--- title: "Shadow case on DatDrop: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Shadow ($2.75) on DatDrop, a CS2 case site: no published odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/shadow rendered: 2026-11-11T12:56Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) / [Shadow](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/shadow) # [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) · Shadow A case on DatDrop, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is DatDrop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/shadow?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/shadow?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/shadow) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/shadow?window=all) Price · $2.75 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · — · top-only feed: not summed Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · advertised only **DatDrop publishes its notable drops only.** Wins without losses cannot be summed, so this case shows what its odds advertise and no observed RTP. Drops listed below are the notable ones the feed showed. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/shadow?window=24h) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/shadow?window=7d) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/shadow) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/shadow?window=all) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** DatDrop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are DatDrop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) [Lucky-Sniper](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Lucky-Sniper) $2.75 $178 64.83x 2026-11-09 17:04 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-well-worn) [USE CODE Mr7](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/USE%20CODE%20Mr7) $2.75 $160 58.23x 2026-11-08 02:30 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-forest-ddpat-factory-new) [AngryDoctor](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/AngryDoctor) $2.75 $138 50.26x 2026-11-06 14:01 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=datdrop&case=shadow) [StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-nebula-crusader-battle-scarred) [elBushy](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/elBushy) $2.75 $3.38 1.23x 2026-11-11 12:32 UTC [StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-scumbria-factory-new) [Mr.Monopoly](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Mr.Monopoly) $2.75 $3.94 1.43x 2026-11-11 12:08 UTC [MP7 | Special Delivery (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-special-delivery-battle-scarred) [ShadowStriker](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/ShadowStriker) $2.75 $2.95 1.07x 2026-11-11 12:07 UTC [StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-wingshot-factory-new) [Mr.Monopoly](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Mr.Monopoly) $2.75 $23.31 8.48x 2026-11-11 12:05 UTC [Galil AR | Stone Cold (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-minimal-wear) [RedHanzo](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/RedHanzo) $2.75 $7.43 2.70x 2026-11-11 11:36 UTC [StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-nebula-crusader-well-worn) [JohnnyDoe](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/JohnnyDoe) $2.75 $3.28 1.19x 2026-11-11 11:36 UTC [StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-nebula-crusader-factory-new) [elBushy](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/elBushy) $2.75 $20.16 7.33x 2026-11-11 11:01 UTC [MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-special-delivery-minimal-wear) [✪Jones](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/%E2%9C%AAJones) $2.75 $3.30 1.20x 2026-11-11 10:36 UTC [StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-nebula-crusader-field-tested) [✪Jones](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/%E2%9C%AAJones) $2.75 $4.08 1.48x 2026-11-11 10:21 UTC [StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-wingshot-well-worn) [Muuau](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Muuau) $2.75 $4.33 1.57x 2026-11-10 23:36 UTC ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days Not summed for a top-only feed ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** Every case pays out less than it costs on average; the rare items carry most of the advertised value and most openings return a fraction of the price. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt