---
title: "GAMMA case on DROP.SKIN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "GAMMA ($2.49) on DROP.SKIN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 114.46% from 49 items with odds, observed 83.73% over 128 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/gamma
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:38Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) / [GAMMA](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/gamma)

# [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) · GAMMA

A case on DROP.SKIN (cs2), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DROP.SKIN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/gamma?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/gamma?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/gamma) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/gamma?window=all)

Price · $2.49

Advertised RTP · 114.46% · EV $2.85 from 49 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 83.73% · 128 openings, odds method

Variance · 26.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 23 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 84.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 37 openings · below min

7 days · 113 openings · below min

30 days · 128 openings · below min

since tracking started · 128 openings · below min

-0.5% 126.0% 252.5%

**Small sample.** 128 openings and 4.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/gamma?window=24h) | 37 | 82.90% ±169.2 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/gamma?window=7d) | 113 | 88.25% ±96.6 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/gamma) | 128 | 83.73% ±90.7 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/gamma?window=all) | 128 | 83.73% ±90.7 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 49 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 128 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 3,660 | $398 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-autotronic-well-worn) | 1 in 3,561 | $387 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-wasteland-rebel-well-worn) | 1 in 1,136 | $123 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,082 | $117 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Bright Water (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-bright-water-well-worn) | 1 in 950 | $103 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-sugar-rush-battle-scarred) | 1 in 944 | $103 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 874 | $94.86 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-ocean-drive-well-worn) | 1 in 706 | $76.70 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Mangrove (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-mangrove-battle-scarred) | 1 in 308 | $33.49 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) | 1 in 286 | $31.02 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 154 | $16.67 | 3.8% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| Arctic Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-arctic-camo-field-tested) | 1 in 139 | $15.05 | 3.8% | 3 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 135 | $14.70 | 3.8% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-desolate-space-well-worn) | 1 in 125 | $13.52 | 3.8% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-well-worn) | 1 in 121 | $13.10 | 3.8% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Hydra (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-hydra-battle-scarred) | 1 in 116 | $9.83 | 3.0% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.82× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) | 1 in 104 | $8.23 | 2.8% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.82× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Phobos (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-phobos-minimal-wear) | 1 in 85 | $5.80 | 2.4% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.32× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Aloha (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-aloha-field-tested) | 1 in 79 | $5.14 | 2.3% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.23× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Dezastre (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-dezastre-field-tested) | 1 in 68 | $4.03 | 2.1% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.60× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-field-tested) | 1 in 61 | $3.36 | 1.9% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.48× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Exposure (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-exposure-factory-new) | 1 in 58 | $3.06 | 1.9% | 5 | 2.2 | 2.26× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Nightshade (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-nightshade-field-tested) | 1 in 56 | $2.94 | 1.8% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.44× |
| [XM1014 \| Grassland (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-grassland-field-tested) | 1 in 45 | $2.19 | 1.7% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.71× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Vandal (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-vandal-minimal-wear) | 1 in 45 | $2.17 | 1.7% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.05× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Dart (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-dart-well-worn) | 1 in 45 | $2.16 | 1.7% | 3 | 2.9 | 1.05× |
| [MP5-SD \| Acid Wash (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-acid-wash-minimal-wear) | 1 in 44 | $2.13 | 1.7% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.69× |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Memento (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-memento-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $1.92 | 1.7% | 8 | 3.2 | 2.51× |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Limelight (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-limelight-field-tested) | 1 in 39 | $1.86 | 1.7% | 4 | 3.3 | 1.23× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Triumvirate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-triumvirate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 39 | $1.85 | 1.7% | 0 | 3.3 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Nova \| Gila (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-gila-field-tested) | 1 in 35 | $1.62 | 1.6% | 4 | 3.6 | 1.10× |
| [P90 \| Chopper (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-chopper-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $1.46 | 1.6% | 2 | 3.9 | 0.51× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Reboot (Well-Worn) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-reboot-well-worn) | 1 in 32 | $1.43 | 1.6% | 5 | 4.0 | 1.26× |
| [Negev \| Boroque Sand (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-boroque-sand-battle-scarred) | 1 in 27 | $1.06 | 1.4% | 1 | 4.7 | 0.21× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Capillary (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-capillary-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $1.05 | 1.4% | 8 | 4.7 | 1.69× |
| [MAC-10 \| Carnivore (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-carnivore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $0.54 | 0.8% | 5 | 5.6 | 0.89× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $0.47 | 0.7% | 6 | 5.6 | 1.07× |
| [UMP-45 \| Briefing (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-briefing-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $0.41 | 0.6% | 5 | 5.5 | 0.90× |
| [Souvenir SSG 08 \| Azure Glyph (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-azure-glyph-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $0.40 | 0.6% | 3 | 5.5 | 0.54× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-battle-scarred) | 1 in 24 | $0.34 | 0.5% | 7 | 5.3 | 1.31× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Off World (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-off-world-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $0.30 | 0.4% | 3 | 5.2 | 0.58× |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Bone Forged (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-bone-forged-battle-scarred) | 1 in 27 | $0.25 | 0.3% | 5 | 4.8 | 1.04× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Nitro (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-nitro-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $0.23 | 0.3% | 6 | 4.6 | 1.30× |
| [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Hideout (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-hideout-minimal-wear) | 1 in 30 | $0.20 | 0.2% | 3 | 4.3 | 0.70× |
| [Nova \| Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-factory-new) | 1 in 30 | $0.20 | 0.2% | 5 | 4.3 | 1.17× |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Aloha (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-aloha-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $0.20 | 0.2% | 7 | 4.3 | 1.63× |
| [AUG \| Triqua (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-triqua-well-worn) | 1 in 31 | $0.19 | 0.2% | 1 | 4.1 | 0.24× |
| [P2000 \| Gnarled (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 34 | $0.16 | 0.2% | 5 | 3.7 | 1.34× |
| [Galil AR \| Destroyer (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-destroyer-well-worn) | 1 in 52 | $0.10 | 0.1% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.81× |

Values are DROP.SKIN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `dropskin:cases-service/slug/gamma/info`, 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=dropskin&case=gamma)

[UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-briefing-minimal-wear) [LM](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/LM) $2.49 $0.41 0.17x 2026-11-11 09:53 UTC

[P90 | Chopper (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-chopper-well-worn) [zoyt4H'](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/zoyt4H') $2.49 $1.46 0.59x 2026-11-11 09:51 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP9 | Capillary (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-capillary-minimal-wear) [voyager](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/voyager) $2.49 $1.05 0.42x 2026-11-11 09:31 UTC

[MAC-10 | Carnivore (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-carnivore-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.49 $0.54 0.22x 2026-11-11 08:29 UTC

[StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Aloha (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-aloha-field-tested) [Anaksunamun](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Anaksunamun) $2.49 $5.14 2.07x 2026-11-11 08:28 UTC

[Galil AR | Destroyer (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-destroyer-well-worn) [wǒ xiǎng liáo liáo](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/w%C7%92%20xi%C7%8Eng%20li%C3%A1o%20li%C3%A1o) $2.49 $0.10 0.04x 2026-11-11 08:27 UTC

[StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Memento (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-memento-field-tested) [Xiv1](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Xiv1) $2.49 $1.92 0.77x 2026-11-11 06:03 UTC

[XM1014 | Grassland (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-grassland-field-tested) [ROWE](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/ROWE) $2.49 $2.22 0.89x 2026-11-11 05:44 UTC

[Nova | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-factory-new) [ROWE](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/ROWE) $2.49 $0.20 0.08x 2026-11-11 05:43 UTC

[StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Memento (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-memento-field-tested) [ROWE](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/ROWE) $2.49 $1.92 0.77x 2026-11-11 05:43 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $2.49 | 114.46% | 49 |
| 10 Nov, 08:14 UTC | $2.49 | 114.16% | 49 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $2.49 | 114.34% | 49 |
| 8 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $2.49 | 115.00% | 49 |
| 7 Nov, 10:51 UTC | $2.49 | 114.77% | 49 |
| 6 Nov, 10:44 UTC | $2.49 | 111.47% | 49 |
| 5 Nov, 10:38 UTC | $2.49 | 114.47% | 49 |
| 4 Nov, 07:07 UTC | $2.49 | 113.85% | 49 |
| 3 Nov, 07:29 UTC | $2.49 | 110.62% | 49 |
| 3 Nov, 04:28 UTC | $2.49 | 113.65% | 49 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 3 3.1% #ffd700 0.0% covert knife 0.0% covert 0.2% red 0.1% Covert 0.1% Classified 0.1% Immortal 0.1% extraordinary 0.3% classified 5.9% industrial 7.7% Legendary 1.0% restricted 4.0% Mil Spec Grade 9.0% violet 4.0% Restricted 7.3% Consumer Grade 2.2% #4b69ff 21.7% mil spec 6.0% milspec 16.2% consumer 3.7% Industrial Grade 4.3% Rare 2.9% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 114.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $114.46 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt