---
title: "LOCKER case on DROP.SKIN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "LOCKER ($0.29) on DROP.SKIN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 94.06% from 60 items with odds, observed 72.26% over 5,919 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/locker
rendered: 2026-11-11T12:45Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) / [LOCKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/locker)

# [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) · LOCKER

A case on DROP.SKIN (gun\_room), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DROP.SKIN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/locker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/locker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/locker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/locker?window=all)

Price · $0.29

Advertised RTP · 94.06% · EV $0.27 from 60 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 72.26% · 5,919 openings, odds method

Variance · 9.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 20.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 93.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 66.82% ±20.39 1,019 openings

7 days · 72.01% ±9.19 5,008 openings

30 days · 72.26% ±8.45 5,919 openings

since tracking started · 72.26% ±8.45 5,919 openings

46.0% 72.5% 99.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 98.16% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (63.81% – 80.71%, 5,919 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/locker?window=24h) | 1,019 | 66.82% ±20.4 | −2.9σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/locker?window=7d) | 5,008 | 72.01% ±9.19 | −5.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/locker) | 5,919 | 72.26% ±8.45 | −6.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/locker?window=all) | 5,919 | 72.26% ±8.45 | −6.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 60 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,920 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11,086 | $46.98 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Souvenir MP7 \| Fade (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp7-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,128 | $30.20 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-nightmare-field-tested) | 1 in 6,557 | $27.79 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [Souvenir SSG 08 \| Hand Brake (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-hand-brake-factory-new) | 1 in 4,355 | $18.45 | 1.6% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [XM1014 \| Fallout Warning (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-fallout-warning-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,831 | $12.00 | 1.6% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× |
| [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,367 | $10.03 | 1.6% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Stainless (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-stainless-well-worn) | 1 in 2,284 | $9.68 | 1.6% | 0 | 2.6 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-monster-call-factory-new) | 1 in 1,550 | $6.57 | 1.6% | 0 | 3.8 | 0.00× |
| [Souvenir Nova \| Interlock (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-nova-interlock-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,184 | $5.01 | 1.6% | 0 | 5.0 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Pulse (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-pulse-well-worn) | 1 in 1,065 | $4.51 | 1.6% | 0 | 5.6 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Flashback (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-flashback-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,005 | $4.26 | 1.6% | 0 | 5.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-well-worn) | 1 in 945 | $4.00 | 1.6% | 0 | 6.3 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-battle-scarred) | 1 in 830 | $3.52 | 1.6% | 0 | 7.1 | 0.00× |
| [Souvenir MP7 \| Tall Grass (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp7-tall-grass-factory-new) | 1 in 690 | $2.92 | 1.6% | 0 | 8.6 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Flashback (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-flashback-well-worn) | 1 in 503 | $2.13 | 1.6% | 0 | 11.8 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ M249 \| Magma (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-magma-minimal-wear) | 1 in 464 | $1.97 | 1.6% | 4 | 12.8 | 0.31× |
| [P2000 \| Grassland (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-grassland-field-tested) | 1 in 420 | $1.78 | 1.6% | 12 | 14.1 | 0.85× |
| [Galil AR \| Kami (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-kami-field-tested) | 1 in 410 | $1.74 | 1.6% | 15 | 14.4 | 1.04× |
| [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Outbreak (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-outbreak-factory-new) | 1 in 348 | $1.47 | 1.6% | 9 | 17.0 | 0.53× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Contaminant (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-contaminant-well-worn) | 1 in 420 | $1.19 | 1.0% | 10 | 14.1 | 0.71× |
| [UMP-45 \| Exposure (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-exposure-battle-scarred) | 1 in 419 | $1.18 | 1.0% | 17 | 14.1 | 1.20× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Flora Carnivora (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-flora-carnivora-minimal-wear) | 1 in 375 | $0.98 | 1.0% | 15 | 15.8 | 0.95× |
| [StatTrak™ Negev \| dev\_texture (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-dev-texture-battle-scarred) | 1 in 277 | $0.59 | 0.8% | 22 | 21.4 | 1.03× |
| [MP9 \| Bioleak (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-factory-new) | 1 in 263 | $0.54 | 0.8% | 24 | 22.6 | 1.06× |
| [StatTrak™ Nova \| Exo (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-exo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 224 | $0.42 | 0.7% | 25 | 26.4 | 0.95× |
| [StatTrak™ M249 \| Spectre (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-spectre-well-worn) | 1 in 221 | $0.41 | 0.7% | 42 | 26.8 | 1.57× |
| [SG 553 \| Dragon Tech (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-battle-scarred) | 1 in 217 | $0.40 | 0.7% | 18 | 27.2 | 0.66× |
| [M4A1-S \| VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-varicamo-field-tested) | 1 in 195 | $0.33 | 0.6% | 209 | 30.3 | 6.89× |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Ivory (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-ivory-battle-scarred) | 1 in 190 | $0.32 | 0.6% | 26 | 31.2 | 0.83× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Amber Slipstream (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-amber-slipstream-field-tested) | 1 in 186 | $0.31 | 0.6% | 52 | 31.8 | 1.64× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Black Sand (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-black-sand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $0.29 | 3.7% | 207 | 209.7 | 0.99× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Cracked Opal (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-cracked-opal-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $0.28 | 3.6% | 202 | 211.7 | 0.95× |
| [G3SG1 \| Hunter (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-hunter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $0.28 | 3.6% | 178 | 211.7 | 0.84× |
| [UMP-45 \| Scorched (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $0.27 | 3.5% | 216 | 213.8 | 1.01× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Mainframe 001 (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-mainframe-001-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $0.25 | 3.4% | 226 | 215.6 | 1.05× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Classic Crate (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-classic-crate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 27 | $0.25 | 3.4% | 192 | 216.0 | 0.89× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Full Stop (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-full-stop-well-worn) | 1 in 27 | $0.23 | 3.1% | 127 | 219.3 | 0.58× |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Grip (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-grip-battle-scarred) | 1 in 27 | $0.23 | 3.1% | 245 | 219.4 | 1.12× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Monkeyflage (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-monkeyflage-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $0.22 | 3.0% | 229 | 220.4 | 1.04× |
| [MAG-7 \| Rust Coat (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-rust-coat-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $0.22 | 3.0% | 215 | 220.4 | 0.98× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Black Sand (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-black-sand-well-worn) | 1 in 27 | $0.22 | 2.9% | 193 | 220.5 | 0.88× |
| [Souvenir SG 553 \| Bleached (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sg-553-bleached-well-worn) | 1 in 27 | $0.21 | 2.9% | 91 | 221.0 | 0.41× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Yorick (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-yorick-battle-scarred) | 1 in 27 | $0.20 | 2.8% | 169 | 221.3 | 0.76× |
| [Souvenir SG 553 \| Bleached (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sg-553-bleached-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $0.20 | 2.8% | 0 | 221.3 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Desert Tactical (Field-Tested) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-desert-tactical-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $0.20 | 2.8% | 230 | 221.4 | 1.04× |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Irezumi (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-irezumi-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $0.18 | 2.5% | 201 | 221.4 | 0.91× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Fubar (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-fubar-battle-scarred) | 1 in 27 | $0.16 | 2.2% | 236 | 220.2 | 1.07× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Full Stop (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-full-stop-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $0.12 | 1.5% | 201 | 207.2 | 0.97× |
| [Souvenir PP-Bizon \| Anolis (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-anolis-well-worn) | 1 in 29 | $0.12 | 1.5% | 220 | 207.2 | 1.06× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Roadblock (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-roadblock-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $0.12 | 1.5% | 216 | 204.6 | 1.06× |
| [Souvenir R8 Revolver \| Inlay (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-inlay-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $0.11 | 1.4% | 192 | 201.0 | 0.96× |
| [MAC-10 \| Light Box (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-light-box-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $0.09 | 1.0% | 202 | 185.4 | 1.09× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Coolant (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-coolant-well-worn) | 1 in 34 | $0.08 | 0.9% | 192 | 176.4 | 1.09× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-battle-scarred) | 1 in 35 | $0.08 | 0.8% | 182 | 169.0 | 1.08× |
| [Souvenir P250 \| Drought (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p250-drought-field-tested) | 1 in 47 | $0.05 | 0.4% | 122 | 126.2 | 0.97× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Coolant (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-coolant-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $0.05 | 0.3% | 176 | 118.3 | 1.49× |
| [M4A4 \| Mainframe (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-mainframe-field-tested) | 1 in 60 | $0.04 | 0.2% | 123 | 97.9 | 1.26× |
| [AUG \| Storm (Well-Worn) weapon · Consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-storm-well-worn) | 1 in 65 | $0.04 | 0.2% | 83 | 91.5 | 0.91× |
| [Tec-9 \| Groundwater (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-groundwater-battle-scarred) | 1 in 260 | $0.01 | 0.0% | 78 | 22.8 | 3.42× |
| [UMP-45 \| Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-urban-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 260 | $0.01 | 0.0% | 56 | 22.8 | 2.46× |

Values are DROP.SKIN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `dropskin:cases-service/slug/locker/info`, 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=dropskin&case=locker)

[Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-full-stop-well-worn) [son till en stjärna](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/son%20till%20en%20stj%C3%A4rna) $0.29 $0.23 0.79x 2026-11-11 12:35 UTC

[MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-rust-coat-factory-new) [pryka skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/pryka%20skins.army) $0.29 $0.22 0.75x 2026-11-11 12:25 UTC

[StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Grip (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-grip-battle-scarred) [xxxx](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/xxxx) $0.29 $0.23 0.78x 2026-11-11 12:18 UTC

[USP-S | Desert Tactical (Field-Tested) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-desert-tactical-field-tested) [Jo.OnA](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Jo.OnA) $0.29 $0.20 0.70x 2026-11-11 12:05 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Yorick (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-yorick-battle-scarred) [n0flies](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/n0flies) $0.29 $0.20 0.70x 2026-11-11 12:05 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-full-stop-field-tested) [memo](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/memo) $0.29 $0.12 0.41x 2026-11-11 12:04 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-black-sand-minimal-wear) [memo](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/memo) $0.29 $0.29 0.99x 2026-11-11 12:04 UTC

[Souvenir R8 Revolver | Inlay (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-inlay-field-tested) [Wishing](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Wishing) $0.29 $0.11 0.38x 2026-11-11 12:03 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-battle-scarred) [MasterBaiter](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/MasterBaiter) $0.29 $0.08 0.26x 2026-11-11 11:58 UTC

[StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-classic-crate-battle-scarred) [-Retr0](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/-Retr0) $0.29 $0.25 0.87x 2026-11-11 11:58 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $0.29 | 94.06% | 60 |
| 10 Nov, 08:14 UTC | $0.29 | 96.92% | 60 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $0.29 | 97.42% | 60 |
| 8 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $0.29 | 98.59% | 60 |
| 7 Nov, 10:51 UTC | $0.29 | 97.04% | 60 |
| 6 Nov, 10:44 UTC | $0.29 | 98.63% | 60 |
| 5 Nov, 10:38 UTC | $0.29 | 99.58% | 60 |
| 4 Nov, 07:07 UTC | $0.29 | 98.99% | 60 |
| 3 Nov, 07:29 UTC | $0.29 | 99.06% | 60 |
| 3 Nov, 04:28 UTC | $0.29 | 100.55% | 60 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert knife 0.0% restricted 0.3% classified 0.0% mil spec 11.4% Uncommon 1.7% #d32ce6 0.0% Mil Spec Grade 4.2% Restricted 0.5% pink 0.1% Industrial 0.1% violet 0.9% Mil Spec 0.2% Industrial Grade 0.2% milspec 26.2% Mythical 0.3% Rare 4.0% #4b69ff 7.8% blue 7.1% consumer 8.6% Consumer Grade 14.3% #B0C3D9 3.7% light blue 3.7% Common 2.5% Consumer 1.5% #777777 0.4% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.06 on average: an expected loss of $5.94 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt