--- title: "Covert case on FarmSkins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Covert ($59.99) on FarmSkins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 89.92% over 1,341 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-covert rendered: 2026-11-11T19:49Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) / [Covert](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-covert) # [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) · Covert A case on FarmSkins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-covert?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-covert?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-covert) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-covert?window=all) Price · $59.99 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 89.92% · 1,341 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 63 openings · below min 7 days · 857 openings · below min 30 days · 89.92% ±3.06 1,341 openings since tracking started · 89.92% ±3.06 1,341 openings 68.0% 81.5% 95.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-covert?window=24h) | 63 | 81.47% ±12.8 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-covert?window=7d) | 857 | 89.51% ±3.96 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-covert) | 1,341 | 89.92% ±3.06 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-covert?window=all) | 1,341 | 89.92% ±3.06 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** FarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=farmskins&case=classic-covert) [StatTrak™ AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-chromatic-aberration-minimal-wear) [Bart](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Bart) $59.99 $31.93 0.53x 2026-11-11 17:51 UTC [M4A4 | The Emperor (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-field-tested) [rafa7m](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/rafa7m) $59.99 $54.71 0.91x 2026-11-11 17:51 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-legion-of-anubis-field-tested) [not so talented player](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/not%20so%20talented%20player) $59.99 $35.53 0.59x 2026-11-11 17:46 UTC [M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-field-tested) [not so talented player](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/not%20so%20talented%20player) $59.99 $46.69 0.78x 2026-11-11 17:46 UTC [AWP | Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-battle-scarred) [not so talented player](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/not%20so%20talented%20player) $59.99 $38.24 0.64x 2026-11-11 17:46 UTC [AK-47 | Aphrodite (Field-Tested) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aphrodite-field-tested) [☪ BaşkUrT ☪](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/%E2%98%AA%20Ba%C5%9FkUrT%20%E2%98%AA) $59.99 $14.94 0.25x 2026-11-11 17:13 UTC [AWP | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-field-tested) [☪ BaşkUrT ☪](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/%E2%98%AA%20Ba%C5%9FkUrT%20%E2%98%AA) $59.99 $41.92 0.70x 2026-11-11 17:11 UTC [StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-starlight-protector-battle-scarred) [☪ BaşkUrT ☪](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/%E2%98%AA%20Ba%C5%9FkUrT%20%E2%98%AA) $59.99 $55.52 0.93x 2026-11-11 16:38 UTC [M4A4 | The Emperor (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-field-tested) [☪ BaşkUrT ☪](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/%E2%98%AA%20Ba%C5%9FkUrT%20%E2%98%AA) $59.99 $54.71 0.91x 2026-11-11 16:38 UTC [AK-47 | Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) [spaM](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/spaM) $59.99 $43.80 0.73x 2026-11-11 16:04 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.92 on average: an expected loss of $10.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt