--- title: "Phoenix Peek case on FarmSkins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Phoenix Peek ($4.99) on FarmSkins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 76.75% over 410 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/battle-phoenix-peek rendered: 2026-11-12T03:59Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) / [Phoenix Peek](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/battle-phoenix-peek) # [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) · Phoenix Peek A case on FarmSkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/battle-phoenix-peek?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/battle-phoenix-peek?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/battle-phoenix-peek) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/battle-phoenix-peek?window=all) Price · $4.99 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 76.75% · 410 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 43 openings · below min 7 days · 353 openings · below min 30 days · 410 openings · below min since tracking started · 410 openings · below min 38.0% 65.8% 93.5% **Small sample.** 410 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/battle-phoenix-peek?window=24h) | 43 | 57.58% ±18.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/battle-phoenix-peek?window=7d) | 353 | 74.46% ±16.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/battle-phoenix-peek) | 410 | 76.75% ±16.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/battle-phoenix-peek?window=all) | 410 | 76.75% ±16.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** FarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=farmskins&case=battle-phoenix-peek) [MP5-SD | Gauss (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-gauss-field-tested) [遠藤 -](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/%E9%81%A0%E8%97%A4%20-) $4.99 $0.60 0.12x 2026-11-12 02:34 UTC [MP5-SD | Gauss (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-gauss-minimal-wear) [LB-GAMBLER](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/LB-GAMBLER) $4.99 $1.06 0.21x 2026-11-12 02:34 UTC [M4A4 | Turbine (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-turbine-field-tested) [†vex†](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/%E2%80%A0vex%E2%80%A0) $4.99 $1.21 0.24x 2026-11-12 02:30 UTC [MP5-SD | Gauss (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-gauss-field-tested) [LB-GAMBLER](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/LB-GAMBLER) $4.99 $0.60 0.12x 2026-11-12 02:30 UTC [AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-minimal-wear) [LB-GAMBLER](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/LB-GAMBLER) $4.99 $8.17 1.64x 2026-11-12 02:19 UTC [MAC-10 | Button Masher (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-button-masher-field-tested) [Lockman](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Lockman) $4.99 $0.39 0.08x 2026-11-12 02:19 UTC [MP5-SD | Gauss (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-gauss-factory-new) [Λether](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/%CE%9Bether) $4.99 $2.76 0.55x 2026-11-12 02:16 UTC [AWP | Capillary (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-factory-new) [LB-GAMBLER](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/LB-GAMBLER) $4.99 $7.97 1.60x 2026-11-12 02:16 UTC [P90 | Trigon (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-trigon-well-worn) [accdiabloiii](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/accdiabloiii) $4.99 $9.47 1.90x 2026-11-12 02:12 UTC [AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) [LB-GAMBLER](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/LB-GAMBLER) $4.99 $5.78 1.16x 2026-11-12 02:12 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.75 on average: an expected loss of $23.25 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt