---
title: "SNAKEBITE case on DROP.SKIN: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "SNAKEBITE ($0.65) on DROP.SKIN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 104.53% from 45 items with odds, observed 76.33% over 529 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/snakebite
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) / [SNAKEBITE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/snakebite)

# [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) · SNAKEBITE

A case on DROP.SKIN (cs2), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DROP.SKIN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/snakebite?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/snakebite?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/snakebite) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/snakebite?window=all)

Price · $0.65

Advertised RTP · 104.53% · EV $0.68 from 45 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 76.33% · 529 openings, odds method

Variance · 8.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 22.2% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 92.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 79 openings · below min

7 days · 75.20% ±28.13 435 openings

30 days · 76.33% ±25.54 529 openings

since tracking started · 76.33% ±25.54 529 openings

19.5% 85.8% 152.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/snakebite?window=24h) | 79 | 85.68% ±65.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/snakebite?window=7d) | 435 | 75.20% ±28.1 | −1.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/snakebite) | 529 | 76.33% ±25.5 | −1.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/snakebite?window=all) | 529 | 76.33% ±25.5 | −1.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 45 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 529 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| The Traitor (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-the-traitor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,757 | $89.75 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| In Living Color (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-in-living-color-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,308 | $57.22 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-factory-new) | 1 in 3,131 | $41.58 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-food-chain-factory-new) | 1 in 2,862 | $38.01 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,255 | $16.67 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Souvenir Galil AR \| Amber Fade (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-galil-ar-amber-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 869 | $11.55 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Souvenir Tec-9 \| Red Quartz (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-tec-9-red-quartz-field-tested) | 1 in 507 | $6.73 | 2.0% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-battle-scarred) | 1 in 501 | $6.65 | 2.0% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [XM1014 \| XOXO (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-xoxo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 421 | $5.59 | 2.0% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-field-tested) | 1 in 353 | $4.69 | 2.0% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [XM1014 \| XOXO (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-xoxo-field-tested) | 1 in 315 | $4.18 | 2.0% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [MP7 \| Scorched (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-scorched-battle-scarred) | 1 in 298 | $3.96 | 2.0% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [Negev \| Power Loader (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-minimal-wear) | 1 in 297 | $3.94 | 2.0% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.56× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-battle-scarred) | 1 in 284 | $3.77 | 2.0% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Capillary (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-capillary-factory-new) | 1 in 277 | $2.33 | 1.2% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.05× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Powercore (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-powercore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 253 | $2.00 | 1.2% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.44× |
| [M249 \| Warbird (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-warbird-minimal-wear) | 1 in 236 | $1.78 | 1.1% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.89× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-battle-scarred) | 1 in 206 | $1.42 | 1.0% | 2 | 2.6 | 0.78× |
| [SG 553 \| Anodized Navy (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-anodized-navy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 185 | $1.18 | 0.9% | 1 | 2.9 | 0.35× |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Lumen (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-lumen-battle-scarred) | 1 in 171 | $1.04 | 0.9% | 9 | 3.1 | 2.90× |
| [SSG 08 \| Fever Dream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-fever-dream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 169 | $1.02 | 0.9% | 4 | 3.1 | 1.28× |
| [Nova \| Polar Mesh (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-polar-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 164 | $0.98 | 0.9% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.93× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-monster-call-field-tested) | 1 in 141 | $0.76 | 0.8% | 0 | 3.7 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Light Box (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-light-box-factory-new) | 1 in 135 | $0.71 | 0.8% | 4 | 3.9 | 1.02× |
| [StatTrak™ Negev \| dev\_texture (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-dev-texture-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $0.64 | 4.4% | 23 | 24.9 | 0.92× |
| [M249 \| Downtown (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-downtown-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $0.63 | 4.4% | 16 | 25.0 | 0.64× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-monster-call-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $0.63 | 4.4% | 16 | 25.0 | 0.64× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-battle-scarred) | 1 in 21 | $0.59 | 4.2% | 26 | 25.3 | 1.03× |
| [StatTrak™ M249 \| O.S.I.P.R. (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-o-s-i-p-r-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $0.58 | 4.1% | 25 | 25.3 | 0.99× |
| [P90 \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-elite-build-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $0.57 | 4.0% | 28 | 25.4 | 1.10× |
| [Tec-9 \| Ice Cap (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $0.53 | 3.8% | 27 | 25.6 | 1.06× |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Heavy Metal (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-heavy-metal-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $0.50 | 3.6% | 33 | 25.6 | 1.29× |
| [Glock-18 \| Block-18 (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-block-18-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $0.48 | 3.4% | 29 | 25.7 | 1.13× |
| [UMP-45 \| Plastique (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-plastique-battle-scarred) | 1 in 21 | $0.48 | 3.4% | 20 | 25.7 | 0.78× |
| [Souvenir PP-Bizon \| Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-candy-apple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $0.47 | 3.4% | 36 | 25.7 | 1.40× |
| [MAC-10 \| Rangeen (Well-Worn) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-rangeen-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $0.47 | 3.4% | 28 | 25.7 | 1.09× |
| [Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sacrifice-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $0.42 | 3.0% | 27 | 25.6 | 1.06× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Ventilators (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-ventilators-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $0.40 | 2.8% | 24 | 25.5 | 0.94× |
| [UMP-45 \| Oscillator (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-oscillator-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $0.37 | 2.6% | 27 | 25.2 | 1.07× |
| [FAMAS \| Decommissioned (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-decommissioned-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $0.36 | 2.5% | 21 | 25.1 | 0.84× |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Polymer (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-polymer-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $0.36 | 2.5% | 25 | 25.1 | 1.00× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Riot (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-riot-battle-scarred) | 1 in 22 | $0.30 | 2.0% | 26 | 24.1 | 1.08× |
| [MAC-10 \| Echoing Sands (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-echoing-sands-battle-scarred) | 1 in 28 | $0.18 | 0.9% | 20 | 18.9 | 1.06× |
| [Nova \| Dark Sigil (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-dark-sigil-well-worn) | 1 in 74 | $0.06 | 0.1% | 13 | 7.1 | 1.82× |
| [AUG \| Snake Pit (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-snake-pit-field-tested) | 1 in 98 | $0.05 | 0.1% | 8 | 5.4 | 1.49× |

Values are DROP.SKIN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `dropskin:cases-service/slug/snakebite/info`, 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=dropskin&case=snakebite)

[Glock-18 | Sacrifice (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sacrifice-field-tested) [Cardoso](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Cardoso) $0.65 $0.42 0.64x 2026-11-11 12:49 UTC

[Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-well-worn) Hidden $0.65 $0.53 0.82x 2026-11-11 08:05 UTC

[StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-o-s-i-p-r-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.65 $0.58 0.89x 2026-11-11 08:05 UTC

[Souvenir PP-Bizon | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-candy-apple-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.65 $0.47 0.72x 2026-11-11 08:05 UTC

[StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-o-s-i-p-r-minimal-wear) [(|)WXR(|)](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/%28%7C%29WXR%28%7C%29) $0.65 $0.58 0.89x 2026-11-11 08:05 UTC

[StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-o-s-i-p-r-minimal-wear) [(|)WXR(|)](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/%28%7C%29WXR%28%7C%29) $0.65 $0.59 0.91x 2026-11-11 08:03 UTC

[StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-riot-battle-scarred) [(|)WXR(|)](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/%28%7C%29WXR%28%7C%29) $0.65 $0.30 0.47x 2026-11-11 08:03 UTC

[StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-heavy-metal-field-tested) [(|)WXR(|)](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/%28%7C%29WXR%28%7C%29) $0.65 $0.50 0.78x 2026-11-11 08:03 UTC

[Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-well-worn) [(|)WXR(|)](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/%28%7C%29WXR%28%7C%29) $0.65 $0.53 0.82x 2026-11-11 08:03 UTC

[UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-oscillator-factory-new) Hidden $0.65 $0.38 0.58x 2026-11-11 01:42 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $0.65 | 104.53% | 45 |
| 10 Nov, 08:14 UTC | $0.65 | 102.71% | 45 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $0.65 | 100.93% | 45 |
| 8 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $0.65 | 103.61% | 45 |
| 7 Nov, 10:51 UTC | $0.65 | 101.06% | 45 |
| 6 Nov, 10:44 UTC | $0.65 | 100.42% | 45 |
| 5 Nov, 10:38 UTC | $0.65 | 99.45% | 45 |
| 4 Nov, 07:07 UTC | $0.65 | 101.03% | 45 |
| 3 Nov, 07:29 UTC | $0.65 | 100.69% | 45 |
| 3 Nov, 04:28 UTC | $0.65 | 100.50% | 45 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 2 3.6% #eb4b4b 0.0% covert 0.0% Legendary 0.3% classified 0.4% Mil Spec Grade 5.6% Restricted 5.3% #d32ee6 0.6% Mythical 5.0% Consumer Grade 0.9% violet 9.9% mil spec 19.6% restricted 10.7% #4b69ff 1.9% #8847ff 0.7% Rare 10.4% milspec 9.5% Mil Spec 4.8% Industrial Grade 4.9% blue 4.8% consumer 1.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 104.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $104.53 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt