--- title: "Welcome case case on DatDrop: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Welcome case ($0.00) on DatDrop, a CS2 case site: no published odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/welcome-case rendered: 2026-11-11T12:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) / [Welcome case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/welcome-case) # [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) · Welcome case A case on DatDrop, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is DatDrop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/welcome-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/welcome-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/welcome-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/welcome-case?window=all) Price · $0.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · — · top-only feed: not summed Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · advertised only **DatDrop publishes its notable drops only.** Wins without losses cannot be summed, so this case shows what its odds advertise and no observed RTP. Drops listed below are the notable ones the feed showed. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/welcome-case?window=24h) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/welcome-case?window=7d) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/welcome-case) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/datdrop/welcome-case?window=all) | 0 | top-only feed | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** DatDrop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are DatDrop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=datdrop&case=welcome-case) [Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-galigator-factory-new) [mmurphy](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/mmurphy) $0 $9.43 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:40 UTC [M4A4 | Global Offensive (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-global-offensive-minimal-wear) [dmonahan](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/dmonahan) $0 $28.63 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:38 UTC [AWP | Exothermic (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exothermic-well-worn) [Road-To-Silver](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Road-To-Silver) $0 $26.36 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:12 UTC [AWP | Crakow! (Battle-Scarred) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-battle-scarred) [Appoint\\](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Appoint%5C) $0 $37.55 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:03 UTC [M4A1-S | Fatal Glitch (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fatal-glitch-battle-scarred) [Alexarous](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/Alexarous) $0 $32.87 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:01 UTC [AWP | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) [LouLouSKINS"CS2SKINS.GIFT"CS2.ME](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/LouLouSKINS%22CS2SKINS.GIFT%22CS2.ME) $0 $30.41 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:35 UTC [AWP | Exothermic (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exothermic-well-worn) [puffer](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/puffer) $0 $26.36 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:29 UTC [Glock-18 | Ramese's Reach (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-rameses-reach-well-worn) [white.lucinda](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/white.lucinda) $0 $15.79 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:29 UTC [AWP | Black Nile (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-nile-factory-new) [テネブリス](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/%E3%83%86%E3%83%8D%E3%83%96%E3%83%AA%E3%82%B9) $0 $31.80 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:02 UTC [AUG | Lapis Lazuli (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-lapis-lazuli-battle-scarred) [kihn.hermina](https://gambatracker.com/players/datdrop/kihn.hermina) $0 $2.98 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:59 UTC ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days Not summed for a top-only feed ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** Every case pays out less than it costs on average; the rare items carry most of the advertised value and most openings return a fraction of the price. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt