--- title: "Toxic case on DatDrop: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Toxic ($40.00) on DatDrop, a CS2 case site: no published odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/toxic rendered: 2026-11-12T10:12Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) / [Toxic](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/toxic) # [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) · Toxic A case on DatDrop, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is DatDrop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/toxic?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/toxic?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/toxic) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/toxic?window=all) Price · $40.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · — · top-only feed: not summed Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · advertised only **DatDrop publishes its notable drops only.** Wins without losses cannot be summed, so this case shows what its odds advertise and no observed RTP. Drops listed below are the notable ones the feed showed. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/toxic?window=24h) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/toxic?window=7d) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/toxic) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/toxic?window=all) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** DatDrop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are DatDrop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ P90 | Emerald Dragon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-emerald-dragon-factory-new) [Gus](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Gus) $40.00 $920 22.99x 2026-11-10 17:15 UTC [StatTrak™ P90 | Emerald Dragon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-emerald-dragon-factory-new) [twitch.tv/MrBarnee](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/twitch.tv%2FMrBarnee) $40.00 $920 22.99x 2026-11-03 22:57 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-containment-breach-factory-new) [mintpod](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/mintpod) $40.00 $859 21.48x 2026-11-11 02:52 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-containment-breach-factory-new) [Erinko\_Duratny69](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Erinko_Duratny69) $40.00 $859 21.48x 2026-11-10 15:44 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-containment-breach-factory-new) [bob](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/bob) $40.00 $859 21.48x 2026-11-06 17:14 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-containment-breach-factory-new) [twitch.tv/MrBarnee](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/twitch.tv%2FMrBarnee) $40.00 $859 21.48x 2026-11-03 22:58 UTC [Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-field-tested) [Erinko\_Duratny69](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Erinko_Duratny69) $40.00 $590 14.75x 2026-11-06 17:21 UTC [Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-field-tested) [beier.hillard](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/beier.hillard) $40.00 $590 14.75x 2026-11-05 12:55 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=datdrop&case=toxic) [StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-containment-breach-field-tested) [twitch.tv/MrBarnee](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/twitch.tv%2FMrBarnee) $40.00 $238 5.95x 2026-11-11 20:34 UTC [P250 | Nuclear Threat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-minimal-wear) [Mocha](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Mocha) $40.00 $135 3.36x 2026-11-11 10:40 UTC [AWP | Containment Breach (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-battle-scarred) [Undead World](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Undead%20World) $40.00 $76.53 1.91x 2026-11-11 02:53 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-containment-breach-factory-new) [mintpod](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/mintpod) $40.00 $859 21.48x 2026-11-11 02:52 UTC [Souvenir Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-nuclear-garden-factory-new) [tiruriru](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/tiruriru) $40.00 $77.42 1.94x 2026-11-11 01:18 UTC [StatTrak™ P90 | Emerald Dragon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-emerald-dragon-factory-new) [Gus](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Gus) $40.00 $920 22.99x 2026-11-10 17:15 UTC [Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-well-worn) [Gus](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Gus) $40.00 $51.57 1.29x 2026-11-10 17:14 UTC [AWP | Containment Breach (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-battle-scarred) [Gus](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Gus) $40.00 $76.53 1.91x 2026-11-10 17:13 UTC [P250 | Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-field-tested) [Gus](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Gus) $40.00 $54.23 1.36x 2026-11-10 17:11 UTC [P250 | Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-field-tested) [Gus](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Gus) $40.00 $54.23 1.36x 2026-11-10 17:10 UTC ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days Not summed for a top-only feed ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** Every case pays out less than it costs on average; the rare items carry most of the advertised value and most openings return a fraction of the price. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt