--- title: "The bait case on DatDrop: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "The bait ($22.22) on DatDrop, a CS2 case site: no published odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/the-bait rendered: 2026-11-11T13:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) / [The bait](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/the-bait) # [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) · The bait A case on DatDrop, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is DatDrop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/the-bait?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/the-bait?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/the-bait) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/the-bait?window=all) Price · $22.22 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · — · top-only feed: not summed Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · advertised only **DatDrop publishes its notable drops only.** Wins without losses cannot be summed, so this case shows what its odds advertise and no observed RTP. Drops listed below are the notable ones the feed showed. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/the-bait?window=24h) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/the-bait?window=7d) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/the-bait) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/the-bait?window=all) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** DatDrop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are DatDrop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) [maximillian39](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/maximillian39) $22.22 $3,282 147.7x 2026-11-07 20:08 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) [twitch.tv/MrBarnee](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/twitch.tv%2FMrBarnee) $22.22 $1,894 85.23x 2026-11-07 22:28 UTC [SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) [tiruriru](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/tiruriru) $22.22 $557 25.06x 2026-11-11 00:45 UTC [SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) [canuletmewinpls](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/canuletmewinpls) $22.22 $557 25.06x 2026-11-10 08:20 UTC [SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) [beier.hillard](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/beier.hillard) $22.22 $557 25.06x 2026-11-09 21:25 UTC [SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) [AKINN](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/AKINN) $22.22 $557 25.06x 2026-11-07 01:21 UTC [SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) [AKINN](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/AKINN) $22.22 $557 25.06x 2026-11-07 00:01 UTC [SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) [AKINN](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/AKINN) $22.22 $557 25.06x 2026-11-06 00:29 UTC [SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) [4geT ◉\_◉](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/4geT%20%E2%97%89_%E2%97%89) $22.22 $557 25.06x 2026-11-05 17:07 UTC [SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) [code manny21 (YT)](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/code%20manny21%20%28YT%29) $22.22 $557 25.06x 2026-11-05 07:10 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=datdrop&case=the-bait) [StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) [burgir](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/burgir) $22.22 $186 8.38x 2026-11-11 10:18 UTC [★ Bayonet | Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-autotronic-minimal-wear) [mintpod](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/mintpod) $22.22 $385 17.35x 2026-11-11 02:47 UTC [SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) [tiruriru](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/tiruriru) $22.22 $557 25.06x 2026-11-11 00:45 UTC [AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) [burgir](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/burgir) $22.22 $44.45 2.00x 2026-11-11 00:43 UTC [MAG-7 | Heat (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heat-factory-new) [Ja Kalia](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Ja%20Kalia) $22.22 $23.35 1.05x 2026-11-10 23:36 UTC [Desert Eagle | Hand Cannon (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hand-cannon-field-tested) [1231231233](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/1231231233) $22.22 $525 23.63x 2026-11-10 22:54 UTC [FAMAS | Valence (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-valence-factory-new) [✪ c0c0](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/%E2%9C%AA%20c0c0) $22.22 $25.95 1.17x 2026-11-10 22:24 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) [OHMYGOODNESS](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/OHMYGOODNESS) $22.22 $76.50 3.44x 2026-11-10 22:24 UTC [★ Bayonet | Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-autotronic-minimal-wear) [fletcher.gorczany](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/fletcher.gorczany) $22.22 $385 17.35x 2026-11-10 20:47 UTC [FAMAS | Valence (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-valence-factory-new) [fletcher.gorczany](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/fletcher.gorczany) $22.22 $25.95 1.17x 2026-11-10 20:44 UTC ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days Not summed for a top-only feed ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** Every case pays out less than it costs on average; the rare items carry most of the advertised value and most openings return a fraction of the price. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt