--- title: "Lurker case on FarmSkins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Lurker ($0.49) on FarmSkins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 83.45% over 4,608 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/battle-lurker rendered: 2026-11-12T03:07Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) / [Lurker](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/battle-lurker) # [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) · Lurker A case on FarmSkins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/battle-lurker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/battle-lurker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/battle-lurker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/battle-lurker?window=all) Price · $0.49 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 83.45% · 4,608 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 420 openings · below min 7 days · 82.39% ±3.61 3,550 openings 30 days · 83.45% ±3.21 4,608 openings since tracking started · 83.45% ±3.21 4,608 openings 69.5% 81.0% 92.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/battle-lurker?window=24h) | 420 | 80.94% ±10.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/battle-lurker?window=7d) | 3,550 | 82.39% ±3.61 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/battle-lurker) | 4,608 | 83.45% ±3.21 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/battle-lurker?window=all) | 4,608 | 83.45% ±3.21 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** FarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=farmskins&case=battle-lurker) [M4A4 | Poly Mag (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-minimal-wear) [Doug\_\_](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Doug__) $0.49 $0.17 0.35x 2026-11-12 02:34 UTC [Galil AR | Destroyer (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-destroyer-field-tested) [JPEG 1997](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/JPEG%201997) $0.49 $0.09 0.18x 2026-11-12 02:34 UTC [P90 | Freight (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-freight-field-tested) [MESsi-\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/MESsi-*-6375248) $0.49 $0.11 0.22x 2026-11-12 02:34 UTC [P250 | Cassette (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cassette-field-tested) [Doug\_\_](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Doug__) $0.49 $0.12 0.24x 2026-11-12 02:34 UTC [P250 | Cassette (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cassette-field-tested) [JPEG 1997](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/JPEG%201997) $0.49 $0.12 0.24x 2026-11-12 02:34 UTC [P90 | Freight (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-freight-minimal-wear) [MESsi-\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/MESsi-*-6375248) $0.49 $0.16 0.33x 2026-11-12 02:34 UTC [Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-destroyer-factory-new) [MESsi-\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/MESsi-*-6375248) $0.49 $0.29 0.59x 2026-11-12 02:33 UTC [MP9 | Featherweight (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-featherweight-factory-new) [patrick](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/patrick) $0.49 $0.51 1.04x 2026-11-12 02:33 UTC [Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-destroyer-factory-new) [MR-BEANZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/MR-BEANZ) $0.49 $0.29 0.59x 2026-11-12 02:26 UTC [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-minimal-wear) [BloodEcho](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/BloodEcho) $0.49 $0.80 1.63x 2026-11-12 02:26 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.45 on average: an expected loss of $16.55 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt