--- title: "Operation Phoenix case on DatDrop: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Operation Phoenix ($2.00) on DatDrop, a CS2 case site: no published odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/phoenix rendered: 2026-11-11T13:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) / [Operation Phoenix](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/phoenix) # [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) · Operation Phoenix A case on DatDrop, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is DatDrop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/phoenix?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/phoenix?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/phoenix) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/phoenix?window=all) Price · $2.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · — · top-only feed: not summed Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · advertised only **DatDrop publishes its notable drops only.** Wins without losses cannot be summed, so this case shows what its odds advertise and no observed RTP. Drops listed below are the notable ones the feed showed. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/phoenix?window=24h) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/phoenix?window=7d) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/phoenix) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/phoenix?window=all) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** DatDrop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are DatDrop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=datdrop&case=phoenix) [FAMAS | Sergeant (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-sergeant-well-worn) [elBushy](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/elBushy) $2.00 $3.38 1.69x 2026-11-11 13:42 UTC [StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-pulse-well-worn) [XxXPandaXxX](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/XxXPandaXxX) $2.00 $5.37 2.69x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC [StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-terrain-factory-new) [elBushy](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/elBushy) $2.00 $2.02 1.01x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC [StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-corporal-factory-new) [elBushy](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/elBushy) $2.00 $3.31 1.66x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC [StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-pulse-battle-scarred) [StingRaven](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/StingRaven) $2.00 $4.91 2.46x 2026-11-11 12:46 UTC [StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-terrain-factory-new) [ChaosHunter](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/ChaosHunter) $2.00 $2.02 1.01x 2026-11-11 12:26 UTC [StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-terrain-factory-new) [Mr.Monopoly](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Mr.Monopoly) $2.00 $2.02 1.01x 2026-11-11 12:04 UTC [MAC-10 | Heat (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-heat-well-worn) [JohnnyDoe](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/JohnnyDoe) $2.00 $3.32 1.66x 2026-11-11 12:02 UTC [FAMAS | Sergeant (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-sergeant-battle-scarred) [Mr.Monopoly](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Mr.Monopoly) $2.00 $2.92 1.46x 2026-11-11 12:02 UTC [SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-pulse-field-tested) [Harry Dotter](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Harry%20Dotter) $2.00 $3.59 1.80x 2026-11-11 11:36 UTC ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days Not summed for a top-only feed ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** Every case pays out less than it costs on average; the rare items carry most of the advertised value and most openings return a fraction of the price. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt