---
title: "REVOLVER case on DROP.SKIN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "REVOLVER ($1.99) on DROP.SKIN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 108.21% from 32 items with odds, observed 81.22% over 134 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/revolver
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:10Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) / [REVOLVER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/revolver)

# [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) · REVOLVER

A case on DROP.SKIN (cs2), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DROP.SKIN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/revolver?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/revolver?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/revolver) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/revolver?window=all)

Price · $1.99

Advertised RTP · 108.21% · EV $2.15 from 32 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 81.22% · 134 openings, odds method

Variance · 15.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 87.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 14 openings · below min

7 days · 107 openings · below min

30 days · 134 openings · below min

since tracking started · 134 openings · below min

-0.5% 138.3% 277.0%

**Small sample.** 134 openings and 4.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/revolver?window=24h) | 14 | 70.26% ±205.9 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/revolver?window=7d) | 107 | 90.42% ±75.0 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/revolver) | 134 | 81.22% ±66.8 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/revolver?window=all) | 134 | 81.22% ±66.8 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 32 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 134 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-forest-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 1,468 | $142 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,013 | $97.78 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Serum (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-serum-field-tested) | 1 in 724 | $69.82 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-angry-mob-well-worn) | 1 in 724 | $69.82 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) | 1 in 620 | $59.77 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-llama-cannon-factory-new) | 1 in 564 | $54.41 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Scorched (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-scorched-battle-scarred) | 1 in 516 | $49.78 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 474 | $45.75 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Wild Child (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-wild-child-factory-new) | 1 in 209 | $20.19 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [MP7 \| Cirrus (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-cirrus-factory-new) | 1 in 161 | $15.52 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Dezastre (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-dezastre-minimal-wear) | 1 in 129 | $12.49 | 4.5% | 3 | 1.0 | 2.90× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Delusion (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-delusion-factory-new) | 1 in 106 | $10.25 | 4.5% | 3 | 1.3 | 2.38× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-boost-protocol-well-worn) | 1 in 131 | $9.80 | 3.5% | 2 | 1.0 | 1.96× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| PAW (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-paw-well-worn) | 1 in 99 | $6.15 | 2.9% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.48× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Skull Crusher (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-skull-crusher-well-worn) | 1 in 97 | $5.96 | 2.8% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Avalanche (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-avalanche-battle-scarred) | 1 in 97 | $5.95 | 2.8% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.73× |
| [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Well-Worn) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-well-worn) | 1 in 76 | $3.96 | 2.4% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.57× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Retrobution (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-retrobution-field-tested) | 1 in 61 | $2.71 | 2.1% | 3 | 2.2 | 1.36× |
| [StatTrak™ M249 \| Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-nebula-crusader-well-worn) | 1 in 59 | $2.56 | 2.0% | 3 | 2.3 | 1.31× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-violent-daimyo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $1.80 | 3.8% | 7 | 6.1 | 1.15× |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Photic Zone (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-photic-zone-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $1.55 | 3.7% | 8 | 6.9 | 1.16× |
| [SG 553 \| Tiger Moth (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-tiger-moth-well-worn) | 1 in 16 | $1.18 | 3.4% | 9 | 8.3 | 1.08× |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Yorick (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-yorick-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $1.07 | 3.3% | 7 | 8.8 | 0.79× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Ricochet (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-ricochet-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $0.84 | 2.9% | 10 | 9.9 | 1.01× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Corinthian (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-corinthian-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $0.47 | 1.8% | 15 | 11.2 | 1.34× |
| [P2000 \| Imperial (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $0.45 | 1.8% | 7 | 11.2 | 0.63× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Crazy 8 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $0.45 | 1.7% | 10 | 11.2 | 0.90× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Outbreak (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-outbreak-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $0.43 | 1.7% | 10 | 11.2 | 0.90× |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $0.41 | 1.6% | 11 | 11.1 | 0.99× |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Junk Yard (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-junk-yard-battle-scarred) | 1 in 12 | $0.33 | 1.2% | 12 | 10.8 | 1.11× |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Bone Forged (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-bone-forged-battle-scarred) | 1 in 13 | $0.25 | 0.9% | 10 | 10.0 | 1.00× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Bone Mask (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-mask-battle-scarred) | 1 in 190 | $0.02 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.7 | — |

Values are DROP.SKIN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `dropskin:cases-service/slug/revolver/info`, 11 Nov, 14:22 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=dropskin&case=revolver)

[StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-bone-forged-battle-scarred) [umeyrkpln](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/umeyrkpln) $1.99 $0.25 0.13x 2026-11-11 18:09 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | PAW (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-paw-well-worn) [DayWalker](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/DayWalker) $1.99 $6.15 3.09x 2026-11-11 17:54 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Corinthian (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-corinthian-field-tested) [Focus prince](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Focus%20prince) $1.99 $0.47 0.23x 2026-11-11 15:28 UTC

[StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crimson Web (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-crimson-web-well-worn) [55х55](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/55%D1%8555) $1.99 $0.41 0.21x 2026-11-11 14:27 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | PAW (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-paw-well-worn) [Darkness](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Darkness) $1.99 $6.15 3.09x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC

[StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-bone-forged-battle-scarred) [Light](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Light) $1.99 $0.25 0.13x 2026-11-11 12:15 UTC

[StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-junk-yard-battle-scarred) [LM](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/LM) $1.99 $0.33 0.16x 2026-11-11 09:48 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-field-tested) [swishbuckler](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/swishbuckler) $1.99 $0.45 0.22x 2026-11-11 06:39 UTC

[StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-nebula-crusader-well-worn) Hidden $1.99 $2.47 1.24x 2026-11-10 23:51 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Corinthian (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-corinthian-field-tested) [MaDggvp](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/MaDggvp) $1.99 $0.45 0.23x 2026-11-10 23:51 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $1.99 | 108.21% | 32 |
| 10 Nov, 08:14 UTC | $1.99 | 109.52% | 32 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $1.99 | 109.72% | 32 |
| 8 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $1.99 | 111.29% | 32 |
| 7 Nov, 10:51 UTC | $1.99 | 111.04% | 32 |
| 6 Nov, 10:44 UTC | $1.99 | 110.24% | 32 |
| 5 Nov, 10:38 UTC | $1.99 | 110.13% | 32 |
| 4 Nov, 07:07 UTC | $1.99 | 108.66% | 32 |
| 3 Nov, 07:29 UTC | $1.99 | 108.33% | 32 |
| 3 Nov, 04:28 UTC | $1.99 | 107.89% | 32 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert knife 0.5% Covert 0.1% classified 2.0% covert 0.1% mil spec 13.5% Restricted 2.5% Mil Spec Grade 15.0% restricted 4.5% Mythical 1.3% Mil Spec 5.1% violet 14.5% milspec 23.7% blue 16.7% Consumer Grade 0.5% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 108.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $108.21 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
