---
title: "KNIVES case on DROP.SKIN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "KNIVES ($199.99) on DROP.SKIN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 60.01% from 99 items with odds, observed 35.39% over 8 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/knives
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:30Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) / [KNIVES](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/knives)

# [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) · KNIVES

A case on DROP.SKIN (rarity), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DROP.SKIN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/knives?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/knives?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/knives) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/knives?window=all)

Price · $199.99

Advertised RTP · 60.01% · EV $120.01 from 99 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 35.39% · 8 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 12.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 6 openings · below min

30 days · 8 openings · below min

since tracking started · 8 openings · below min

-0.5% 61.5% 123.5%

**Small sample.** 8 openings and 0.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/knives?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/knives?window=7d) | 6 | 38.87% ±84.0 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/knives) | 8 | 35.39% ±73.3 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/knives?window=all) | 8 | 35.39% ±73.3 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 99 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 114 | $1,303 | 9.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 98 | $1,122 | 9.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 88 | $1,002 | 9.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 1,998 | $905 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 1,945 | $881 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,726 | $782 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,722 | $780 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 1,719 | $779 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 1,682 | $762 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 1,648 | $746 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 1,502 | $681 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,480 | $670 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-black-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 1,418 | $642 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 1,405 | $637 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 1,389 | $629 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 1,383 | $626 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Night (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-night-field-tested) | 1 in 1,224 | $554 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,092 | $495 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 1,065 | $483 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,026 | $465 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 1,013 | $459 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 964 | $437 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 961 | $436 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 923 | $418 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 922 | $418 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-forest-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 914 | $414 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 892 | $404 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 879 | $398 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 859 | $389 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 829 | $376 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 818 | $371 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 782 | $354 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-urban-masked-battle-scarred) | 1 in 748 | $339 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 727 | $329 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 696 | $316 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 693 | $314 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 692 | $314 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 682 | $309 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 666 | $302 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 633 | $287 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 606 | $275 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 604 | $274 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Night Stripe (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) | 1 in 602 | $273 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 549 | $249 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 501 | $227 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 497 | $225 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 497 | $225 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 481 | $218 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 475 | $215 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-stained-minimal-wear) | 1 in 471 | $213 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-urban-masked-minimal-wear) | 1 in 469 | $213 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 468 | $212 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife) | 1 in 462 | $209 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 454 | $206 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | — | $196 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Night Stripe (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-night-stripe-minimal-wear) | — | $194 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | — | $189 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Stained (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-stained-well-worn) | — | $188 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-stained-field-tested) | — | $188 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | — | $186 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-bright-water-minimal-wear) | — | $182 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-night-minimal-wear) | — | $179 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-freehand-field-tested) | — | $179 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | — | $179 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-fade-factory-new) | — | $178 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-damascus-steel-field-tested) | — | $174 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | — | $172 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-black-laminate-field-tested) | — | $171 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | — | $167 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Night Stripe (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) | — | $164 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-black-laminate-well-worn) | — | $162 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-scorched-field-tested) | — | $161 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-ultraviolet-field-tested) | — | $156 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | — | $152 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-freehand-factory-new) | — | $152 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | — | $146 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | — | $145 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-urban-masked-field-tested) | — | $143 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-blue-steel-well-worn) | — | $142 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | — | $142 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | — | $137 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | — | $136 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-scorched-field-tested) | — | $136 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new) | — | $135 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) | — | $135 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new) | — | $134 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | — | $134 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | — | $133 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | — | $133 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-boreal-forest-field-tested) | — | $132 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) | — | $131 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Night (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-night-well-worn) | — | $130 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | — | $130 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | — | $129 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | — | $129 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | — | $129 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-stained-battle-scarred) | — | $128 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) | — | $126 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | — | $125 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-stained-field-tested) | — | $123 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife) | — | $123 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-boreal-forest-well-worn) | — | $121 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-forest-ddpat-well-worn) | — | $121 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new) | — | $119 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | — | $119 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $118 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $118 | 1.0% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $118 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $118 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $117 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $116 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $116 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $114 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $113 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $111 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $111 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $108 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $102 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $101 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $98.72 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Night Stripe (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-night-stripe-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $97.25 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $96.77 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Scorched (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-scorched-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $96.41 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $95.41 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $91.87 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $90.12 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $89.32 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Stained (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-stained-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $87.66 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-stained-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $86.52 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $84.58 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $83.81 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife) | 1 in 100 | $83.29 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $83.04 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $82.42 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $81.32 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife) | 1 in 100 | $79.65 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-stained-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $78.80 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Night (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-night-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $77.63 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $76.97 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $74.30 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Ultraviolet (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-ultraviolet-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $71.30 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-safari-mesh-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $71.26 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers) | 1 in 100 | $70.81 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Night Stripe (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $69.82 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $67.36 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Night (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-night-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $64.84 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $61.53 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-kukri-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $55.92 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife) | 1 in 100 | $53.15 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 46.5% | $48.94 | 19.0% | 5 | 3.7 | 1.34× |

Values are DROP.SKIN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `dropskin:cases-service/slug/knives/info`, 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=dropskin&case=knives)

[★ Navaja Knife | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) [Ra's](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Ra's) $200 $47.29 0.24x 2026-11-06 19:04 UTC

[★ Ursus Knife | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) [Ra's](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Ra's) $200 $125 0.63x 2026-11-06 19:02 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-forest-ddpat-well-worn) [Ra's](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Ra's) $200 $115 0.57x 2026-11-05 12:56 UTC

[★ Navaja Knife | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) [Ra's](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Ra's) $200 $47.72 0.24x 2026-11-05 12:54 UTC

[★ Navaja Knife | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) [oj byczku](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/oj%20byczku) $200 $47.72 0.24x 2026-11-05 12:17 UTC

[★ Navaja Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [Ra's](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Ra's) $200 $84.06 0.42x 2026-11-04 15:06 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $200 | 60.01% | 150 |
| 10 Nov, 08:14 UTC | $200 | 62.08% | 150 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $200 | 60.93% | 150 |
| 8 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $200 | 60.59% | 150 |
| 7 Nov, 10:51 UTC | $200 | 60.78% | 150 |
| 6 Nov, 10:44 UTC | $200 | 60.69% | 150 |
| 5 Nov, 10:38 UTC | $200 | 60.83% | 150 |
| 4 Nov, 07:07 UTC | $200 | 62.94% | 150 |
| 3 Nov, 07:29 UTC | $200 | 61.38% | 150 |
| 3 Nov, 04:28 UTC | $200 | 61.41% | 150 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 73.5% sunny 1.2% gold 2.2% Covert 3.5% covert knife 17.3% knifes 0.1% epic 0.2% Immortal 1.0% #ffd700 0.0% rare 1.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 60.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $60.01 on average: an expected loss of $39.99 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt