--- title: "The Monster case on FarmSkins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "The Monster ($249.99) on FarmSkins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 86.75% over 165 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/battle-the-monster rendered: 2026-11-12T01:05Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) / [The Monster](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/battle-the-monster) # [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) · The Monster A case on FarmSkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/battle-the-monster?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/battle-the-monster?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/battle-the-monster) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/battle-the-monster?window=all) Price · $249.99 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 86.75% · 165 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 113 openings · below min 30 days · 165 openings · below min since tracking started · 165 openings · below min -0.5% 126.0% 252.5% **Small sample.** 165 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/battle-the-monster?window=24h) | 6 | 118.33% ±133.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/battle-the-monster?window=7d) | 113 | 90.93% ±24.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/battle-the-monster) | 165 | 86.75% ±19.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/battle-the-monster?window=all) | 165 | 86.75% ±19.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** FarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) [karl](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/karl) $250 $1,281 5.12x 2026-11-04 00:22 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) [on the moon](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/on%20the%20moon) $250 $1,274 5.10x 2026-11-09 21:46 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) [mailoresst](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/mailoresst) $250 $1,274 5.10x 2026-11-09 18:32 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) [myll](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/myll) $250 $1,273 5.09x 2026-11-05 23:21 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) [qvz](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/qvz) $250 $1,270 5.08x 2026-11-07 18:34 UTC [★ Karambit | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-factory-new) [Farmskins.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Farmskins.com) $250 $1,169 4.67x 2026-11-09 22:51 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) [ProTip](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/ProTip) $250 $1,140 4.56x 2026-11-11 11:40 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [ruthvargas](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/ruthvargas) $250 $1,139 4.56x 2026-11-09 22:55 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) [skome5](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/skome5) $250 $1,088 4.35x 2026-11-03 20:21 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-minimal-wear) [キャンディーアップル](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/%E3%82%AD%E3%83%A3%E3%83%B3%E3%83%87%E3%82%A3%E3%83%BC%E3%82%A2%E3%83%83%E3%83%97%E3%83%AB) $250 $1,010 4.04x 2026-11-03 09:25 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=farmskins&case=battle-the-monster) [★ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) [1974](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/1974) $250 $41.93 0.17x 2026-11-11 13:17 UTC [★ Bayonet | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-urban-masked-minimal-wear) [nvc](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/nvc) $250 $174 0.70x 2026-11-11 13:17 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-black-laminate-well-worn) [BIG BOB](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/BIG%20BOB) $250 $120 0.48x 2026-11-11 13:17 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) [Gamazevr](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Gamazevr) $250 $124 0.50x 2026-11-11 13:17 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) [ProTip](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/ProTip) $250 $1,140 4.56x 2026-11-11 11:40 UTC [★ Bayonet | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-urban-masked-minimal-wear) [Romanela](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Romanela) $250 $174 0.70x 2026-11-11 11:40 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) [zaii](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/zaii) $250 $47.20 0.19x 2026-11-09 22:58 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) [peKsa](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/peKsa) $250 $72.35 0.29x 2026-11-09 22:58 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-ultraviolet-field-tested) [zaii](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/zaii) $250 $347 1.39x 2026-11-09 22:57 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-scorched-battle-scarred) [peKsa](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/peKsa) $250 $78.92 0.32x 2026-11-09 22:57 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,281 (5.12x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.75 on average: an expected loss of $13.25 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt