---
title: "DRREAM&NIGHTMARES case on DROP.SKIN: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "DRREAM&NIGHTMARES ($1.55) on DROP.SKIN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 117.11% from 46 items with odds, observed 76.12% over 431 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/rream-and-nightmares
rendered: 2026-11-11T23:31Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) / [DRREAM&NIGHTMARES](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/rream-and-nightmares)

# [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) · DRREAM&NIGHTMARES

A case on DROP.SKIN (cs2), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DROP.SKIN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/rream-and-nightmares?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/rream-and-nightmares?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/rream-and-nightmares) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/rream-and-nightmares?window=all)

Price · $1.55

Advertised RTP · 117.11% · EV $1.82 from 46 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 76.12% · 431 openings, odds method

Variance · 25.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 15 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 95 openings · below min

7 days · 77.74% ±50.77 350 openings

30 days · 76.12% ±45.63 431 openings

since tracking started · 76.12% ±45.63 431 openings

-0.5% 87.0% 174.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/rream-and-nightmares?window=24h) | 95 | 73.35% ±100.6 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/rream-and-nightmares?window=7d) | 350 | 77.74% ±50.8 | −1.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/rream-and-nightmares) | 431 | 76.12% ±45.6 | −1.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/rream-and-nightmares?window=all) | 431 | 76.12% ±45.6 | −1.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 46 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 431 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,554 | $324 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 3,285 | $234 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-factory-new) | 1 in 1,456 | $104 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-field-tested) | 1 in 910 | $64.85 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 512 | $36.48 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-minimal-wear) | 1 in 402 | $28.65 | 3.9% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-pink-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 350 | $24.96 | 3.9% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Trigon (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-trigon-field-tested) | 1 in 237 | $16.91 | 3.9% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-battle-scarred) | 1 in 187 | $13.34 | 3.9% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Tornado (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-tornado-field-tested) | 1 in 182 | $12.99 | 3.9% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.27× |
| [SG 553 \| Colony IV (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-battle-scarred) | 1 in 136 | $9.69 | 3.9% | 4 | 3.2 | 1.26× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-abyssal-apparition-minimal-wear) | 1 in 361 | $7.64 | 1.2% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.84× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-well-worn) | 1 in 327 | $6.49 | 1.1% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Embargo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-embargo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 264 | $4.55 | 0.9% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.61× |
| [Negev \| Boroque Sand (Well-Worn) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-boroque-sand-well-worn) | 1 in 198 | $2.82 | 0.8% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.92× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Urban Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-urban-hazard-field-tested) | 1 in 188 | $2.58 | 0.8% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.87× |
| [M249 \| Humidor (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-humidor-field-tested) | 1 in 181 | $2.42 | 0.7% | 0 | 2.4 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Red Tire (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-red-tire-field-tested) | 1 in 178 | $2.36 | 0.7% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.83× |
| [MP7 \| Mischief (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-mischief-minimal-wear) | 1 in 177 | $2.33 | 0.7% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.82× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| SWAG-7 (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-swag-7-minimal-wear) | 1 in 174 | $2.27 | 0.7% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Moonrise (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-moonrise-well-worn) | 1 in 168 | $2.15 | 0.7% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.17× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 163 | $2.04 | 0.7% | 2 | 2.6 | 0.76× |
| [AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-field-tested) | 1 in 156 | $1.89 | 0.7% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.09× |
| [StatTrak™ Nova \| Gila (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-gila-field-tested) | 1 in 142 | $1.62 | 0.6% | 10 | 3.0 | 3.30× |
| [P250 \| Vino Primo (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-vino-primo-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $1.47 | 3.5% | 12 | 18.7 | 0.64× |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Handgun (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-handgun-well-worn) | 1 in 23 | $1.39 | 3.4% | 23 | 19.0 | 1.21× |
| [P90 \| Vent Rush (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-vent-rush-factory-new) | 1 in 23 | $1.36 | 3.3% | 24 | 19.1 | 1.26× |
| [XM1014 \| Urban Perforated (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-urban-perforated-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $1.23 | 3.1% | 21 | 19.5 | 1.08× |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Triarch (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-triarch-battle-scarred) | 1 in 22 | $1.22 | 3.1% | 17 | 19.5 | 0.87× |
| [Glock-18 \| Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $1.18 | 3.0% | 21 | 19.7 | 1.07× |
| [P90 \| Ancient Earth (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-ancient-earth-battle-scarred) | 1 in 22 | $1.06 | 2.7% | 24 | 19.9 | 1.20× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Lumen (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-lumen-well-worn) | 1 in 22 | $0.98 | 2.5% | 18 | 20.0 | 0.90× |
| [Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rocket-pop-battle-scarred) | 1 in 22 | $0.97 | 2.5% | 23 | 20.0 | 1.15× |
| [Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $0.93 | 2.4% | 26 | 20.1 | 1.30× |
| [M249 \| Midnight Palm (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-midnight-palm-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $0.92 | 2.4% | 17 | 20.1 | 0.85× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Akoben (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-akoben-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $0.92 | 2.4% | 10 | 20.1 | 0.50× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Death Rattle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-death-rattle-battle-scarred) | 1 in 21 | $0.91 | 2.3% | 24 | 20.1 | 1.20× |
| [Nova \| Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-toy-soldier-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $0.88 | 2.3% | 23 | 20.0 | 1.15× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Stained (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $0.77 | 2.0% | 20 | 19.9 | 1.01× |
| [G3SG1 \| Dream Glade (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-dream-glade-battle-scarred) | 1 in 23 | $0.60 | 1.5% | 15 | 19.0 | 0.79× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Space Cat (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-space-cat-well-worn) | 1 in 23 | $0.60 | 1.5% | 23 | 19.0 | 1.21× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-factory-new) | 1 in 23 | $0.60 | 1.5% | 20 | 19.0 | 1.05× |
| [P250 \| Iron Clad (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-iron-clad-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $0.48 | 1.1% | 16 | 17.5 | 0.91× |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Night Riot (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-night-riot-battle-scarred) | 1 in 52 | $0.18 | 0.2% | 7 | 8.3 | 0.84× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Foresight (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-foresight-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $0.14 | 0.1% | 9 | 6.4 | 1.40× |
| [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Poultrygeist (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-poultrygeist-battle-scarred) | 1 in 134 | $0.08 | 0.0% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.94× |

Values are DROP.SKIN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `dropskin:cases-service/slug/rream&nightmares/info`, 11 Nov, 20:24 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=dropskin&case=rream-and-nightmares)

[StatTrak™ Galil AR | Akoben (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-akoben-minimal-wear) [PROWDER](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/PROWDER) $1.55 $0.93 0.60x 2026-11-11 23:21 UTC

[StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-night-riot-battle-scarred) [tw0](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/tw0) $1.55 $0.18 0.12x 2026-11-11 22:34 UTC

[StatTrak™ SG 553 | Triarch (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-triarch-battle-scarred) [besjy](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/besjy) $1.55 $1.22 0.79x 2026-11-11 22:25 UTC

[Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-field-tested) Hidden $1.55 $0.93 0.60x 2026-11-11 19:21 UTC

[Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rocket-pop-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.55 $0.97 0.63x 2026-11-11 19:21 UTC

[P90 | Ancient Earth (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-ancient-earth-battle-scarred) [Ziipğexg](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Ziip%C4%9Fexg) $1.55 $1.06 0.69x 2026-11-11 19:21 UTC

[G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-dream-glade-battle-scarred) [Ziipğexg](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Ziip%C4%9Fexg) $1.55 $0.60 0.39x 2026-11-11 19:21 UTC

[P250 | Vino Primo (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-vino-primo-field-tested) Hidden $1.55 $1.47 0.95x 2026-11-11 19:16 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-factory-new) Hidden $1.55 $0.60 0.39x 2026-11-11 19:16 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Lumen (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-lumen-well-worn) Hidden $1.55 $0.98 0.63x 2026-11-11 19:16 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $1.55 | 117.11% | 46 |
| 10 Nov, 08:14 UTC | $1.55 | 119.51% | 46 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $1.55 | 116.62% | 46 |
| 8 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $1.55 | 117.61% | 46 |
| 7 Nov, 10:51 UTC | $1.55 | 106.28% | 46 |
| 6 Nov, 10:44 UTC | $1.55 | 116.74% | 46 |
| 5 Nov, 10:38 UTC | $1.55 | 106.67% | 46 |
| 4 Nov, 07:07 UTC | $1.55 | 106.55% | 46 |
| 3 Nov, 07:29 UTC | $1.55 | 112.79% | 46 |
| 3 Nov, 04:28 UTC | $1.55 | 112.86% | 46 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert knife 0.1% covert 0.1% Ancient 0.1% restricted 19.5% Legendary 0.2% classified 2.0% Common 5.1% pink 0.3% Consumer Grade 9.8% #4b69ff 4.6% blue 0.6% Uncommon 5.2% mil spec 5.2% Restricted 1.2% Rare 5.8% Mythical 4.4% Mil Spec Grade 6.6% milspec 15.9% industrial 4.6% violet 8.8% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 117.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $117.11 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt