---
title: "SHATTERED-WEB case on DROP.SKIN: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "SHATTERED-WEB ($4.99) on DROP.SKIN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 101.79% from 49 items with odds, observed 72.77% over 141 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/shattered-web
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:25Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) / [SHATTERED-WEB](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/shattered-web)

# [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) · SHATTERED-WEB

A case on DROP.SKIN (cs2), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DROP.SKIN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/shattered-web?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/shattered-web?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/shattered-web) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/shattered-web?window=all)

Price · $4.99

Advertised RTP · 101.79% · EV $5.08 from 49 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 72.77% · 141 openings, odds method

Variance · 15.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 20 openings · below min

7 days · 74.29% ±67.68 134 openings

30 days · 72.77% ±65.95 141 openings

since tracking started · 72.77% ±65.95 141 openings

-0.5% 109.8% 220.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/shattered-web?window=24h) | 20 | 46.32% ±173.1 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/shattered-web?window=7d) | 134 | 74.29% ±67.7 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/shattered-web) | 141 | 72.77% ±66.0 | −0.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/shattered-web?window=all) | 141 | 72.77% ±66.0 | −0.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 49 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 141 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Containment Breach (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-containment-breach-factory-new) | 1 in 6,761 | $908 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 4,095 | $550 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,941 | $261 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,441 | $194 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Colony IV (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-colony-iv-factory-new) | 1 in 926 | $124 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-dragonfire-well-worn) | 1 in 884 | $119 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Containment Breach (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-containment-breach-minimal-wear) | 1 in 848 | $114 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-well-worn) | 1 in 831 | $112 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 822 | $110 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 660 | $88.59 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-factory-new) | 1 in 652 | $87.60 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife \| Night Stripe (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-kukri-knife-night-stripe-battle-scarred) | 1 in 543 | $72.92 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Overgrowth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-overgrowth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 458 | $61.45 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-well-worn) | 1 in 419 | $56.32 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-bloodshot-field-tested) | 1 in 315 | $42.29 | 2.6% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [USP-S \| Ancient Visions (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ancient-visions-factory-new) | 1 in 312 | $41.90 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-well-worn) | 1 in 266 | $35.71 | 2.6% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Head Shot (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-head-shot-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $26.91 | 2.6% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Colony IV (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-colony-iv-minimal-wear) | 1 in 259 | $18.15 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-field-tested) | 1 in 249 | $17.06 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M249 \| Warbird (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-warbird-factory-new) | 1 in 244 | $16.40 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-well-worn) | 1 in 204 | $12.16 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| The Executioner (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-the-executioner-well-worn) | 1 in 183 | $10.14 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-arctic-wolf-minimal-wear) | 1 in 182 | $10.04 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Neon Ply (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-neon-ply-minimal-wear) | 1 in 181 | $9.97 | 1.1% | 4 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Wave Spray (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-wave-spray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 169 | $8.94 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Griffin (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-griffin-field-tested) | 1 in 158 | $7.95 | 1.0% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-well-worn) | 1 in 140 | $6.53 | 0.9% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.99× |
| [StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| Azure Zebra (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-azure-zebra-factory-new) | 1 in 139 | $6.42 | 0.9% | 4 | 1.0 | 3.94× |
| [Nova \| Rising Skull (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rising-skull-minimal-wear) | 1 in 125 | $5.38 | 0.8% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.89× |
| [MAG-7 \| Core Breach (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-core-breach-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $4.60 | 4.1% | 7 | 6.4 | 1.10× |
| [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Balance (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-balance-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $4.49 | 4.1% | 6 | 6.5 | 0.93× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Crimson Tsunami (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $4.32 | 4.0% | 6 | 6.6 | 0.91× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $4.00 | 3.8% | 10 | 6.9 | 1.45× |
| [AWP \| PAW (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $3.48 | 3.6% | 5 | 7.3 | 0.68× |
| [MP7 \| Cirrus (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-cirrus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $2.95 | 3.2% | 9 | 7.8 | 1.16× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Neon Ply (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-neon-ply-well-worn) | 1 in 17 | $2.44 | 2.8% | 0 | 8.2 | 0.00× |
| [SSG 08 \| Parallax (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-parallax-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $2.24 | 2.6% | 5 | 8.3 | 0.60× |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Heavy Metal (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-heavy-metal-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $2.16 | 2.5% | 10 | 8.3 | 1.20× |
| [XM1014 \| Scumbria (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-scumbria-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $1.83 | 2.1% | 8 | 8.4 | 0.95× |
| [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Balance (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-balance-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $1.60 | 1.9% | 8 | 8.3 | 0.96× |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Polymer (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-polymer-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $1.37 | 1.6% | 6 | 8.2 | 0.73× |
| [StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| Ventilator (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-ventilator-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $0.90 | 0.9% | 13 | 7.1 | 1.83× |
| [StatTrak™ M249 \| Warbird (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-warbird-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $0.64 | 0.5% | 0 | 5.9 | 0.00× |
| [G3SG1 \| Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-black-sand-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $0.61 | 0.5% | 3 | 5.7 | 0.53× |
| [MP7 \| Cirrus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-cirrus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 26 | $0.57 | 0.4% | 6 | 5.4 | 1.11× |
| [Nova \| Plume (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-plume-battle-scarred) | 1 in 29 | $0.49 | 0.3% | 5 | 4.8 | 1.03× |
| [P2000 \| Oceanic (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-oceanic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 34 | $0.42 | 0.2% | 5 | 4.2 | 1.20× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Whitefish (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-whitefish-battle-scarred) | 1 in 52 | $0.28 | 0.1% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.37× |

Values are DROP.SKIN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `dropskin:cases-service/slug/shattered-web/info`, 11 Nov, 14:22 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=dropskin&case=shattered-web)

[Nova | Plume (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-plume-battle-scarred) [bluEz](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/bluEz) $4.99 $0.49 0.10x 2026-11-11 14:21 UTC

[AK-47 | Slate (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-well-worn) [Kot3](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Kot3) $4.99 $3.97 0.80x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC

[Nova | Plume (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-plume-battle-scarred) Hidden $4.99 $0.49 0.10x 2026-11-11 07:48 UTC

[StatTrak™ Galil AR | Crimson Tsunami (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-well-worn) [Anaksunamun](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Anaksunamun) $4.99 $4.32 0.87x 2026-11-11 07:48 UTC

[XM1014 | Scumbria (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-scumbria-factory-new) Hidden $4.99 $1.83 0.37x 2026-11-11 07:47 UTC

[StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Polymer (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-polymer-factory-new) [Anaksunamun](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Anaksunamun) $4.99 $1.37 0.28x 2026-11-11 07:47 UTC

[StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-heavy-metal-factory-new) Hidden $4.99 $2.16 0.43x 2026-11-11 07:04 UTC

[StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Whitefish (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-whitefish-battle-scarred) [Anaksunamun](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Anaksunamun) $4.99 $0.28 0.06x 2026-11-11 07:04 UTC

[StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-ventilator-factory-new) Hidden $4.99 $0.90 0.18x 2026-11-11 07:04 UTC

[StatTrak™ Galil AR | Crimson Tsunami (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-well-worn) [Anaksunamun](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Anaksunamun) $4.99 $4.32 0.87x 2026-11-11 07:04 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $4.99 | 101.79% | 49 |
| 10 Nov, 08:14 UTC | $4.99 | 101.38% | 49 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $4.99 | 102.72% | 49 |
| 8 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $4.99 | 102.52% | 49 |
| 7 Nov, 10:51 UTC | $4.99 | 102.32% | 49 |
| 6 Nov, 10:44 UTC | $4.99 | 101.13% | 49 |
| 5 Nov, 10:38 UTC | $4.99 | 99.90% | 49 |
| 4 Nov, 07:07 UTC | $4.99 | 100.85% | 49 |
| 3 Nov, 07:29 UTC | $4.99 | 96.94% | 49 |
| 3 Nov, 04:28 UTC | $4.99 | 97.94% | 49 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.9% Covert 0.0% covert knife 0.3% classified 2.8% Ancient 0.1% Restricted 0.5% #eb4b4b 0.5% mil spec 13.4% Classified 0.5% restricted 16.1% #8847ff 6.3% Mil Spec Grade 21.9% Mythical 5.2% violet 5.9% Rare 8.9% milspec 12.8% #4b69ff 3.8% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 101.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $101.79 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt