---
title: "ICE-RAINBOW case on DROP.SKIN: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "ICE-RAINBOW ($20.00) on DROP.SKIN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 113.76% from 57 items with odds, observed 76.52% over 381 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/ice-rainbow
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:10Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) / [ICE-RAINBOW](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/ice-rainbow)

# [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) · ICE-RAINBOW

A case on DROP.SKIN (bestseller), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DROP.SKIN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/ice-rainbow?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/ice-rainbow?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/ice-rainbow) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/ice-rainbow?window=all)

Price · $20.00

Advertised RTP · 113.76% · EV $22.75 from 57 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 76.52% · 381 openings, odds method

Variance · 9.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 12.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 76 openings · below min

7 days · 75.88% ±33.20 331 openings

30 days · 76.52% ±30.96 381 openings

since tracking started · 76.52% ±30.96 381 openings

3.5% 72.5% 141.5%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 111.09% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (45.56% – 107.48%, 381 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/ice-rainbow?window=24h) | 76 | 72.62% ±68.4 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/ice-rainbow?window=7d) | 331 | 75.88% ±33.2 | −2.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/ice-rainbow) | 381 | 76.52% ±31.0 | −2.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/ice-rainbow?window=all) | 381 | 76.52% ±31.0 | −2.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 57 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 381 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,420 | $1,191 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 1,143 | $958 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 616 | $517 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) | 1 in 605 | $507 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Scorched (Battle-Scarred) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-scorched-battle-scarred) | 1 in 532 | $446 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-royal-paladin-factory-new) | 1 in 427 | $358 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) | 1 in 276 | $231 | 3.7% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Scorched (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-scorched-well-worn) | 1 in 175 | $147 | 3.7% | 0 | 2.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-well-worn) | 1 in 169 | $142 | 3.7% | 3 | 2.3 | 1.33× |
| [Galil AR \| Cerberus (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-factory-new) | 1 in 165 | $138 | 3.7% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-minimal-wear) | 1 in 459 | $94.78 | 0.9% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Victoria (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-victoria-minimal-wear) | 1 in 456 | $93.86 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 400 | $75.38 | 0.8% | 2 | 1.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-field-tested) | 1 in 352 | $60.86 | 0.8% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) | 1 in 310 | $49.27 | 0.7% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.81× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-factory-new) | 1 in 283 | $42.37 | 0.7% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.74× |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-minimal-wear) | 1 in 281 | $41.93 | 0.7% | 4 | 1.4 | 2.95× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Exoskeleton (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-exoskeleton-factory-new) | 1 in 266 | $38.23 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.70× |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-well-worn) | 1 in 255 | $35.71 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $34.53 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.66× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-water-elemental-well-worn) | 1 in 235 | $31.04 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.62× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 231 | $30.30 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-battle-scarred) | 1 in 218 | $27.43 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.57× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-well-worn) | 1 in 217 | $27.26 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [Souvenir USP-S \| Orange Anolis (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-orange-anolis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 206 | $24.86 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.54× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Stainless (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-stainless-field-tested) | 1 in 205 | $24.70 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.54× |
| [M4A4 \| Zirka (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-zirka-field-tested) | 1 in 186 | $21.00 | 0.5% | 9 | 2.1 | 4.39× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Heirloom (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-heirloom-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $19.95 | 2.7% | 10 | 11.5 | 0.87× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $19.45 | 2.6% | 15 | 11.6 | 1.29× |
| [USP-S \| Overgrowth (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-overgrowth-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $19.40 | 2.6% | 4 | 11.6 | 0.34× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Fowl Play (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-fowl-play-well-worn) | 1 in 32 | $18.47 | 2.5% | 5 | 11.7 | 0.43× |
| [USP-S \| Blueprint (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $18.29 | 2.5% | 11 | 11.8 | 0.93× |
| [Souvenir AK-47 \| Safety Net (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-safety-net-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $17.53 | 2.4% | 16 | 11.9 | 1.35× |
| [MAG-7 \| Justice (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-justice-factory-new) | 1 in 32 | $17.10 | 2.4% | 15 | 11.9 | 1.26× |
| [Galil AR \| Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-orange-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $16.58 | 2.3% | 12 | 12.0 | 1.00× |
| [Souvenir Glock-18 \| Ramese's Reach (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-rameses-reach-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $16.27 | 2.3% | 11 | 12.0 | 0.92× |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Woodsman (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-woodsman-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $16.13 | 2.2% | 13 | 12.0 | 1.08× |
| [P250 \| Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bengal-tiger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $16.05 | 2.2% | 10 | 12.0 | 0.83× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Eco (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-eco-well-worn) | 1 in 31 | $14.68 | 2.1% | 13 | 12.1 | 1.07× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $14.04 | 2.0% | 15 | 12.2 | 1.23× |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $13.75 | 1.9% | 15 | 12.2 | 1.23× |
| [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $13.57 | 1.9% | 13 | 12.2 | 1.07× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Vogue (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-vogue-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $12.74 | 1.8% | 10 | 12.2 | 0.82× |
| [M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $11.05 | 1.5% | 17 | 12.1 | 1.41× |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-eco-factory-new) | 1 in 32 | $10.52 | 1.5% | 9 | 12.0 | 0.75× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Briefing (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-briefing-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $10.40 | 1.4% | 13 | 12.0 | 1.09× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-boost-protocol-factory-new) | 1 in 32 | $10.35 | 1.4% | 12 | 12.0 | 1.00× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Blood Tiger (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-blood-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $10.28 | 1.4% | 13 | 12.0 | 1.09× |
| [Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rocket-pop-factory-new) | 1 in 32 | $9.98 | 1.4% | 12 | 11.9 | 1.01× |
| [AWP \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-battle-scarred) | 1 in 32 | $9.89 | 1.4% | 12 | 11.9 | 1.01× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-bunsen-burner-factory-new) | 1 in 32 | $9.88 | 1.4% | 13 | 11.9 | 1.10× |
| [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $8.50 | 1.1% | 8 | 11.5 | 0.70× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $8.42 | 1.1% | 16 | 11.4 | 1.40× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-factory-new) | 1 in 36 | $6.98 | 0.9% | 12 | 10.7 | 1.12× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 38 | $6.01 | 0.7% | 13 | 10.0 | 1.30× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-violent-daimyo-factory-new) | 1 in 45 | $4.48 | 0.4% | 10 | 8.4 | 1.19× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Retrobution (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-retrobution-minimal-wear) | 1 in 61 | $3.10 | 0.2% | 5 | 6.2 | 0.80× |

Values are DROP.SKIN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `dropskin:cases-service/slug/ice-rainbow/info`, 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=dropskin&case=ice-rainbow)

[StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-bunsen-burner-factory-new) [Andoyea\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Andoyea*-898701) $20.00 $9.88 0.49x 2026-11-11 14:07 UTC

[USP-S | Blueprint (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-minimal-wear) [Andoyea\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Andoyea*-898701) $20.00 $18.29 0.91x 2026-11-11 14:06 UTC

[Souvenir Glock-18 | Ramese's Reach (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-rameses-reach-field-tested) [Andoyea\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Andoyea*-898701) $20.00 $16.27 0.81x 2026-11-11 14:06 UTC

[M4A1-S | Basilisk (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-minimal-wear) [Andoyea\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Andoyea*-898701) $20.00 $11.05 0.55x 2026-11-11 14:06 UTC

[AWP | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-battle-scarred) [Andoyea\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Andoyea*-898701) $20.00 $9.89 0.49x 2026-11-11 14:05 UTC

[StatTrak™ P2000 | Woodsman (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-woodsman-field-tested) [Andoyea\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Andoyea*-898701) $20.00 $16.13 0.81x 2026-11-11 13:58 UTC

[StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-eco-factory-new) [Andoyea\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Andoyea*-898701) $20.00 $10.52 0.53x 2026-11-11 13:57 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Heirloom (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-heirloom-battle-scarred) [Andoyea\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Andoyea*-898701) $20.00 $19.95 1.00x 2026-11-11 13:57 UTC

[M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-factory-new) [Andoyea\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Andoyea*-898701) $20.00 $8.50 0.42x 2026-11-11 13:57 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Briefing (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-briefing-field-tested) [Semozu](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Semozu) $20.00 $10.36 0.52x 2026-11-11 13:34 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $20.00 | 113.76% | 57 |
| 10 Nov, 08:14 UTC | $20.00 | 114.90% | 57 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $20.00 | 110.58% | 57 |
| 8 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $20.00 | 113.89% | 57 |
| 7 Nov, 10:51 UTC | $20.00 | 112.06% | 57 |
| 6 Nov, 10:44 UTC | $20.00 | 112.17% | 57 |
| 5 Nov, 10:38 UTC | $20.00 | 108.65% | 57 |
| 4 Nov, 07:07 UTC | $20.00 | 108.40% | 57 |
| 3 Nov, 07:29 UTC | $20.00 | 107.78% | 57 |
| 3 Nov, 04:28 UTC | $20.00 | 108.22% | 57 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 2.4% #ffd700 0.2% covert knife 0.9% #d32ee6 3.6% restricted 27.1% Ancient 0.4% Restricted 7.1% pink 0.4% classified 26.6% mil spec 9.8% violet 0.5% Rare 6.3% Mythical 3.1% milspec 5.3% Classified 3.1% Legendary 3.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 113.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $113.76 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt