--- title: "Mega Man case on FarmSkins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Mega Man ($99.99) on FarmSkins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 88.33% over 182 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/8-bit-mega-man rendered: 2026-11-11T18:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) / [Mega Man](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/8-bit-mega-man) # [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) · Mega Man A case on FarmSkins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/8-bit-mega-man?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/8-bit-mega-man?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/8-bit-mega-man) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/8-bit-mega-man?window=all) Price · $99.99 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 88.33% · 182 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 10 openings · below min 7 days · 161 openings · below min 30 days · 182 openings · below min since tracking started · 182 openings · below min 28.0% 112.0% 196.0% **Small sample.** 182 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/8-bit-mega-man?window=24h) | 10 | 112.03% ±83.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/8-bit-mega-man?window=7d) | 161 | 84.98% ±26.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/8-bit-mega-man) | 182 | 88.33% ±24.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/8-bit-mega-man?window=all) | 182 | 88.33% ±24.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** FarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) [vopol.j](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/vopol.j) $99.99 $1,432 14.32x 2026-11-10 15:01 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-minimal-wear) [cowan](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/cowan) $99.99 $1,132 11.32x 2026-11-06 14:37 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Occult (Minimal Wear) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult-minimal-wear) [Rylan77](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Rylan77) $99.99 $852 8.52x 2026-11-07 18:29 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) [Диаста](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/%D0%94%D0%B8%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%82%D0%B0) $99.99 $808 8.08x 2026-11-02 22:21 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=farmskins&case=8-bit-mega-man) [SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-minimal-wear) [Night Shimmercakes](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Night%20Shimmercakes) $99.99 $25.32 0.25x 2026-11-11 17:54 UTC [AWP | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-field-tested) [rafa7m](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/rafa7m) $99.99 $44.99 0.45x 2026-11-11 17:54 UTC [M4A1-S | Master Piece (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-minimal-wear) [spaM](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/spaM) $99.99 $155 1.55x 2026-11-11 15:59 UTC [M4A1-S | Player Two (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-battle-scarred) [peKsa](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/peKsa) $99.99 $53.13 0.53x 2026-11-11 15:59 UTC [AK-47 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) [i swear she was adult](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/i%20swear%20she%20was%20adult) $99.99 $221 2.21x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC [AWP | Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-battle-scarred) [Goofball](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Goofball) $99.99 $38.24 0.38x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC [Galil AR | Rainbow Spoon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rainbow-spoon-minimal-wear) [i swear she was adult](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/i%20swear%20she%20was%20adult) $99.99 $20.42 0.20x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC [AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) [Goofball](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Goofball) $99.99 $52.12 0.52x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-cloud-chaser-field-tested) [berry](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/berry) $99.99 $448 4.48x 2026-11-11 13:02 UTC [AWP | Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-minimal-wear) [Goofball](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Goofball) $99.99 $62.18 0.62x 2026-11-11 13:02 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,432 (14.32x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.33 on average: an expected loss of $11.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt