--- title: "Ninja case on FarmSkins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Ninja ($139.99) on FarmSkins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 90.88% over 580 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/chicken-forces-ninja rendered: 2026-11-11T21:21Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) / [Ninja](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/chicken-forces-ninja) # [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) · Ninja A case on FarmSkins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/chicken-forces-ninja?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/chicken-forces-ninja?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/chicken-forces-ninja) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/chicken-forces-ninja?window=all) Price · $139.99 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 90.88% · 580 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 14 openings · below min 7 days · 434 openings · below min 30 days · 580 openings · below min since tracking started · 580 openings · below min 33.0% 66.5% 100.0% **Small sample.** 580 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/chicken-forces-ninja?window=24h) | 14 | 55.21% ±21.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/chicken-forces-ninja?window=7d) | 434 | 89.01% ±9.64 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/chicken-forces-ninja) | 580 | 90.88% ±8.61 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/chicken-forces-ninja?window=all) | 580 | 90.88% ±8.61 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** FarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) [zaii](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/zaii) $299 $2,142 7.16x 2026-11-09 22:58 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) [hyza](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/hyza) $299 $1,860 6.22x 2026-11-06 07:11 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-minimal-wear) [myll](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/myll) $299 $1,630 5.45x 2026-11-10 21:51 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-minimal-wear) [hyza](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/hyza) $299 $1,566 5.24x 2026-11-08 05:23 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-minimal-wear) [hyza](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/hyza) $299 $1,566 5.24x 2026-11-07 10:55 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [myll](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/myll) $299 $1,330 4.45x 2026-11-05 23:10 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [hyza](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/hyza) $299 $1,317 4.40x 2026-11-06 07:11 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [hyza](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/hyza) $299 $1,297 4.34x 2026-11-07 10:56 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-field-tested) [hyza](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/hyza) $299 $1,204 4.03x 2026-11-07 10:56 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-field-tested) [hyza](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/hyza) $299 $1,204 4.03x 2026-11-07 10:54 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=farmskins&case=chicken-forces-ninja) [Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-minimal-wear) [spaM](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/spaM) $299 $70.03 0.23x 2026-11-11 16:04 UTC [AK-47 | Panthera onca (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-minimal-wear) [peKsa](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/peKsa) $299 $235 0.79x 2026-11-11 16:04 UTC [Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-minimal-wear) [Mr. Älä Huoli Siit](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Mr.%20%C3%84l%C3%A4%20Huoli%20Siit) $299 $70.03 0.23x 2026-11-11 15:24 UTC [M4A1-S | Player Two (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-field-tested) [Mr. Älä Huoli Siit](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Mr.%20%C3%84l%C3%A4%20Huoli%20Siit) $299 $54.74 0.18x 2026-11-11 15:24 UTC [AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) [berry](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/berry) $299 $133 0.44x 2026-11-11 13:02 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [Goofball](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Goofball) $299 $243 0.81x 2026-11-11 13:02 UTC [Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-minimal-wear) [ProTip](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/ProTip) $299 $70.03 0.23x 2026-11-11 11:44 UTC [Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-factory-new) [Mnonneli](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Mnonneli) $299 $195 0.65x 2026-11-11 11:44 UTC [AK-47 | Panthera onca (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-minimal-wear) [ProTip](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/ProTip) $299 $235 0.79x 2026-11-11 11:44 UTC [AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) [Mnonneli](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Mnonneli) $299 $507 1.70x 2026-11-11 11:44 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,142 (7.16x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.88 on average: an expected loss of $9.12 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt