---
title: "IMMORTAL case on DROP.SKIN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "IMMORTAL ($1.42) on DROP.SKIN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 107.47% from 48 items with odds, observed 76.56% over 5,226 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/immortal
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:55Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) / [IMMORTAL](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/immortal)

# [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) · IMMORTAL

A case on DROP.SKIN (bestseller), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DROP.SKIN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/immortal?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/immortal?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/immortal) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/immortal?window=all)

Price · $1.42

Advertised RTP · 107.47% · EV $1.53 from 48 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 76.56% · 5,226 openings, odds method

Variance · 8.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 86.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 75.52% ±18.07 972 openings

7 days · 76.61% ±8.14 4,628 openings

30 days · 76.56% ±7.68 5,226 openings

since tracking started · 76.56% ±7.68 5,226 openings

57.0% 84.5% 112.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 107.79% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (68.88% – 84.24%, 5,226 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/immortal?window=24h) | 972 | 75.52% ±18.1 | −3.9σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/immortal?window=7d) | 4,628 | 76.61% ±8.14 | −7.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/immortal) | 5,226 | 76.56% ±7.68 | −8.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/immortal?window=all) | 5,226 | 76.56% ±7.68 | −8.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 48 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,226 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Electric Hive (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-well-worn) | 1 in 863 | $49.03 | 3.7% | 0 | 6.1 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-battle-scarred) | 1 in 801 | $45.51 | 3.7% | 0 | 6.5 | 0.00× |
| [Souvenir SG 553 \| Integrale (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sg-553-integrale-field-tested) | 1 in 719 | $40.86 | 3.7% | 0 | 7.3 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Decimator (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-decimator-battle-scarred) | 1 in 490 | $27.85 | 3.7% | 0 | 10.7 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Shapewood (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shapewood-factory-new) | 1 in 485 | $27.55 | 3.7% | 0 | 10.8 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-basilisk-battle-scarred) | 1 in 420 | $23.85 | 3.7% | 0 | 12.5 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Overgrowth (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-overgrowth-well-worn) | 1 in 402 | $22.87 | 3.7% | 0 | 13.0 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Death Grip (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-grip-battle-scarred) | 1 in 315 | $17.91 | 3.7% | 6 | 16.6 | 0.36× |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-battle-scarred) | 1 in 310 | $17.59 | 3.7% | 13 | 16.9 | 0.77× |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-factory-new) | 1 in 176 | $10.01 | 3.7% | 34 | 29.7 | 1.15× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Avalanche (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-avalanche-minimal-wear) | 1 in 173 | $9.85 | 3.7% | 22 | 30.1 | 0.73× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Blue (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-field-tested) | 1 in 151 | $8.61 | 3.7% | 29 | 34.5 | 0.84× |
| [Galil AR \| Dusk Ruins (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-dusk-ruins-field-tested) | 1 in 132 | $7.50 | 3.7% | 34 | 39.6 | 0.86× |
| [Tec-9 \| Snek-9 (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-snek-9-factory-new) | 1 in 201 | $6.61 | 2.2% | 27 | 26.0 | 1.04× |
| [P90 \| ScaraB Rush (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-scarab-rush-field-tested) | 1 in 187 | $5.86 | 2.1% | 27 | 27.9 | 0.97× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 174 | $5.18 | 2.0% | 34 | 30.1 | 1.13× |
| [SG 553 \| Cyrex (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-well-worn) | 1 in 170 | $4.97 | 1.9% | 37 | 30.8 | 1.20× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Inferno (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-inferno-factory-new) | 1 in 165 | $4.74 | 1.9% | 24 | 31.7 | 0.76× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Black Lotus (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-black-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 146 | $3.89 | 1.7% | 46 | 35.7 | 1.29× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-battle-scarred) | 1 in 137 | $3.49 | 1.7% | 39 | 38.1 | 1.02× |
| [Tec-9 \| Isaac (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-isaac-battle-scarred) | 1 in 112 | $2.51 | 1.5% | 59 | 46.5 | 1.27× |
| [Galil AR \| Sandstorm (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sandstorm-well-worn) | 1 in 102 | $2.13 | 1.4% | 59 | 51.2 | 1.15× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Nevermore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-nevermore-field-tested) | 1 in 98 | $2.00 | 1.3% | 50 | 53.2 | 0.94× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Verdigris (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-verdigris-factory-new) | 1 in 84 | $1.55 | 1.2% | 60 | 62.0 | 0.97× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-buddy-field-tested) | 1 in 81 | $1.46 | 1.2% | 143 | 64.4 | 2.22× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Withered Vine (Well-Worn) weapon · 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-withered-vine-well-worn) | 1 in 35 | $1.37 | 2.5% | 128 | 147.8 | 0.87× |
| [SG 553 \| Phantom (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-phantom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 34 | $1.30 | 2.5% | 174 | 154.0 | 1.13× |
| [P90 \| Module (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-module-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $1.21 | 2.5% | 164 | 162.4 | 1.01× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-rocket-pop-well-worn) | 1 in 31 | $1.15 | 2.4% | 167 | 168.5 | 0.99× |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-well-worn) | 1 in 31 | $1.14 | 2.4% | 191 | 168.7 | 1.13× |
| [Souvenir Tec-9 \| Mummy's Rot (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-tec-9-mummys-rot-well-worn) | 1 in 27 | $0.91 | 2.2% | 198 | 194.6 | 1.02× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Valence (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-valence-well-worn) | 1 in 26 | $0.88 | 2.2% | 193 | 197.9 | 0.98× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Inferno (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-inferno-battle-scarred) | 1 in 24 | $0.73 | 2.0% | 0 | 215.4 | 0.00× |
| [Souvenir P90 \| Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-verdant-growth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $0.67 | 1.9% | 218 | 222.2 | 0.98× |
| [SG 553 \| Aerial (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aerial-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $0.55 | 1.6% | 239 | 234.7 | 1.02× |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Survivalist (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-survivalist-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $0.54 | 1.6% | 218 | 236.4 | 0.92× |
| [Galil AR \| Connexion (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-connexion-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $0.39 | 1.2% | 215 | 244.0 | 0.88× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hybrid (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-battle-scarred) | 1 in 21 | $0.38 | 1.2% | 278 | 244.0 | 1.14× |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Bone Forged (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-bone-forged-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $0.34 | 1.0% | 235 | 242.2 | 0.97× |
| [P250 \| Cassette (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cassette-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $0.31 | 0.9% | 250 | 239.4 | 1.04× |
| [Souvenir MP5-SD \| Lab Rats (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp5-sd-lab-rats-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $0.30 | 0.9% | 272 | 238.9 | 1.14× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Flame Test (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-flame-test-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $0.27 | 0.8% | 206 | 233.0 | 0.88× |
| [MP5-SD \| Desert Strike (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-desert-strike-well-worn) | 1 in 22 | $0.27 | 0.8% | 223 | 233.0 | 0.96× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.18 | 0.4% | 193 | 200.6 | 0.96× |
| [SG 553 \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 35 | $0.12 | 0.2% | 136 | 151.3 | 0.90× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-battle-scarred) | 1 in 43 | $0.09 | 0.1% | 0 | 122.3 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Freight (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-freight-well-worn) | 1 in 43 | $0.09 | 0.1% | 133 | 122.3 | 1.09× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-field-tested) | 1 in 43 | $0.09 | 0.1% | 0 | 120.7 | 0.00× |

Values are DROP.SKIN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `dropskin:cases-service/slug/immortal/info`, 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=dropskin&case=immortal)

[USP-S | Jawbreaker (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-battle-scarred) [z1mple](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/z1mple) $1.42 $3.49 2.46x 2026-11-11 13:54 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Withered Vine (Well-Worn) weapon · 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-withered-vine-well-worn) [z1mple](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/z1mple) $1.42 $1.37 0.96x 2026-11-11 13:54 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Black Lotus (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-black-lotus-field-tested) [Godwill \<3](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Godwill%20%3C3) $1.42 $3.89 2.74x 2026-11-11 13:52 UTC

[SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-damascus-steel-field-tested) [Murzeus](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Murzeus) $1.42 $0.12 0.08x 2026-11-11 13:50 UTC

[MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-desert-strike-well-worn) [pikachu](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/pikachu) $1.42 $0.27 0.19x 2026-11-11 13:50 UTC

[SG 553 | Cyrex (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-well-worn) [RODDERS](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/RODDERS) $1.42 $4.97 3.50x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC

[SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-damascus-steel-field-tested) [EKB](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/EKB) $1.42 $0.12 0.08x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-battle-scarred) [BIG TP](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/BIG%20TP) $1.42 $0.38 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC

[StatTrak™ P250 | Valence (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-valence-well-worn) [vRakoun](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/vRakoun) $1.42 $0.88 0.62x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-flame-test-minimal-wear) [N E H 1 L](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/N%20E%20H%201%20L) $1.42 $0.27 0.19x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $1.42 | 107.47% | 48 |
| 10 Nov, 08:14 UTC | $1.42 | 112.46% | 48 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $1.42 | 103.93% | 48 |
| 8 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $1.42 | 103.41% | 48 |
| 7 Nov, 10:51 UTC | $1.42 | 100.62% | 48 |
| 6 Nov, 10:44 UTC | $1.42 | 110.93% | 48 |
| 5 Nov, 10:38 UTC | $1.42 | 110.32% | 48 |
| 4 Nov, 07:07 UTC | $1.42 | 105.63% | 48 |
| 3 Nov, 07:29 UTC | $1.42 | 111.74% | 48 |
| 3 Nov, 04:28 UTC | $1.42 | 113.79% | 48 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 2 2.8% Classified 0.5% classified 1.2% restricted 8.0% violet 9.7% industrial 0.7% #4b69ff 5.2% mil spec 4.5% #8847ff 3.8% Legendary 0.6% pink 1.3% milspec 26.4% Mythical 7.5% Mil Spec Grade 12.9% Industrial Grade 4.3% blue 8.4% Rare 2.3% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 107.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $107.47 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt