---
title: "THOR case on DROP.SKIN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "THOR ($5.60) on DROP.SKIN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 103.32% from 52 items with odds, observed 82.13% over 234 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/thor
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) / [THOR](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/thor)

# [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) · THOR

A case on DROP.SKIN (cyber), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is DROP.SKIN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/thor?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/thor?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/thor) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/thor?window=all)

Price · $5.60

Advertised RTP · 103.32% · EV $5.79 from 52 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 82.13% · 234 openings, odds method

Variance · 8.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 12 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 88.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 54 openings · below min

7 days · 84.66% ±39.39 208 openings

30 days · 82.13% ±37.06 234 openings

since tracking started · 82.13% ±37.06 234 openings

17.0% 95.3% 173.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/thor?window=24h) | 54 | 95.30% ±77.6 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/thor?window=7d) | 208 | 84.66% ±39.4 | −1.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/thor) | 234 | 82.13% ±37.1 | −1.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/thor?window=all) | 234 | 82.13% ±37.1 | −1.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 52 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 234 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 1,309 | $294 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,119 | $251 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-factory-new) | 1 in 940 | $211 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-kukri-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 576 | $129 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-buzz-kill-field-tested) | 1 in 427 | $95.75 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife \| Night Stripe (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-kukri-knife-night-stripe-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $89.76 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Kukri Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-kukri-knife-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 267 | $59.86 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-cyber-security-minimal-wear) | 1 in 267 | $59.79 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-spider-lily-minimal-wear) | 1 in 150 | $33.55 | 3.9% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-well-worn) | 1 in 135 | $30.29 | 3.9% | 5 | 1.7 | 2.89× |
| [P250 \| Cartel (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-factory-new) | 1 in 133 | $29.80 | 3.9% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.70× |
| [SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-field-tested) | 1 in 306 | $18.99 | 1.1% | 3 | 0.8 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 285 | $16.92 | 1.0% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Steel Disruption (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-steel-disruption-minimal-wear) | 1 in 242 | $12.89 | 0.9% | 2 | 1.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Cartel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 229 | $11.76 | 0.9% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 224 | $11.33 | 0.9% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.96× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Syd Mead (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-syd-mead-field-tested) | 1 in 215 | $10.56 | 0.8% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.92× |
| [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-minimal-wear) | 1 in 173 | $7.33 | 0.7% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.74× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-royal-legion-well-worn) | 1 in 168 | $6.99 | 0.7% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.72× |
| [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-field-tested) | 1 in 164 | $6.75 | 0.7% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.40× |
| [MAC-10 \| Curse (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-curse-field-tested) | 1 in 164 | $6.71 | 0.7% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Cirrus (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-cirrus-factory-new) | 1 in 161 | $6.54 | 0.7% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.69× |
| [Souvenir MP9 \| Setting Sun (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp9-setting-sun-battle-scarred) | 1 in 158 | $6.31 | 0.7% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.35× |
| [M4A1-S \| Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blood-tiger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 150 | $5.81 | 0.7% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.92× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Faded Zebra (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-faded-zebra-field-tested) | 1 in 148 | $5.65 | 0.7% | 4 | 1.6 | 2.52× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Just Smile (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-just-smile-factory-new) | 1 in 137 | $5.00 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.59× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Sergeant (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-sergeant-well-worn) | 1 in 28 | $4.62 | 2.8% | 10 | 8.3 | 1.21× |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Fuel Rod (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-fuel-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $4.21 | 2.6% | 5 | 8.5 | 0.59× |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $4.18 | 2.6% | 12 | 8.5 | 1.41× |
| [XM1014 \| XOXO (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-xoxo-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $4.18 | 2.6% | 9 | 8.5 | 1.06× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Goo (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-goo-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $3.92 | 2.5% | 4 | 8.6 | 0.46× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Fever Dream (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-fever-dream-well-worn) | 1 in 27 | $3.70 | 2.4% | 5 | 8.7 | 0.58× |
| [Nova \| Gila (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-gila-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $3.64 | 2.3% | 15 | 8.7 | 1.73× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Dark Water (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-dark-water-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $3.63 | 2.3% | 5 | 8.7 | 0.57× |
| [P2000 \| Red FragCam (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-fragcam-battle-scarred) | 1 in 27 | $3.54 | 2.3% | 5 | 8.7 | 0.57× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-battle-scarred) | 1 in 27 | $3.47 | 2.2% | 10 | 8.7 | 1.14× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $3.33 | 2.2% | 15 | 8.8 | 1.71× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Withered Vine (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-withered-vine-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $3.24 | 2.1% | 6 | 8.8 | 0.68× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Wingshot (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-wingshot-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $3.06 | 2.0% | 8 | 8.8 | 0.91× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Blue Streak (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $3.00 | 1.9% | 14 | 8.8 | 1.59× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Ruby Poison Dart (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-ruby-poison-dart-well-worn) | 1 in 27 | $2.97 | 1.9% | 12 | 8.8 | 1.37× |
| [Souvenir P250 \| Metallic DDPAT (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p250-metallic-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $2.94 | 1.9% | 10 | 8.8 | 1.14× |
| [MAC-10 \| Allure (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-allure-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $2.65 | 1.7% | 8 | 8.7 | 0.92× |
| [Souvenir AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-steel-delta-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $2.47 | 1.6% | 9 | 8.7 | 1.04× |
| [MAC-10 \| Strats (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-strats-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $2.24 | 1.4% | 10 | 8.5 | 1.17× |
| [Glock-18 \| Grinder (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-grinder-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $2.19 | 1.4% | 6 | 8.5 | 0.71× |
| [Souvenir MAC-10 \| Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-candy-apple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 30 | $1.61 | 0.9% | 2 | 7.7 | 0.26× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $1.35 | 0.7% | 6 | 7.1 | 0.84× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Wraiths (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-wraiths-battle-scarred) | 1 in 42 | $0.92 | 0.4% | 5 | 5.6 | 0.90× |
| [SSG 08 \| Hand Brake (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-hand-brake-minimal-wear) | 1 in 44 | $0.87 | 0.3% | 5 | 5.3 | 0.94× |
| [XM1014 \| Zombie Offensive (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-zombie-offensive-battle-scarred) | 1 in 59 | $0.63 | 0.2% | 7 | 4.0 | 1.75× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-bronze-deco-field-tested) | 1 in 75 | $0.50 | 0.1% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |

Values are DROP.SKIN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `dropskin:cases-service/slug/thor/info`, 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=dropskin&case=thor)

[P2000 | Red FragCam (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-fragcam-battle-scarred) [HyperionRax](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/HyperionRax) $5.60 $3.54 0.63x 2026-11-11 12:22 UTC

[Souvenir MP9 | Setting Sun (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp9-setting-sun-battle-scarred) [Carlsson1](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Carlsson1) $5.60 $6.31 1.13x 2026-11-11 11:21 UTC

[StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-fuel-rod-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.60 $4.21 0.75x 2026-11-11 11:16 UTC

[MAC-10 | Strats (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-strats-factory-new) [Carlsson1](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Carlsson1) $5.60 $2.24 0.40x 2026-11-11 11:16 UTC

[StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wraiths (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-wraiths-battle-scarred) [Carlsson1](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Carlsson1) $5.60 $0.92 0.16x 2026-11-11 11:16 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-field-tested) [nemytchenkos](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/nemytchenkos) $5.60 $3.00 0.54x 2026-11-11 11:13 UTC

[Nova | Gila (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-gila-minimal-wear) [MOU](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/MOU) $5.60 $3.64 0.65x 2026-11-11 10:47 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-ruby-poison-dart-well-worn) [Anaksunamun](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Anaksunamun) $5.60 $2.97 0.53x 2026-11-11 09:32 UTC

[MAC-10 | Strats (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-strats-factory-new) Hidden $5.60 $2.24 0.40x 2026-11-11 07:54 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-faded-zebra-field-tested) [Anaksunamun](https://gambatracker.com/players/dropskin/Anaksunamun) $5.60 $5.65 1.01x 2026-11-11 07:54 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $5.60 | 103.32% | 52 |
| 10 Nov, 08:14 UTC | $5.60 | 105.68% | 52 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $5.60 | 104.11% | 52 |
| 8 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $5.60 | 104.35% | 52 |
| 7 Nov, 10:51 UTC | $5.60 | 104.62% | 52 |
| 6 Nov, 10:44 UTC | $5.60 | 103.97% | 52 |
| 5 Nov, 10:38 UTC | $5.60 | 102.57% | 52 |
| 4 Nov, 07:07 UTC | $5.60 | 102.52% | 52 |
| 3 Nov, 07:29 UTC | $5.60 | 103.14% | 52 |
| 3 Nov, 04:28 UTC | $5.60 | 103.61% | 52 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Covert 0.1% covert 0.4% covert knife 0.8% classified 6.7% restricted 27.6% #d32ee6 0.3% blue 0.4% pink 4.3% mil spec 10.3% milspec 5.1% Legendary 3.6% Mythical 14.8% Mil Spec Grade 3.7% #4b69ff 3.7% Uncommon 3.7% industrial 7.1% Mil Spec 3.7% consumer 3.6% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 103.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $103.32 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt