--- title: "Knives case on FarmSkins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Knives ($149.99) on FarmSkins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 93.88% over 833 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-knives rendered: 2026-11-11T21:16Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) / [Knives](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-knives) # [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) · Knives A case on FarmSkins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is FarmSkins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-knives?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-knives?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-knives) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-knives?window=all) Price · $149.99 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 93.88% · 833 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 20 openings · below min 7 days · 715 openings · below min 30 days · 833 openings · below min since tracking started · 833 openings · below min 53.5% 84.0% 114.5% **Small sample.** 833 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-knives?window=24h) | 20 | 83.99% ±30.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-knives?window=7d) | 715 | 95.60% ±7.58 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-knives) | 833 | 93.88% ±6.78 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-knives?window=all) | 833 | 93.88% ±6.78 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** FarmSkins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are FarmSkins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [Mano Z](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Mano%20Z) $150 $1,601 10.67x 2026-11-06 23:46 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [MuhaStadist](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/MuhaStadist) $150 $1,593 10.62x 2026-11-10 18:17 UTC [★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) [Chill bro, i got a day job](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Chill%20bro%2C%20i%20got%20a%20day%20job) $150 $1,181 7.87x 2026-11-08 05:33 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) [MuhaStadist](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/MuhaStadist) $150 $921 6.14x 2026-11-06 18:14 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) [USE CODE: KSTV](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/USE%20CODE%3A%20KSTV) $150 $826 5.51x 2026-11-08 22:51 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new) [Samppa](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Samppa) $150 $825 5.50x 2026-11-10 12:12 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new) [Pol0](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Pol0) $150 $825 5.50x 2026-11-09 22:30 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) [jelo](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/jelo) $150 $819 5.46x 2026-11-07 19:04 UTC [★ Karambit | Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-minimal-wear) [MuhaStadist](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/MuhaStadist) $150 $802 5.35x 2026-11-10 18:19 UTC [★ Karambit | Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-minimal-wear) [meowster2000](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/meowster2000) $150 $802 5.35x 2026-11-09 11:02 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=farmskins&case=classic-knives) [★ Flip Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [natu](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/natu) $150 $245 1.63x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Damascus Steel (Well-Worn) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-damascus-steel-well-worn) [natu](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/natu) $150 $137 0.91x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-urban-masked-well-worn) [I CHITTED MY PANTS](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/I%20CHITTED%20MY%20PANTS) $150 $57.40 0.38x 2026-11-11 19:50 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) [I CHITTED MY PANTS](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/I%20CHITTED%20MY%20PANTS) $150 $199 1.33x 2026-11-11 19:44 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-blue-steel-battle-scarred) [QuattroPinker26](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/QuattroPinker26) $150 $133 0.89x 2026-11-11 18:17 UTC [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-minimal-wear) [Gamba Man](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Gamba%20Man) $150 $19.36 0.13x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC [★ Classic Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-stained-battle-scarred) [Julian Ashford](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Julian%20Ashford) $150 $83.10 0.55x 2026-11-11 14:43 UTC [★ Survival Knife | Night Stripe (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-night-stripe-well-worn) [Julian Ashford](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Julian%20Ashford) $150 $56.06 0.37x 2026-11-11 14:43 UTC [★ Ursus Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) [Julian Ashford](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Julian%20Ashford) $150 $86.87 0.58x 2026-11-11 14:43 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) [Julian Ashford](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/Julian%20Ashford) $150 $41.82 0.28x 2026-11-11 14:43 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,601 (10.67x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.88 on average: an expected loss of $6.12 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt