--- title: "RED FLAG case on DatDrop: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "RED FLAG ($10.75) on DatDrop, a CS2 case site: no published odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/red-flag rendered: 2026-11-11T23:00Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) / [RED FLAG](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/red-flag) # [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) · RED FLAG A case on DatDrop, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is DatDrop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/red-flag?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/red-flag?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/red-flag) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/red-flag?window=all) Price · $10.75 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · — · top-only feed: not summed Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · advertised only **DatDrop publishes its notable drops only.** Wins without losses cannot be summed, so this case shows what its odds advertise and no observed RTP. Drops listed below are the notable ones the feed showed. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/red-flag?window=24h) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/red-flag?window=7d) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/red-flag) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/red-flag?window=all) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** DatDrop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are DatDrop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · Covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-ruby) [tiruriru](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/tiruriru) $10.75 $1,409 131.1x 2026-11-06 22:16 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=datdrop&case=red-flag) [UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crimson-foil-factory-new) [x](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/x) $10.75 $23.60 2.20x 2026-11-11 22:23 UTC [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-crimson-web-factory-new) [x](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/x) $10.75 $64.95 6.04x 2026-11-11 22:16 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-crimson-web-well-worn) [x](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/x) $10.75 $33.21 3.09x 2026-11-11 22:16 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-crimson-web-well-worn) [x](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/x) $10.75 $33.21 3.09x 2026-11-11 22:16 UTC [SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-battle-scarred) [Tidez](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Tidez) $10.75 $24.90 2.32x 2026-11-11 22:14 UTC [Desert Eagle | Code Red (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-battle-scarred) [x](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/x) $10.75 $53.22 4.95x 2026-11-11 22:14 UTC [SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-battle-scarred) [Tidez](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Tidez) $10.75 $24.90 2.32x 2026-11-11 22:14 UTC [Desert Eagle | Code Red (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-battle-scarred) [x](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/x) $10.75 $53.22 4.95x 2026-11-11 21:35 UTC [StatTrak™ MP7 | Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-minimal-wear) [x](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/x) $10.75 $36.18 3.37x 2026-11-11 21:34 UTC [SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-battle-scarred) [x](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/x) $10.75 $24.90 2.32x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days Not summed for a top-only feed ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** Every case pays out less than it costs on average; the rare items carry most of the advertised value and most openings return a fraction of the price. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt