---
title: "RESTRICTED case on DROP.SKIN: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "RESTRICTED ($1.99) on DROP.SKIN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 109.43% from 172 items with odds, observed 71.74% over 536 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/restricted
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:08Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) / [RESTRICTED](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/restricted)

# [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) · RESTRICTED

A case on DROP.SKIN (rarity), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DROP.SKIN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/restricted?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/restricted?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/restricted) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/restricted?window=all)

Price · $1.99

Advertised RTP · 109.43% · EV $2.18 from 172 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 71.74% · 536 openings, odds method

Variance · 17.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 32 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 86.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 55 openings · below min

7 days · 71.78% ±36.55 485 openings

30 days · 71.74% ±34.73 536 openings

since tracking started · 71.74% ±34.73 536 openings

-0.5% 95.5% 191.5%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 106.83% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (37.02% – 106.47%, 536 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/restricted?window=24h) | 55 | 82.24% ±108.8 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/restricted?window=7d) | 485 | 71.78% ±36.5 | −1.9σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/restricted) | 536 | 71.74% ±34.7 | −2.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/restricted?window=all) | 536 | 71.74% ±34.7 | −2.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 172 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 536 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [MP9 \| Bulldozer (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bulldozer-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17,134 | $325 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Duelist (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-duelist-factory-new) | 1 in 15,549 | $295 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Bulldozer (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-bulldozer-field-tested) | 1 in 11,883 | $225 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Pilot (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-pilot-factory-new) | 1 in 9,499 | $180 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Berries And Cherries (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-berries-and-cherries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,694 | $146 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 7,498 | $142 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Flashback (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-flashback-factory-new) | 1 in 5,781 | $110 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heirloom (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heirloom-factory-new) | 1 in 5,485 | $104 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-factory-new) | 1 in 4,808 | $91.12 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Pilot (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-pilot-field-tested) | 1 in 4,752 | $90.06 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Prime Conspiracy (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-prime-conspiracy-factory-new) | 1 in 4,746 | $89.95 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Dragon Tattoo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-dragon-tattoo-factory-new) | 1 in 4,645 | $88.04 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Overgrowth (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-overgrowth-factory-new) | 1 in 4,574 | $86.70 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Pilot (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-pilot-well-worn) | 1 in 4,422 | $83.81 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Prime Conspiracy (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-prime-conspiracy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,385 | $83.11 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Berries And Cherries (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-berries-and-cherries-factory-new) | 1 in 4,284 | $81.20 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Pilot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-pilot-battle-scarred) | 1 in 4,174 | $79.12 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Griffin (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-factory-new) | 1 in 4,083 | $77.38 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 4,063 | $77.00 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Crime Scene (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crime-scene-factory-new) | 1 in 3,956 | $74.97 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Phoenix Blacklight (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-phoenix-blacklight-field-tested) | 1 in 3,861 | $73.17 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-dark-water-field-tested) | 1 in 3,335 | $63.20 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [USP-S \| Road Rash (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-road-rash-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,871 | $54.42 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [P2000 \| Scorpion (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-scorpion-factory-new) | 1 in 2,611 | $49.49 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Gold Brick (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-gold-brick-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,492 | $47.22 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Nuclear Threat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,391 | $45.33 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-factory-new) | 1 in 2,329 | $44.14 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Modern Hunter (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-modern-hunter-field-tested) | 1 in 2,288 | $43.37 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-factory-new) | 1 in 2,236 | $42.37 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,217 | $42.01 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Weasel (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-factory-new) | 1 in 2,092 | $39.65 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Valence (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-valence-factory-new) | 1 in 2,030 | $38.47 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [P250 \| Red Rock (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-rock-factory-new) | 1 in 1,943 | $36.83 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Bulldozer (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-bulldozer-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,908 | $36.17 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,898 | $35.97 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 1,871 | $35.46 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 1,804 | $34.19 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [P2000 \| Woodsman (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-woodsman-factory-new) | 1 in 1,720 | $32.60 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ancient-visions-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,693 | $32.08 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Ancient Lore (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-ancient-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,423 | $26.97 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Cerberus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,384 | $26.24 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Stone Cold (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-factory-new) | 1 in 1,369 | $25.95 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [USP-S \| Overgrowth (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-overgrowth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,359 | $25.76 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Copper Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-copper-galaxy-factory-new) | 1 in 1,322 | $25.05 | 0.9% | 3 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| Pink DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pink-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,306 | $24.76 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 1,254 | $23.76 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [P90 \| Death Grip (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-grip-well-worn) | 1 in 1,157 | $21.92 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Brass (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-brass-well-worn) | 1 in 1,140 | $21.60 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Zirka (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-zirka-field-tested) | 1 in 1,108 | $21.00 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Styx (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-styx-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,079 | $20.45 | 0.9% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Gold Brick (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-gold-brick-field-tested) | 1 in 1,078 | $20.44 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) | 1 in 1,053 | $19.96 | 0.9% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-orange-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 875 | $16.58 | 0.9% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Emerald Pinstripe (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-factory-new) | 1 in 765 | $14.50 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 765 | $14.50 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [MP9 \| Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hypnotic-factory-new) | 1 in 758 | $14.36 | 0.9% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Demolition (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-demolition-well-worn) | 1 in 683 | $12.95 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Avalanche (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-avalanche-factory-new) | 1 in 672 | $12.74 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [MP7 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-ocean-foam-factory-new) | 1 in 648 | $12.28 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [MP7 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 625 | $11.84 | 0.9% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Curse (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-curse-factory-new) | 1 in 606 | $11.49 | 0.9% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Core Breach (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-core-breach-factory-new) | 1 in 588 | $11.15 | 0.9% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [AUG \| Random Access (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-random-access-factory-new) | 1 in 586 | $11.10 | 0.9% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Pulse (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-minimal-wear) | 1 in 542 | $10.28 | 0.9% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Ramese's Reach (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-rameses-reach-field-tested) | 1 in 536 | $10.16 | 0.9% | 1 | 1.0 | 1.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Steel Disruption (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-steel-disruption-minimal-wear) | 1 in 536 | $10.15 | 0.9% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Ramese's Reach (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-rameses-reach-well-worn) | 1 in 1,740 | $9.79 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [P90 \| Blind Spot (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-blind-spot-factory-new) | 1 in 1,674 | $9.42 | 0.3% | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Ghost Crusader (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-ghost-crusader-factory-new) | 1 in 1,632 | $9.19 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-arctic-wolf-factory-new) | 1 in 1,531 | $8.62 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-factory-new) | 1 in 1,509 | $8.50 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Titanium Bit (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-titanium-bit-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,497 | $8.43 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [P250 \| Wingshot (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-factory-new) | 1 in 1,493 | $8.40 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,484 | $8.35 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,439 | $8.10 | 0.3% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Crimson Tsunami (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-factory-new) | 1 in 1,345 | $7.57 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tread Plate (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tread-plate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,335 | $7.52 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| PAW (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-factory-new) | 1 in 1,316 | $7.41 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heirloom (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heirloom-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,291 | $7.27 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AUG \| Torque (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-torque-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,181 | $6.65 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,144 | $6.44 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Pulse (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-pulse-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,104 | $6.22 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Reboot (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-reboot-factory-new) | 1 in 1,081 | $6.09 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [Nova \| Toy Soldier (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-toy-soldier-minimal-wear) | 1 in 979 | $5.51 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [P90 \| ScaraB Rush (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-scarab-rush-well-worn) | 1 in 966 | $5.44 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [MP7 \| Special Delivery (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-special-delivery-factory-new) | 1 in 955 | $5.38 | 0.3% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-field-tested) | 1 in 947 | $5.33 | 0.3% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 931 | $5.24 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Limelight (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-limelight-factory-new) | 1 in 920 | $5.18 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [P90 \| Virus (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-virus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 909 | $5.12 | 0.3% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| [MP7 \| Neon Ply (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-neon-ply-minimal-wear) | 1 in 904 | $5.09 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [MP5-SD \| Agent (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-agent-factory-new) | 1 in 898 | $5.06 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Marina (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-marina-field-tested) | 1 in 893 | $5.03 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [AWP \| Phobos (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-well-worn) | 1 in 866 | $4.88 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Antique (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-antique-field-tested) | 1 in 860 | $4.84 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [AUG \| Aristocrat (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-factory-new) | 1 in 835 | $4.70 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Darkwing (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-darkwing-factory-new) | 1 in 831 | $4.68 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [P250 \| Supernova (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-supernova-factory-new) | 1 in 824 | $4.64 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Plastique (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-plastique-factory-new) | 1 in 800 | $4.50 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Tiger Moth (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-tiger-moth-factory-new) | 1 in 797 | $4.49 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Pole Position (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-factory-new) | 1 in 725 | $4.08 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [AWP \| Worm God (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-factory-new) | 1 in 721 | $4.06 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Dezastre (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-dezastre-field-tested) | 1 in 716 | $4.03 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-well-worn) | 1 in 705 | $3.97 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| SWAG-7 (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-swag-7-factory-new) | 1 in 705 | $3.97 | 0.3% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Parallax (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-parallax-field-tested) | 1 in 682 | $3.84 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-battle-scarred) | 1 in 679 | $3.82 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-field-tested) | 1 in 676 | $3.81 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| Stinger (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-stinger-field-tested) | 1 in 656 | $3.69 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-royal-consorts-well-worn) | 1 in 647 | $3.64 | 0.3% | 3 | 0.8 | — |
| [P2000 \| Obsidian (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-obsidian-field-tested) | 1 in 611 | $3.44 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Last Dive (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-last-dive-factory-new) | 1 in 600 | $3.38 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-field-tested) | 1 in 595 | $3.35 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [Nova \| Koi (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-koi-factory-new) | 1 in 536 | $3.01 | 0.3% | 1 | 1.0 | 1.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Brother (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brother-factory-new) | 1 in 535 | $3.01 | 0.3% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.00× |
| [P250 \| Wingshot (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 531 | $2.99 | 0.3% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.99× |
| [SG 553 \| Pulse (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-pulse-well-worn) | 1 in 516 | $2.91 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Heat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-heat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 488 | $2.75 | 0.3% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.82× |
| [SG 553 \| Pulse (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-pulse-field-tested) | 1 in 481 | $2.71 | 0.3% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.90× |
| [MAC-10 \| Allure (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-allure-factory-new) | 1 in 466 | $2.62 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Connexion (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-connexion-factory-new) | 1 in 461 | $2.60 | 0.3% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.86× |
| [SG 553 \| Pulse (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-pulse-battle-scarred) | 1 in 454 | $2.56 | 0.3% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.70× |
| [Nova \| Clear Polymer (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-clear-polymer-well-worn) | 1 in 443 | $2.49 | 0.3% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× |
| [MAC-10 \| Malachite (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-malachite-well-worn) | 1 in 410 | $2.31 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [MP7 \| Impire (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-impire-field-tested) | 1 in 401 | $2.26 | 0.3% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.75× |
| [FAMAS \| Sergeant (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-sergeant-battle-scarred) | 1 in 398 | $2.24 | 0.3% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.74× |
| [MAG-7 \| Praetorian (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-praetorian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 389 | $2.19 | 0.3% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.73× |
| [SSG 08 \| Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-fever-dream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 387 | $2.18 | 0.3% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.72× |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-battle-scarred) | 1 in 378 | $2.13 | 0.3% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.71× |
| [Galil AR \| Stone Cold (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-battle-scarred) | 1 in 356 | $2.00 | 0.3% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.66× |
| [MAG-7 \| Petroglyph (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-petroglyph-factory-new) | 1 in 356 | $2.00 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-field-tested) | 1 in 354 | $1.99 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Nevermore (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-factory-new) | — | $1.97 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Pole Position (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-minimal-wear) | — | $1.92 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Praetorian (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-praetorian-field-tested) | — | $1.89 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Triumvirate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-triumvirate-battle-scarred) | — | $1.85 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-well-worn) | — | $1.81 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-factory-new) | — | $1.81 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Weasel (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-minimal-wear) | — | $1.73 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Teclu Burner (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-teclu-burner-well-worn) | — | $1.70 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M249 \| Emerald Poison Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-emerald-poison-dart-field-tested) | — | $1.65 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Highwayman (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-highwayman-battle-scarred) | — | $1.61 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Last Dive (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-last-dive-well-worn) | — | $1.58 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-minimal-wear) | — | $1.56 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Ruby Poison Dart (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-well-worn) | — | $1.49 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Grand Prix (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-grand-prix-field-tested) | — | $1.47 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Fever Dream (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-fever-dream-well-worn) | — | $1.42 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Directive (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive-field-tested) | — | $1.42 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Firefight (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-well-worn) | — | $1.42 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Ruby Poison Dart (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-battle-scarred) | — | $1.41 | 0.0% | 5 | 0.0 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Scaffold (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-scaffold-battle-scarred) | — | $1.41 | 0.0% | 2 | 0.0 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Powercore (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-powercore-field-tested) | — | $1.41 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Red Astor (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-well-worn) | — | $1.40 | 0.0% | 4 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Weasel (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-well-worn) | — | $1.39 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Negev \| Lionfish (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-lionfish-factory-new) | — | $1.39 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Re-Entry (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-re-entry-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $1.37 | 0.6% | 0 | 5.4 | 0.00× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Reboot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-reboot-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $1.34 | 0.6% | 5 | 5.4 | 0.93× |
| [SSG 08 \| Ghost Crusader (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-ghost-crusader-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $1.31 | 0.6% | 5 | 5.4 | 0.93× |
| [SG 553 \| Phantom (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-phantom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $1.30 | 0.6% | 11 | 5.4 | 2.05× |
| [UMP-45 \| Exposure (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-exposure-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $1.26 | 0.6% | 5 | 5.4 | 0.93× |
| [MP9 \| Goo (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-goo-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $1.25 | 0.6% | 6 | 5.4 | 1.12× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tacticat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $1.22 | 0.6% | 7 | 5.4 | 1.31× |
| [SG 553 \| Tiger Moth (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-tiger-moth-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $1.18 | 0.5% | 5 | 5.4 | 0.93× |
| [Tec-9 \| Avalanche (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-avalanche-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $1.17 | 0.5% | 5 | 5.4 | 0.93× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nitro (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $1.16 | 0.5% | 9 | 5.4 | 1.68× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $1.12 | 0.5% | 4 | 5.4 | 0.75× |
| [FAMAS \| Neural Net (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-neural-net-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $1.10 | 0.5% | 3 | 5.4 | 0.56× |
| [M249 \| Nebula Crusader (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-nebula-crusader-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $1.08 | 0.5% | 6 | 5.4 | 1.12× |
| [MAG-7 \| Core Breach (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-core-breach-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $1.06 | 0.5% | 6 | 5.4 | 1.12× |
| [P250 \| Inferno (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $0.98 | 0.5% | 7 | 5.4 | 1.31× |
| [G3SG1 \| High Seas (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-high-seas-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $0.95 | 0.4% | 2 | 5.4 | 0.37× |
| [Negev \| Loudmouth (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-loudmouth-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $0.94 | 0.4% | 1 | 5.4 | 0.19× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $0.94 | 0.4% | 3 | 5.4 | 0.56× |
| [P250 \| Vino Primo (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-vino-primo-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $0.93 | 0.4% | 9 | 5.4 | 1.68× |
| [FAMAS \| Neural Net (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-neural-net-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $0.90 | 0.4% | 4 | 5.4 | 0.75× |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Analog Input (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-analog-input-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $0.82 | 0.4% | 4 | 5.4 | 0.75× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $0.78 | 0.4% | 10 | 5.4 | 1.87× |
| [MP5-SD \| Kitbash (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-kitbash-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $0.76 | 0.3% | 8 | 5.4 | 1.49× |
| [P2000 \| Acid Etched (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-acid-etched-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $0.74 | 0.7% | 14 | 10.7 | 1.31× |
| [P250 \| Inferno (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $0.73 | 0.7% | 14 | 10.7 | 1.31× |
| [Galil AR \| Signal (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-signal-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $0.73 | 0.7% | 5 | 10.7 | 0.47× |
| [UMP-45 \| Moonrise (Well-Worn) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-moonrise-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $0.67 | 0.6% | 9 | 10.7 | 0.84× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Apocalypto (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $0.60 | 0.6% | 14 | 10.7 | 1.31× |
| [P2000 \| Acid Etched (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-acid-etched-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $0.59 | 0.5% | 8 | 10.7 | 0.75× |
| [USP-S \| Flashback (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $0.59 | 0.5% | 15 | 10.7 | 1.40× |
| [MP5-SD \| Kitbash (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-kitbash-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $0.57 | 0.5% | 0 | 10.7 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Pipe Down (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-pipe-down-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $0.56 | 0.5% | 10 | 10.7 | 0.93× |
| [Tec-9 \| Bamboozle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboozle-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $0.55 | 0.5% | 12 | 10.7 | 1.12× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $0.55 | 0.5% | 8 | 10.7 | 0.75× |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Analog Input (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-analog-input-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $0.54 | 0.5% | 0 | 10.7 | 0.00× |
| [M249 \| Aztec (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-aztec-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $0.53 | 0.5% | 10 | 10.7 | 0.93× |
| [G3SG1 \| Scavenger (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-scavenger-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $0.52 | 0.5% | 9 | 10.7 | 0.84× |
| [P250 \| X-Ray (Minimal Wear) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-x-ray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $0.44 | 0.4% | 35 | 10.7 | 3.26× |
| [MP7 \| Just Smile (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-just-smile-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $0.42 | 0.4% | 22 | 10.7 | 2.05× |
| [UMP-45 \| Arctic Wolf (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-battle-scarred) | 31.0% | $0.38 | 5.5% | 123 | 166.2 | 0.74× |

Values are DROP.SKIN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `dropskin:cases-service/slug/restricted/info`, 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=dropskin&case=restricted)

[M4A1-S | Basilisk (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-battle-scarred) [rzkai](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/rzkai) $1.99 $8.10 4.07x 2026-11-11 12:18 UTC

[UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-battle-scarred) [HyperionRax](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/HyperionRax) $1.99 $0.38 0.19x 2026-11-11 12:14 UTC

[AK-47 | Rat Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-minimal-wear) [kuralo](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/kuralo) $1.99 $6.44 3.24x 2026-11-11 10:55 UTC

[UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-battle-scarred) [L4gos](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/L4gos) $1.99 $0.38 0.19x 2026-11-11 09:03 UTC

[MAG-7 | Core Breach (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-core-breach-factory-new) [Creker](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Creker) $1.99 $11.15 5.60x 2026-11-11 09:02 UTC

[UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-battle-scarred) [Black\_anys](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Black_anys) $1.99 $0.38 0.19x 2026-11-11 06:35 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-well-worn) [HYPE](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/HYPE) $1.99 $0.58 0.29x 2026-11-11 03:15 UTC

[UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.99 $0.38 0.19x 2026-11-11 02:51 UTC

[P250 | X-Ray (Minimal Wear) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-x-ray-minimal-wear) [omeR](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/omeR) $1.99 $0.44 0.22x 2026-11-11 02:50 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Buddy (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-field-tested) Hidden $1.99 $0.53 0.27x 2026-11-11 02:44 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $1.99 | 109.43% | 195 |
| 10 Nov, 08:14 UTC | $1.99 | 107.66% | 195 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $1.99 | 108.88% | 195 |
| 8 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $1.99 | 105.34% | 195 |
| 7 Nov, 10:51 UTC | $1.99 | 106.24% | 195 |
| 6 Nov, 10:44 UTC | $1.99 | 108.58% | 195 |
| 5 Nov, 10:38 UTC | $1.99 | 106.34% | 195 |
| 4 Nov, 07:07 UTC | $1.99 | 106.87% | 195 |
| 3 Nov, 07:29 UTC | $1.99 | 105.48% | 195 |
| 3 Nov, 04:28 UTC | $1.99 | 105.24% | 195 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed restricted 33.1% Mythical 9.8% violet 46.8% #8847ff 7.9% Restricted 2.4% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 109.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $109.43 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt