---
title: "SPECTRUM case on DROP.SKIN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "SPECTRUM ($5.75) on DROP.SKIN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 115.12% from 49 items with odds, observed 66.99% over 88 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/spectrum
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:15Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) / [SPECTRUM](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/spectrum)

# [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) · SPECTRUM

A case on DROP.SKIN (cs2), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DROP.SKIN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/spectrum?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/spectrum?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/spectrum) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/spectrum?window=all)

Price · $5.75

Advertised RTP · 115.12% · EV $6.62 from 49 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 66.99% · 88 openings, odds method

Variance · 43.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 91.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 21 openings · below min

7 days · 78 openings · below min

30 days · 88 openings · below min

since tracking started · 88 openings · below min

-0.5% 179.8% 360.0%

**Small sample.** 88 openings and 7.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/spectrum?window=24h) | 21 | 71.72% ±287.8 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/spectrum?window=7d) | 78 | 67.35% ±147.5 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/spectrum) | 88 | 66.99% ±138.7 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/spectrum?window=all) | 88 | 66.99% ±138.7 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 49 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 88 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,729 | $2,160 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,147 | $1,010 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,436 | $782 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 990 | $318 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 542 | $174 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-bloodshot-field-tested) | 1 in 132 | $42.29 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Decimator (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-decimator-well-worn) | 1 in 124 | $39.80 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-chromatic-aberration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 106 | $34.10 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [Souvenir Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-tec-9-remote-control-field-tested) | 1 in 464 | $25.47 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-xiangliu-minimal-wear) | 1 in 458 | $24.99 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-chromatic-aberration-battle-scarred) | 1 in 456 | $24.81 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [MP7 \| Orange Peel (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-orange-peel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 452 | $24.42 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Fever Dream (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-fever-dream-field-tested) | 1 in 417 | $21.33 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Atheris (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-minimal-wear) | 1 in 391 | $19.19 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Colony IV (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-colony-iv-well-worn) | 1 in 350 | $15.92 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AUG \| Fleet Flock (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-fleet-flock-well-worn) | 1 in 320 | $13.72 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [P2000 \| Red FragCam (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-fragcam-factory-new) | 1 in 311 | $13.10 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Bone Machine (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-bone-machine-field-tested) | 1 in 285 | $11.31 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| High Roller (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-high-roller-battle-scarred) | 1 in 283 | $11.18 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-phosphor-well-worn) | 1 in 266 | $10.11 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-field-tested) | 1 in 256 | $9.45 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 229 | $7.88 | 0.5% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Dusk Ruins (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-dusk-ruins-field-tested) | 1 in 223 | $7.50 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [USP-S \| Stainless (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-stainless-battle-scarred) | 1 in 210 | $6.82 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [P2000 \| Space Race (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-space-race-battle-scarred) | 1 in 205 | $6.53 | 0.5% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Tornado (Well-Worn) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tornado-well-worn) | 1 in 196 | $6.06 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-rapid-eye-movement-battle-scarred) | 1 in 23 | $5.75 | 3.8% | 0 | 3.9 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Barricade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-barricade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $5.54 | 3.7% | 2 | 3.9 | 0.51× |
| [AUG \| Daedalus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-daedalus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $5.30 | 3.6% | 6 | 3.9 | 1.52× |
| [UMP-45 \| Scaffold (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-scaffold-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $4.57 | 3.2% | 4 | 4.0 | 0.99× |
| [StatTrak™ M249 \| Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-emerald-poison-dart-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $4.40 | 3.1% | 7 | 4.1 | 1.72× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Panther (Well-Worn) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-panther-well-worn) | 1 in 22 | $4.33 | 3.0% | 5 | 4.1 | 1.23× |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Embargo (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-embargo-well-worn) | 1 in 22 | $4.26 | 3.0% | 2 | 4.1 | 0.49× |
| [Souvenir AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-steel-delta-battle-scarred) | 1 in 22 | $4.20 | 2.9% | 4 | 4.1 | 0.98× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Black Lotus (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-black-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $3.89 | 2.7% | 5 | 4.1 | 1.22× |
| [Tec-9 \| Cut Out (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cut-out-battle-scarred) | 1 in 21 | $3.81 | 2.7% | 4 | 4.1 | 0.98× |
| [Nova \| Rust Coat (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rust-coat-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $3.73 | 2.6% | 8 | 4.1 | 1.95× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Crimson Tsunami (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $3.72 | 2.6% | 5 | 4.1 | 1.22× |
| [UMP-45 \| Scaffold (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-scaffold-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $3.63 | 2.6% | 0 | 4.1 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Crimson Tsunami (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-battle-scarred) | 1 in 21 | $3.60 | 2.5% | 4 | 4.1 | 0.98× |
| [Souvenir G3SG1 \| Ancient Ritual (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-g3sg1-ancient-ritual-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $2.87 | 2.0% | 4 | 4.0 | 1.00× |
| [XM1014 \| Ziggy (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-ziggy-factory-new) | 1 in 23 | $2.50 | 1.7% | 4 | 3.9 | 1.03× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Capillary (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-capillary-factory-new) | 1 in 23 | $2.33 | 1.5% | 1 | 3.8 | 0.26× |
| [MP7 \| Special Delivery (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-special-delivery-well-worn) | 1 in 26 | $1.78 | 1.1% | 4 | 3.4 | 1.16× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $1.56 | 0.9% | 4 | 3.2 | 1.24× |
| [FAMAS \| Survivor Z (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-survivor-z-minimal-wear) | 1 in 46 | $0.79 | 0.3% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.05× |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Kitbash (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-kitbash-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $0.57 | 0.1% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.76× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-jungle-slipstream-factory-new) | 1 in 80 | $0.49 | 0.1% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.81× |
| [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Blueprint (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-blueprint-well-worn) | 1 in 114 | $0.38 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.8 | — |

Values are DROP.SKIN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `dropskin:cases-service/slug/spectrum/info`, 11 Nov, 14:22 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=dropskin&case=spectrum)

[MP7 | Special Delivery (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-special-delivery-well-worn) [voyager](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/voyager) $5.75 $1.78 0.31x 2026-11-11 09:28 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-jungle-slipstream-factory-new) Hidden $5.75 $0.49 0.09x 2026-11-11 08:05 UTC

[Souvenir AK-47 | Steel Delta (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-steel-delta-battle-scarred) [Anaksunamun](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Anaksunamun) $5.75 $4.20 0.73x 2026-11-11 08:05 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Capillary (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-capillary-factory-new) Hidden $5.75 $2.33 0.41x 2026-11-11 07:48 UTC

[Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-minimal-wear) [Anaksunamun](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Anaksunamun) $5.75 $7.88 1.37x 2026-11-11 07:48 UTC

[MP7 | Special Delivery (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-special-delivery-well-worn) Hidden $5.75 $1.78 0.31x 2026-11-11 07:47 UTC

[AUG | Daedalus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-daedalus-minimal-wear) [Anaksunamun](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Anaksunamun) $5.75 $5.30 0.92x 2026-11-11 07:47 UTC

[UMP-45 | Scaffold (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-scaffold-factory-new) Hidden $5.75 $4.57 0.80x 2026-11-11 07:14 UTC

[Tec-9 | Cut Out (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cut-out-battle-scarred) [Anaksunamun](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Anaksunamun) $5.75 $3.81 0.66x 2026-11-11 07:14 UTC

[Nova | Rust Coat (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rust-coat-field-tested) Hidden $5.75 $3.73 0.65x 2026-11-11 07:13 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $5.75 | 115.12% | 49 |
| 10 Nov, 08:14 UTC | $5.75 | 116.71% | 49 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $5.75 | 112.95% | 49 |
| 8 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $5.75 | 112.53% | 49 |
| 7 Nov, 10:51 UTC | $5.75 | 111.78% | 49 |
| 6 Nov, 10:44 UTC | $5.75 | 112.10% | 49 |
| 5 Nov, 10:38 UTC | $5.75 | 111.48% | 49 |
| 4 Nov, 07:07 UTC | $5.75 | 111.71% | 49 |
| 3 Nov, 07:29 UTC | $5.75 | 115.93% | 49 |
| 3 Nov, 04:28 UTC | $5.75 | 115.17% | 49 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 9.3% Covert 0.0% covert 1.5% classified 7.4% Classified 0.6% industrial 0.2% restricted 11.0% Mil Spec Grade 4.7% mil spec 6.2% #d32ee6 0.4% Legendary 0.4% #4b69ff 0.9% Restricted 9.7% Consumer Grade 5.0% Common 4.4% Mil Spec 4.6% milspec 5.5% Industrial Grade 9.2% Mythical 4.7% #8847ff 4.7% violet 8.3% blue 1.3% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 115.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $115.12 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt