---
title: "MAGIC case on DROP.SKIN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "MAGIC ($4.00) on DROP.SKIN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 97.21% from 87 items with odds, observed 74.92% over 758 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/magic
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) / [MAGIC](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/magic)

# [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) · MAGIC

A case on DROP.SKIN (cyber), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DROP.SKIN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/magic?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/magic?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/magic) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/magic?window=all)

Price · $4.00

Advertised RTP · 97.21% · EV $3.89 from 87 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 74.92% · 758 openings, odds method

Variance · 5.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 89.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 82.24% ±34.76 183 openings

7 days · 74.70% ±18.18 665 openings

30 days · 74.92% ±17.00 758 openings

since tracking started · 74.92% ±17.00 758 openings

47.0% 82.3% 117.5%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 95.17% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (57.92% – 91.92%, 758 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/magic?window=24h) | 183 | 82.24% ±34.8 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/magic?window=7d) | 665 | 74.70% ±18.2 | −2.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/magic) | 758 | 74.92% ±17.0 | −2.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/magic?window=all) | 758 | 74.92% ±17.0 | −2.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 87 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 758 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 12,821 | $504 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 9,141 | $360 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-factory-new) | 1 in 6,414 | $252 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Roll Cage (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-roll-cage-factory-new) | 1 in 4,040 | $159 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 3,604 | $142 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Roll Cage (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-roll-cage-well-worn) | 1 in 3,050 | $120 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,721 | $107 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Eco (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,048 | $80.53 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-factory-new) | 1 in 1,672 | $65.75 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,144 | $44.97 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Djinn (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-factory-new) | 1 in 1,004 | $39.49 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-minimal-wear) | 1 in 852 | $33.49 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-minimal-wear) | 1 in 825 | $32.45 | 1.0% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-minimal-wear) | 1 in 822 | $32.32 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 813 | $31.96 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Guardian (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 793 | $31.20 | 1.0% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 734 | $28.87 | 1.0% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 724 | $28.49 | 1.0% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-well-worn) | 1 in 714 | $28.07 | 1.0% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-battle-scarred) | 1 in 697 | $27.43 | 1.0% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-well-worn) | 1 in 693 | $27.26 | 1.0% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.91× |
| [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-battle-scarred) | 1 in 686 | $26.99 | 1.0% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [AUG \| Syd Mead (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-factory-new) | 1 in 639 | $25.11 | 1.0% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 610 | $24.00 | 1.0% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.81× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-well-worn) | 1 in 602 | $23.68 | 1.0% | 3 | 1.3 | 2.38× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-field-tested) | 1 in 582 | $22.91 | 1.0% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.54× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-battle-scarred) | 1 in 540 | $21.22 | 1.0% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-field-tested) | 1 in 532 | $20.93 | 1.0% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) | 1 in 529 | $20.81 | 1.0% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-well-worn) | 1 in 514 | $20.20 | 1.0% | 3 | 1.5 | 2.03× |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-battle-scarred) | 1 in 511 | $20.09 | 1.0% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.67× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-well-worn) | 1 in 720 | $19.93 | 0.7% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.90× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-battle-scarred) | 1 in 709 | $19.45 | 0.7% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.87× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 694 | $18.78 | 0.7% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Colony IV (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-minimal-wear) | 1 in 680 | $18.15 | 0.7% | 3 | 1.1 | 2.69× |
| [StatTrak™ Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-zeus-x27-olympus-factory-new) | 1 in 671 | $17.75 | 0.7% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.89× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-battle-scarred) | 1 in 651 | $16.87 | 0.7% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.86× |
| [UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-factory-new) | 1 in 648 | $16.73 | 0.7% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-minimal-wear) | 1 in 595 | $14.51 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.78× |
| [FAMAS \| Djinn (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-minimal-wear) | 1 in 592 | $14.38 | 0.6% | 3 | 1.3 | 2.34× |
| [FAMAS \| Djinn (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-field-tested) | 1 in 579 | $13.89 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-field-tested) | 1 in 578 | $13.84 | 0.6% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.53× |
| [UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-well-worn) | 1 in 577 | $13.81 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.76× |
| [UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-field-tested) | 1 in 576 | $13.76 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-well-worn) | 1 in 576 | $13.76 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.76× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-field-tested) | 1 in 574 | $13.66 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.76× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-well-worn) | 1 in 570 | $13.52 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.75× |
| [Galil AR \| Eco (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-battle-scarred) | 1 in 567 | $13.40 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.75× |
| [AUG \| Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-minimal-wear) | 1 in 567 | $13.38 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Djinn (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-well-worn) | 1 in 565 | $13.30 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.74× |
| [Galil AR \| Eco (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-well-worn) | 1 in 561 | $13.17 | 0.6% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.48× |
| [AUG \| Syd Mead (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-field-tested) | 1 in 557 | $13.02 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.74× |
| [FAMAS \| Djinn (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-battle-scarred) | 1 in 554 | $12.88 | 0.6% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.46× |
| [AUG \| Syd Mead (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-well-worn) | 1 in 551 | $12.79 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-battle-scarred) | 1 in 547 | $12.63 | 0.6% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.44× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-battle-scarred) | 1 in 547 | $12.61 | 0.6% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.44× |
| [AUG \| Syd Mead (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-battle-scarred) | 1 in 538 | $12.27 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Colony IV (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-well-worn) | 1 in 475 | $9.98 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.63× |
| [SG 553 \| Colony IV (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-field-tested) | 1 in 467 | $9.70 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.62× |
| [SG 553 \| Colony IV (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-battle-scarred) | 1 in 467 | $9.69 | 0.5% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.85× |
| [SG 553 \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 440 | $8.77 | 0.5% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Phobos (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-factory-new) | 1 in 363 | $6.36 | 0.5% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.44× |
| [StatTrak™ Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-zeus-x27-olympus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 327 | $5.34 | 0.4% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 313 | $4.99 | 0.4% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.24× |
| [SG 553 \| Cyrex (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-well-worn) | 1 in 313 | $4.97 | 0.4% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.83× |
| [AWP \| Phobos (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-well-worn) | 1 in 309 | $4.88 | 0.4% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 300 | $4.62 | 0.4% | 1 | 2.5 | 0.40× |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-factory-new) | 1 in 282 | $4.18 | 0.4% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.12× |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-well-worn) | 1 in 22 | $3.80 | 4.5% | 27 | 34.9 | 0.77× |
| [M4A4 \| Griffin (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-battle-scarred) | 1 in 21 | $3.47 | 4.3% | 41 | 36.1 | 1.14× |
| [StatTrak™ Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-zeus-x27-olympus-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $3.40 | 4.2% | 0 | 36.4 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-zeus-x27-olympus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 21 | $3.34 | 4.1% | 0 | 36.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $3.24 | 4.1% | 40 | 37.0 | 1.08× |
| [AWP \| Phobos (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $2.72 | 3.6% | 44 | 38.7 | 1.14× |
| [AWP \| Phobos (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $2.36 | 3.2% | 56 | 39.6 | 1.41× |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $2.29 | 3.1% | 34 | 39.7 | 0.86× |
| [AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-battle-scarred) | 1 in 19 | $2.26 | 3.0% | 36 | 39.8 | 0.90× |
| [P250 \| Nevermore (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $1.97 | 2.7% | 30 | 40.0 | 0.75× |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $1.53 | 2.0% | 37 | 39.2 | 0.94× |
| [P250 \| Vino Primo (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-vino-primo-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $1.47 | 1.9% | 36 | 39.0 | 0.92× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Firefight (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-firefight-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $1.30 | 1.7% | 42 | 37.9 | 1.11× |
| [P250 \| Nevermore (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $1.11 | 1.4% | 31 | 36.0 | 0.86× |
| [FAMAS \| Neural Net (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-neural-net-battle-scarred) | 1 in 23 | $0.92 | 1.0% | 40 | 33.3 | 1.20× |
| [P250 \| Ripple (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-ripple-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $0.78 | 0.8% | 32 | 30.3 | 1.05× |
| [MAC-10 \| Ensnared (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $0.70 | 0.7% | 29 | 28.3 | 1.02× |
| [AK-47 \| Uncharted (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-battle-scarred) | 1 in 28 | $0.67 | 0.6% | 37 | 27.6 | 1.34× |
| [MAC-10 \| Pipe Down (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-pipe-down-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $0.56 | 0.5% | 22 | 24.3 | 0.91× |

Values are DROP.SKIN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `dropskin:cases-service/slug/magic/info`, 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=dropskin&case=magic)

[M4A4 | Griffin (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-battle-scarred) [rzkai](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/rzkai) $4.00 $3.47 0.87x 2026-11-11 12:24 UTC

[M4A4 | Griffin (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-battle-scarred) [rzkai](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/rzkai) $4.00 $3.47 0.87x 2026-11-11 12:24 UTC

[P250 | Nevermore (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-factory-new) [rzkai](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/rzkai) $4.00 $1.97 0.49x 2026-11-11 12:22 UTC

[StatTrak™ Galil AR | Firefight (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-firefight-well-worn) [Sw1tch](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Sw1tch) $4.00 $1.30 0.33x 2026-11-11 12:01 UTC

[AK-47 | Uncharted (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-battle-scarred) [nemytchenkos](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/nemytchenkos) $4.00 $0.67 0.17x 2026-11-11 11:07 UTC

[AWP | Phobos (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-field-tested) [nemytchenkos](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/nemytchenkos) $4.00 $2.36 0.59x 2026-11-11 11:06 UTC

[AWP | Phobos (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-minimal-wear) [nemytchenkos](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/nemytchenkos) $4.00 $2.72 0.68x 2026-11-11 11:06 UTC

[AWP | Phobos (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-field-tested) [zoyt4H'](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/zoyt4H') $4.00 $2.36 0.59x 2026-11-11 09:37 UTC

[FAMAS | Neural Net (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-neural-net-battle-scarred) [zoyt4H'](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/zoyt4H') $4.00 $0.92 0.23x 2026-11-11 09:36 UTC

[M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-field-tested) [zoyt4H'](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/zoyt4H') $4.00 $3.24 0.81x 2026-11-11 09:36 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $4.00 | 97.21% | 87 |
| 10 Nov, 08:14 UTC | $4.00 | 93.29% | 87 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $4.00 | 98.09% | 87 |
| 8 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $4.00 | 97.67% | 87 |
| 7 Nov, 10:51 UTC | $4.00 | 94.72% | 87 |
| 6 Nov, 10:44 UTC | $4.00 | 95.28% | 87 |
| 5 Nov, 10:38 UTC | $4.00 | 93.62% | 87 |
| 4 Nov, 07:07 UTC | $4.00 | 93.35% | 87 |
| 3 Nov, 07:29 UTC | $4.00 | 94.09% | 87 |
| 3 Nov, 04:28 UTC | $4.00 | 95.49% | 87 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.1% classified 20.7% Legendary 5.5% red 0.0% pink 3.4% Classified 0.1% #d32ee6 5.1% Mythical 5.2% #8847ff 5.4% restricted 37.8% blue 5.2% milspec 4.0% Rare 3.7% mil spec 3.6% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 97.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $97.21 on average: an expected loss of $2.79 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt