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Harry%20Dotter) $4.00 $7.37 1.84x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC [AWP | Atheris (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-well-worn) [Toilet Paper Man](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Toilet%20Paper%20Man) $4.00 $5.69 1.42x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC [MP5-SD | Phosphor (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-well-worn) [thesamungar](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/thesamungar) $4.00 $6.47 1.62x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC [MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-field-tested) [XxXWolfXxX](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/XxXWolfXxX) $4.00 $6.11 1.53x 2026-11-11 09:50 UTC [M4A1-S | Briefing (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-briefing-battle-scarred) [DarkoBaal@rustnecro](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/DarkoBaal%40rustnecro) $4.00 $5.10 1.28x 2026-11-11 06:23 UTC [M4A1-S | Briefing (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-briefing-battle-scarred) [DarkoBaal@rustnecro](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/DarkoBaal%40rustnecro) $4.00 $5.10 1.28x 2026-11-11 06:23 UTC [M4A1-S | Briefing (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-briefing-battle-scarred) [DarkoBaal@rustnecro](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/DarkoBaal%40rustnecro) $4.00 $5.10 1.28x 2026-11-11 06:23 UTC [AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-factory-new) [DarkoBaal@rustnecro](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/DarkoBaal%40rustnecro) $4.00 $26.03 6.51x 2026-11-11 06:22 UTC [AWP | Atheris (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-well-worn) [DarkoBaal@rustnecro](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/DarkoBaal%40rustnecro) $4.00 $5.69 1.42x 2026-11-11 06:22 UTC ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days Not summed for a top-only feed ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** Every case pays out less than it costs on average; the rare items carry most of the advertised value and most openings return a fraction of the price. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt