---
title: "GAMMA-2 case on DROP.SKIN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "GAMMA-2 ($4.15) on DROP.SKIN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.81% from 46 items with odds, observed 69.56% over 42 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/gamma-2
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:52Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) / [GAMMA-2](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/gamma-2)

# [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) · GAMMA-2

A case on DROP.SKIN (cs2), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DROP.SKIN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/gamma-2?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/gamma-2?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/gamma-2) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/gamma-2?window=all)

Price · $4.15

Advertised RTP · 90.81% · EV $3.77 from 46 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 69.56% · 42 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 16.4% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 31 openings · below min

7 days · 38 openings · below min

30 days · 42 openings · below min

since tracking started · 42 openings · below min

1.5% 67.0% 132.5%

**Small sample.** 42 openings and 6.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/gamma-2?window=24h) | 31 | 67.14% ±64.9 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/gamma-2?window=7d) | 38 | 66.64% ±58.7 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/gamma-2) | 42 | 69.56% ±56.0 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/gamma-2?window=all) | 42 | 69.56% ±56.0 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 46 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 42 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-revolution-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,043 | $132 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Roll Cage (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-roll-cage-well-worn) | 1 in 950 | $120 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Directive (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-directive-factory-new) | 1 in 493 | $62.29 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-safari-mesh-well-worn) | 1 in 358 | $45.20 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 290 | $36.60 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 225 | $28.38 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [MP7 \| Nemesis (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-nemesis-factory-new) | 1 in 213 | $26.94 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 202 | $25.52 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-battle-scarred) | 1 in 166 | $20.93 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-snack-attack-well-worn) | 1 in 299 | $18.24 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Weasel (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-weasel-factory-new) | 1 in 260 | $14.45 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [P250 \| Cartel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 230 | $11.76 | 1.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 217 | $10.70 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 167 | $6.93 | 1.1% | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 153 | $6.00 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Jungle Spray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jungle-spray-battle-scarred) | 1 in 150 | $5.80 | 1.0% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-minimal-wear) | 1 in 149 | $5.71 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Negev \| Infrastructure (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-infrastructure-field-tested) | 1 in 137 | $4.99 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Souvenir CZ75-Auto \| Nitro (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-cz75-auto-nitro-field-tested) | 1 in 134 | $4.78 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Carbon Fiber (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-carbon-fiber-factory-new) | 1 in 128 | $4.45 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-tigris-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $4.07 | 3.7% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Stymphalian (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-stymphalian-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $4.02 | 3.7% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.38× |
| [MP7 \| Scorched (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-scorched-battle-scarred) | 1 in 29 | $3.96 | 3.6% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.38× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Phoenix Marker (Field-Tested) weapon · 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-phoenix-marker-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $3.78 | 3.5% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.68× |
| [P2000 \| Red FragCam (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-fragcam-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $3.47 | 3.3% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.66× |
| [MAC-10 \| Last Dive (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-last-dive-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $3.38 | 3.2% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.32× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Cracked Opal (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-cracked-opal-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $3.21 | 3.1% | 4 | 1.5 | 2.61× |
| [UMP-45 \| Indigo (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-indigo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $2.93 | 2.9% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.93× |
| [Negev \| Boroque Sand (Well-Worn) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-boroque-sand-well-worn) | 1 in 27 | $2.82 | 2.8% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hybrid (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $2.49 | 2.5% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.63× |
| [G3SG1 \| Keeping Tabs (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-keeping-tabs-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $2.46 | 2.5% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Triarch (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-triarch-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $2.41 | 2.4% | 5 | 1.6 | 3.16× |
| [MP7 \| Guerrilla (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-guerrilla-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $2.39 | 2.4% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Seasons (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-seasons-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $2.36 | 2.4% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-battle-scarred) | 1 in 27 | $2.26 | 2.3% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.63× |
| [UMP-45 \| Briefing (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-briefing-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $1.85 | 1.8% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Old Roots (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-old-roots-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $1.77 | 1.7% | 4 | 1.5 | 2.60× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Module (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-module-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $1.68 | 1.6% | 3 | 1.5 | 1.97× |
| [Negev \| Dazzle (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dazzle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $1.51 | 1.4% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.35× |
| [MAG-7 \| Petroglyph (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-petroglyph-well-worn) | 1 in 29 | $1.41 | 1.3% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.69× |
| [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Powercore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-powercore-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $1.20 | 1.0% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.74× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Oil Change (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-oil-change-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $1.18 | 1.0% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.48× |
| [SG 553 \| Lush Ruins (Factory New) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-lush-ruins-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $1.15 | 1.0% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Torn (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-torn-well-worn) | 1 in 32 | $1.14 | 1.0% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.51× |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Slipstream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-slipstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 39 | $0.79 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.93× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-monster-call-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $0.76 | 0.5% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |

Values are DROP.SKIN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `dropskin:cases-service/slug/gamma-2/info`, 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=dropskin&case=gamma-2)

[StatTrak™ P90 | Module (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-module-field-tested) Hidden $4.15 $1.68 0.40x 2026-11-11 07:23 UTC

[StatTrak™ SG 553 | Triarch (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-triarch-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.15 $2.41 0.58x 2026-11-11 07:23 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-oil-change-factory-new) [Anaksunamun](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Anaksunamun) $4.15 $1.18 0.29x 2026-11-11 07:23 UTC

[MP9 | Old Roots (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-old-roots-factory-new) [Anaksunamun](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Anaksunamun) $4.15 $1.77 0.43x 2026-11-11 07:23 UTC

[StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Cracked Opal (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-cracked-opal-factory-new) Hidden $4.15 $3.21 0.77x 2026-11-11 07:22 UTC

[StatTrak™ SG 553 | Triarch (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-triarch-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.15 $2.41 0.58x 2026-11-11 07:22 UTC

[AK-47 | Steel Delta (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-battle-scarred) [Anaksunamun](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Anaksunamun) $4.15 $2.26 0.54x 2026-11-11 07:22 UTC

[AK-47 | Jungle Spray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jungle-spray-battle-scarred) [Anaksunamun](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Anaksunamun) $4.15 $5.80 1.40x 2026-11-11 07:22 UTC

[Negev | Dazzle (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dazzle-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.15 $1.51 0.36x 2026-11-11 07:21 UTC

[P2000 | Red FragCam (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-fragcam-field-tested) Hidden $4.15 $3.47 0.84x 2026-11-11 07:21 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $4.15 | 90.81% | 46 |
| 10 Nov, 08:14 UTC | $4.15 | 90.14% | 46 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $4.15 | 88.12% | 46 |
| 8 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $4.15 | 87.96% | 46 |
| 7 Nov, 10:51 UTC | $4.15 | 86.63% | 46 |
| 6 Nov, 10:44 UTC | $4.15 | 87.06% | 46 |
| 5 Nov, 10:38 UTC | $4.15 | 87.38% | 46 |
| 4 Nov, 07:07 UTC | $4.15 | 86.87% | 46 |
| 3 Nov, 07:29 UTC | $4.15 | 87.55% | 46 |
| 3 Nov, 04:28 UTC | $4.15 | 91.02% | 46 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 2 3.5% covert 0.1% red 0.5% restricted 12.0% covert knife 0.3% classified 2.8% Legendary 3.9% pink 0.6% Mythical 3.8% mil spec 11.6% industrial 1.4% Mil Spec Grade 7.0% Consumer Grade 10.4% consumer 3.7% #8847ff 9.5% Mil Spec 7.4% blue 7.5% Rare 3.7% Uncommon 3.7% violet 3.4% gray 3.2% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.81 on average: an expected loss of $9.19 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt