--- title: "Covertknives case on FarmSkins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Covertknives ($114.99) on FarmSkins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 97.43% over 929 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-covertknives rendered: 2026-11-11T22:16Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) / [Covertknives](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-covertknives) # [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) · Covertknives A case on FarmSkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-covertknives?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-covertknives?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-covertknives) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-covertknives?window=all) Price · $114.99 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 97.43% · 929 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 14 openings · below min 7 days · 602 openings · below min 30 days · 929 openings · below min since tracking started · 929 openings · below min 57.0% 105.7% 154.5% **Small sample.** 929 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-covertknives?window=24h) | 14 | 105.56% ±48.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-covertknives?window=7d) | 602 | 100.10% ±9.98 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-covertknives) | 929 | 97.43% ±7.56 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-covertknives?window=all) | 929 | 97.43% ±7.56 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** FarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) [TurunPug](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/TurunPug) $115 $1,765 15.35x 2026-11-08 19:41 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-minimal-wear) [sofia](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/sofia) $115 $909 7.91x 2026-11-06 15:01 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-minimal-wear) [hyza](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/hyza) $115 $820 7.13x 2026-11-07 11:04 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-minimal-wear) [hyza](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/hyza) $115 $757 6.58x 2026-11-04 07:43 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-minimal-wear) [PHILIPMORIS](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/PHILIPMORIS) $115 $752 6.54x 2026-11-05 19:37 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-minimal-wear) [TurunPug](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/TurunPug) $115 $721 6.27x 2026-11-08 19:43 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) [hyza](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/hyza) $115 $686 5.96x 2026-11-07 11:03 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) [hyza](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/hyza) $115 $671 5.83x 2026-11-03 05:37 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) [TUSCANLEATHER](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/TUSCANLEATHER) $115 $669 5.82x 2026-11-07 10:33 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) [TurunPug](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/TurunPug) $115 $668 5.81x 2026-11-08 19:40 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=farmskins&case=classic-covertknives) [★ Bayonet | Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-autotronic-field-tested) [berry](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/berry) $115 $255 2.22x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) [on the moon](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/on%20the%20moon) $115 $48.83 0.42x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [Desert Eagle | Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-well-worn) [zelo](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/zelo) $115 $38.15 0.33x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC [AK-47 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) [i swear she was adult](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/i%20swear%20she%20was%20adult) $115 $43.17 0.38x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC [AK-47 | B the Monster (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-field-tested) [Goofball](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Goofball) $115 $72.67 0.63x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC [M4A4 | Temukau (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-well-worn) [i swear she was adult](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/i%20swear%20she%20was%20adult) $115 $30.87 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC [★ Kukri Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-fade-factory-new) [Goofball](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Goofball) $115 $157 1.37x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [polak](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/polak) $115 $267 2.33x 2026-11-11 12:25 UTC [AK-47 | B the Monster (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-well-worn) [skome5](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/skome5) $115 $78.22 0.68x 2026-11-11 11:29 UTC [M4A4 | Temukau (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-field-tested) [skome5](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/skome5) $115 $30.68 0.27x 2026-11-11 11:29 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,765 (15.35x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 97.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $97.43 on average: an expected loss of $2.57 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt