---
title: "CLUTCH case on DROP.SKIN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "CLUTCH ($0.60) on DROP.SKIN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 159.61% from 58 items with odds, observed 100.48% over 16.9K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/clutch
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:42Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) / [CLUTCH](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/clutch)

# [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) · CLUTCH

A case on DROP.SKIN (cs2), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DROP.SKIN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/clutch?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/clutch?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/clutch) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/clutch?window=all)

Price · $0.60

Advertised RTP · 159.61% · EV $0.96 from 58 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 100.48% · 16.9K openings, odds method

Variance · 78.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 35 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 83.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 93.95% ±51.51 1,158 openings

7 days · 101.56% ±13.53 15.5K openings

30 days · 100.48% ±12.97 16.9K openings

since tracking started · 100.48% ±12.97 16.9K openings

42.0% 101.0% 160.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 158.60% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (87.52% – 113.45%, 16,872 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/clutch?window=24h) | 1,158 | 93.95% ±51.5 | −2.5σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/clutch?window=7d) | 15.5K | 101.56% ±13.5 | −8.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/clutch) | 16.9K | 100.48% ±13.0 | −8.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/clutch?window=all) | 16.9K | 100.48% ±13.0 | −8.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 58 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 16.9K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,638 | $286 | 2.8% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-well-worn) | 1 in 6,623 | $178 | 2.8% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-well-worn) | 1 in 4,965 | $134 | 2.8% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Polygon (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-well-worn) | 1 in 3,644 | $98.03 | 2.8% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Bronze Morph (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-field-tested) | 1 in 2,813 | $75.66 | 2.8% | 0 | 6.0 | 0.00× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,231 | $60.00 | 2.8% | 0 | 7.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,904 | $51.21 | 2.8% | 0 | 8.9 | 0.00× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Overtake (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,613 | $43.38 | 2.8% | 0 | 10.5 | 0.00× |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,468 | $39.48 | 2.8% | 0 | 11.5 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Death Grip (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-grip-field-tested) | 1 in 718 | $19.32 | 2.8% | 0 | 23.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Sputnik (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sputnik-factory-new) | 1 in 418 | $11.25 | 2.8% | 6 | 40.3 | 0.15× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Curse (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-curse-field-tested) | 1 in 399 | $10.72 | 2.8% | 0 | 42.3 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-battle-scarred) | 1 in 368 | $9.89 | 2.8% | 0 | 45.9 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 1 in 357 | $9.61 | 2.8% | 14 | 47.2 | 0.30× |
| [FAMAS \| Neural Net (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-neural-net-factory-new) | 1 in 340 | $9.15 | 2.8% | 28 | 49.6 | 0.56× |
| [M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-field-tested) | 1 in 326 | $8.76 | 2.8% | 30 | 51.8 | 0.58× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-field-tested) | 1 in 268 | $7.22 | 2.8% | 52 | 62.9 | 0.83× |
| [AUG \| Momentum (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-field-tested) | 1 in 258 | $6.95 | 2.8% | 71 | 65.3 | 1.09× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Stymphalian (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-stymphalian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 232 | $6.25 | 2.8% | 48 | 72.6 | 0.66× |
| [Souvenir Galil AR \| Cold Fusion (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-galil-ar-cold-fusion-factory-new) | 1 in 167 | $4.50 | 2.8% | 86 | 100.9 | 0.85× |
| [FAMAS \| Macabre (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-macabre-well-worn) | 1 in 148 | $3.97 | 2.8% | 84 | 114.4 | 0.73× |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Pole Position (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-pole-position-minimal-wear) | 1 in 117 | $3.14 | 2.8% | 120 | 144.6 | 0.83× |
| [MP5-SD \| Acid Wash (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-acid-wash-factory-new) | 1 in 339 | $2.72 | 0.8% | 115 | 49.8 | 2.31× |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-tigris-well-worn) | 1 in 306 | $2.30 | 0.8% | 56 | 55.1 | 1.02× |
| [G3SG1 \| Azure Zebra (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-azure-zebra-minimal-wear) | 1 in 286 | $2.05 | 0.7% | 63 | 59.0 | 1.07× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-moonrise-battle-scarred) | 1 in 258 | $1.73 | 0.7% | 80 | 65.4 | 1.22× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Space Cat (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-space-cat-factory-new) | 1 in 232 | $1.45 | 0.7% | 80 | 72.7 | 1.10× |
| [Souvenir MP9 \| Old Roots (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp9-old-roots-minimal-wear) | 1 in 231 | $1.44 | 0.6% | 98 | 73.1 | 1.34× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Cocoa Rampage (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-cocoa-rampage-minimal-wear) | 1 in 223 | $1.36 | 0.6% | 93 | 75.5 | 1.23× |
| [StatTrak™ Nova \| Wild Six (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-wild-six-minimal-wear) | 1 in 211 | $1.23 | 0.6% | 85 | 80.0 | 1.06× |
| [StatTrak™ Nova \| Plume (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-plume-battle-scarred) | 1 in 187 | $1.01 | 0.6% | 90 | 90.4 | 1.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-moonrise-field-tested) | 1 in 177 | $0.92 | 0.5% | 0 | 95.4 | 0.00× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Grotto (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-grotto-factory-new) | 1 in 172 | $0.88 | 0.5% | 136 | 98.0 | 1.39× |
| [Galil AR \| Connexion (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-connexion-minimal-wear) | 1 in 169 | $0.85 | 0.5% | 110 | 99.9 | 1.10× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Cocoa Rampage (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-cocoa-rampage-battle-scarred) | 1 in 162 | $0.79 | 0.5% | 0 | 104.3 | 0.00× |
| [M249 \| Predator (Well-Worn) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-predator-well-worn) | 1 in 158 | $0.76 | 0.5% | 125 | 106.8 | 1.17× |
| [StatTrak™ M249 \| Deep Relief (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-deep-relief-well-worn) | 1 in 149 | $0.70 | 0.5% | 114 | 112.9 | 1.01× |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Vendetta (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-vendetta-well-worn) | 1 in 147 | $0.68 | 0.5% | 113 | 114.5 | 0.99× |
| [UMP-45 \| Moonrise (Well-Worn) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-moonrise-well-worn) | 1 in 146 | $0.67 | 0.5% | 129 | 115.8 | 1.11× |
| [StatTrak™ Negev \| dev\_texture (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-dev-texture-well-worn) | 1 in 142 | $0.64 | 0.5% | 325 | 118.5 | 2.74× |
| [MP5-SD \| Agent (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-agent-field-tested) | 1 in 139 | $0.62 | 0.5% | 477 | 121.1 | 3.94× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Verdigris (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-verdigris-minimal-wear) | 1 in 139 | $0.62 | 0.5% | 339 | 121.2 | 2.80× |
| [Negev \| Lionfish (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-lionfish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 139 | $0.62 | 0.5% | 117 | 121.2 | 0.97× |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Quicksilver (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-quicksilver-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $0.58 | 3.0% | 909 | 840.8 | 1.08× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Armor Core (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-armor-core-well-worn) | 1 in 19 | $0.55 | 3.0% | 926 | 866.7 | 1.07× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Amber Slipstream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-amber-slipstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $0.50 | 2.9% | 960 | 914.4 | 1.05× |
| [UMP-45 \| Labyrinth (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-labyrinth-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $0.49 | 2.8% | 976 | 926.3 | 1.05× |
| [UMP-45 \| Plastique (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-plastique-well-worn) | 1 in 18 | $0.47 | 2.7% | 1,003 | 951.7 | 1.05× |
| [Souvenir G3SG1 \| Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-g3sg1-desert-storm-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $0.40 | 2.5% | 1,068 | 1016.5 | 1.05× |
| [M249 \| System Lock (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-system-lock-battle-scarred) | 1 in 16 | $0.40 | 2.5% | 930 | 1023.8 | 0.91× |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Night Riot (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-night-riot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $0.21 | 1.5% | 1,025 | 1154.0 | 0.89× |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Aloha (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-aloha-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $0.20 | 1.4% | 1,018 | 1152.6 | 0.88× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Flame Test (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-flame-test-battle-scarred) | 1 in 15 | $0.18 | 1.2% | 1,066 | 1139.8 | 0.94× |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Black Sand (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-black-sand-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $0.16 | 1.1% | 914 | 1127.9 | 0.81× |
| [P250 \| Cassette (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cassette-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $0.10 | 0.6% | 841 | 966.4 | 0.87× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Spirit Board (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-spirit-board-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $0.06 | 0.3% | 675 | 685.8 | 0.98× |
| [Negev \| Drop Me (Well-Worn) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-drop-me-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $0.06 | 0.2% | 621 | 674.5 | 0.92× |
| [Souvenir SSG 08 \| Prey (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-prey-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $0.05 | 0.2% | 453 | 562.5 | 0.81× |

Values are DROP.SKIN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `dropskin:cases-service/slug/clutch/info`, 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=dropskin&case=clutch)

[M4A4 | Spider Lily (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-field-tested) [Vosvos](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Vosvos) $0.60 $8.99 14.98x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-spirit-board-well-worn) [Vosvos](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Vosvos) $0.60 $0.06 0.10x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC

[StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-amber-slipstream-minimal-wear) [Vosvos](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Vosvos) $0.60 $0.50 0.84x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC

[M249 | System Lock (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-system-lock-battle-scarred) [Vosvos](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Vosvos) $0.60 $0.40 0.66x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC

[StatTrak™ SG 553 | Aloha (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-aloha-field-tested) [Vosvos](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Vosvos) $0.60 $0.20 0.34x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC

[Souvenir G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-g3sg1-desert-storm-battle-scarred) [Vosvos](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Vosvos) $0.60 $0.40 0.67x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC

[StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-black-sand-field-tested) [Vosvos](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Vosvos) $0.60 $0.16 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC

[StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-black-sand-field-tested) [Vosvos](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Vosvos) $0.60 $0.16 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC

[StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-night-riot-minimal-wear) [Vosvos](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Vosvos) $0.60 $0.22 0.36x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC

[StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-quicksilver-field-tested) [Vosvos](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Vosvos) $0.60 $0.58 0.97x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $0.60 | 159.61% | 58 |
| 10 Nov, 08:14 UTC | $0.60 | 158.62% | 58 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $0.60 | 149.11% | 58 |
| 8 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $0.60 | 167.58% | 58 |
| 7 Nov, 10:51 UTC | $0.60 | 159.07% | 58 |
| 6 Nov, 10:44 UTC | $0.60 | 165.47% | 58 |
| 5 Nov, 10:38 UTC | $0.60 | 156.91% | 58 |
| 4 Nov, 07:07 UTC | $0.60 | 150.88% | 58 |
| 3 Nov, 07:29 UTC | $0.60 | 148.35% | 58 |
| 3 Nov, 04:28 UTC | $0.60 | 154.57% | 58 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 4.0% extraordinary 0.2% covert 0.1% restricted 1.9% blue 0.2% Restricted 2.3% Classified 0.3% Legendary 0.3% violet 5.9% #d32ce6 0.4% classified 0.8% Industrial Grade 1.0% milspec 21.0% mil spec 6.8% #8847ff 1.1% Mil Spec Grade 35.7% Mythical 1.8% Rare 0.6% Consumer Grade 10.0% Mil Spec 5.5% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 159.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $159.61 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt