---
title: "SPECTRUM-2 case on DROP.SKIN: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "SPECTRUM-2 ($3.25) on DROP.SKIN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 178.34% from 43 items with odds, observed 77.04% over 239 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/spectrum-2
rendered: 2026-11-11T16:05Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) / [SPECTRUM-2](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/spectrum-2)

# [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) · SPECTRUM-2

A case on DROP.SKIN (cs2), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DROP.SKIN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/spectrum-2?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/spectrum-2?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/spectrum-2) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/spectrum-2?window=all)

Price · $3.25

Advertised RTP · 178.34% · EV $5.80 from 43 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 77.04% · 239 openings, odds method

Variance · 92.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 58 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 84.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 29 openings · below min

7 days · 227 openings · below min

30 days · 239 openings · below min

since tracking started · 239 openings · below min

-0.5% 232.3% 465.0%

**Small sample.** 239 openings and 3.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/spectrum-2?window=24h) | 29 | 125.06% ±339.1 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/spectrum-2?window=7d) | 227 | 79.22% ±120.6 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/spectrum-2) | 239 | 77.04% ±117.7 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/spectrum-2?window=all) | 239 | 77.04% ±117.7 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 43 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 239 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Ultraviolet (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-well-worn) | 1 in 1,511 | $728 | 8.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 790 | $381 | 8.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 662 | $319 | 8.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Empress (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-minimal-wear) | 1 in 377 | $182 | 8.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 319 | $154 | 8.3% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Night (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 285 | $138 | 8.3% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-minimal-wear) | 1 in 228 | $110 | 8.3% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| High Roller (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-high-roller-factory-new) | 1 in 86 | $41.55 | 8.3% | 1 | 2.8 | 0.36× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-leaded-glass-well-worn) | 1 in 44 | $21.46 | 8.3% | 9 | 5.4 | 1.68× |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-llama-cannon-field-tested) | 1 in 129 | $10.72 | 1.4% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Blue (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-well-worn) | 1 in 117 | $9.15 | 1.3% | 4 | 2.0 | 1.96× |
| [SG 553 \| Wave Spray (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-wave-spray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 85 | $5.41 | 1.1% | 4 | 2.8 | 1.43× |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Tacticat (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-tacticat-factory-new) | 1 in 81 | $4.90 | 1.1% | 6 | 3.0 | 2.02× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| BI83 Spectrum (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-bi83-spectrum-minimal-wear) | 1 in 80 | $4.85 | 1.0% | 3 | 3.0 | 1.00× |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Ziggy (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-ziggy-factory-new) | 1 in 77 | $4.59 | 1.0% | 2 | 3.1 | 0.65× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Stymphalian (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-stymphalian-field-tested) | 1 in 71 | $4.02 | 1.0% | 4 | 3.3 | 1.20× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Goo (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-goo-factory-new) | 1 in 70 | $3.92 | 1.0% | 3 | 3.4 | 0.88× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Goo (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-goo-factory-new) | 1 in 68 | $3.69 | 0.9% | 3 | 3.5 | 0.85× |
| [Negev \| dev\_texture (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dev-texture-factory-new) | 1 in 35 | $2.62 | 1.3% | 7 | 6.8 | 1.04× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Triqua (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-triqua-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $2.33 | 1.2% | 5 | 7.3 | 0.69× |
| [UMP-45 \| Indigo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-indigo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 29 | $1.84 | 1.1% | 14 | 8.3 | 1.69× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-violent-daimyo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $1.80 | 1.1% | 5 | 8.4 | 0.60× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Exposure (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-exposure-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $1.66 | 1.0% | 8 | 8.7 | 0.92× |
| [P250 \| Wingshot (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-well-worn) | 1 in 27 | $1.60 | 1.0% | 9 | 8.8 | 1.02× |
| [StatTrak™ Negev \| Terrain (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-terrain-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $1.52 | 1.0% | 7 | 9.0 | 0.78× |
| [Negev \| dev\_texture (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dev-texture-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $1.51 | 1.0% | 0 | 9.0 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Cocoa Rampage (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-cocoa-rampage-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $1.36 | 0.9% | 7 | 9.3 | 0.75× |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Agent (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-agent-battle-scarred) | 1 in 24 | $1.03 | 0.7% | 6 | 9.8 | 0.61× |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $0.98 | 0.7% | 11 | 9.8 | 1.12× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Twist (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-twist-well-worn) | 1 in 24 | $0.91 | 0.6% | 7 | 9.9 | 0.71× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Survivor Z (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-survivor-z-battle-scarred) | 1 in 24 | $0.88 | 0.6% | 6 | 9.9 | 0.61× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Morris (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-morris-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $0.82 | 0.6% | 12 | 9.9 | 1.22× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Oceanic (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-oceanic-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $0.73 | 0.5% | 7 | 9.8 | 0.72× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Space Cat (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-space-cat-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $0.60 | 0.4% | 11 | 9.4 | 1.17× |
| [P250 \| Ripple (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-ripple-well-worn) | 1 in 26 | $0.52 | 0.3% | 8 | 9.0 | 0.89× |
| [G3SG1 \| Orange Crash (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-orange-crash-battle-scarred) | 1 in 26 | $0.52 | 0.3% | 7 | 9.0 | 0.78× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Ventilators (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-ventilators-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $0.34 | 0.2% | 7 | 7.4 | 0.94× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-jungle-slipstream-factory-new) | 1 in 35 | $0.31 | 0.2% | 11 | 6.9 | 1.60× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Jungle Slipstream (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-jungle-slipstream-field-tested) | 1 in 36 | $0.29 | 0.1% | 5 | 6.6 | 0.75× |
| [Nova \| Wood Fired (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wood-fired-battle-scarred) | 1 in 38 | $0.27 | 0.1% | 6 | 6.3 | 0.95× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Triqua (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-triqua-battle-scarred) | 1 in 48 | $0.20 | 0.1% | 0 | 5.0 | 0.00× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Morris (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-morris-well-worn) | 1 in 66 | $0.15 | 0.0% | 0 | 3.6 | 0.00× |
| [AUG \| Condemned (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-condemned-minimal-wear) | 1 in 81 | $0.13 | 0.0% | 4 | 2.9 | 1.36× |

Values are DROP.SKIN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `dropskin:cases-service/slug/spectrum-2/info`, 11 Nov, 14:22 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=dropskin&case=spectrum-2)

[StatTrak™ AUG | Triqua (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-triqua-factory-new) [diyarcan](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/diyarcan) $3.25 $2.33 0.72x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Morris (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-morris-factory-new) [diyarcan](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/diyarcan) $3.25 $0.82 0.25x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC

[StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-terrain-factory-new) [diyarcan](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/diyarcan) $3.25 $1.52 0.47x 2026-11-11 12:44 UTC

[StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-tacticat-factory-new) [diyarcan](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/diyarcan) $3.25 $4.90 1.51x 2026-11-11 12:38 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-leaded-glass-well-worn) [diyarcan](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/diyarcan) $3.25 $20.84 6.41x 2026-11-11 12:38 UTC

[StatTrak™ MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-bi83-spectrum-minimal-wear) [voyager](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/voyager) $3.25 $4.85 1.49x 2026-11-11 09:29 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Ventilators (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-ventilators-minimal-wear) [SS](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/SS) $3.25 $0.34 0.11x 2026-11-11 08:31 UTC

[StatTrak™ P90 | Cocoa Rampage (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-cocoa-rampage-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.25 $1.36 0.42x 2026-11-11 07:48 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Ventilators (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-ventilators-minimal-wear) [Anaksunamun](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Anaksunamun) $3.25 $0.34 0.11x 2026-11-11 07:48 UTC

[Negev | dev\_texture (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dev-texture-factory-new) Hidden $3.25 $2.62 0.81x 2026-11-11 07:47 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $3.25 | 178.34% | 43 |
| 10 Nov, 08:14 UTC | $3.25 | 175.43% | 43 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $3.25 | 175.21% | 43 |
| 8 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $3.25 | 182.22% | 43 |
| 7 Nov, 10:51 UTC | $3.25 | 171.85% | 43 |
| 6 Nov, 10:44 UTC | $3.25 | 173.25% | 43 |
| 5 Nov, 10:38 UTC | $3.25 | 170.10% | 43 |
| 4 Nov, 07:07 UTC | $3.25 | 172.51% | 43 |
| 3 Nov, 07:29 UTC | $3.25 | 179.74% | 43 |
| 3 Nov, 04:28 UTC | $3.25 | 173.79% | 43 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Covert 0.2% covert 0.9% gold 0.3% covert knife 0.4% classified 4.2% industrial 2.1% mil spec 7.8% restricted 10.2% Mythical 4.2% Legendary 1.4% violet 14.2% milspec 29.1% Consumer Grade 3.5% Restricted 4.1% #4b69ff 7.9% Mil Spec Grade 4.1% Rare 2.9% blue 2.6% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 178.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $178.34 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt